D66 n'a pas exactement remporté les élections. Ils sont arrivés en tête, avec un peu moins de 17% des voix. Cela leur donne simplement la primauté de la tentative de former coalition - dans un parlement qui compte 15 partis !

Particularly, negative and positive (updates of) evaluations of health policy are associated, respectively, with electoral punishment and reward for incumbents, unlike economic policy evaluation.
In short, Trump's defeat in 2020 is due to his mismanagement of the covid-19 pandemic...

We adopt a constraining research design based on panel data to address issues of reverse causality and endogeneity in the study of vote choice.
We find that policy evaluation of the governments’ response to the pandemic has influenced vote choice for incumbents.