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ECFR
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European Council on Foreign Relations: the only pan-European think-tank. We foster coalitions for change and promote debate on Europe's global role.
Hungary’s media landscape exists in a grey zone, where journalism’s boundaries are set by the whims of regulatory power. Under Trump, America is heading in the same direction, writes Chris Herrmann.

Read the full text: https://bit.ly/45oYEGA
January 7, 2026 at 8:15 AM
🎧@markhleonard.bsky.social and Jeremy Shapiro explore two forces shaping 2026: mounting pressure on the UK to join the customs union and AI transforming state capacity. Will Britain shift its trade stance? How will AI redefine government power?

🔗Listen to the full episode: https://bit.ly/3LfJ35d
January 7, 2026 at 6:04 AM
Following the raid in Caracas, President Trump openly invoked what he termed a “Donroe Doctrine”—a vision of US hemispheric dominance backed by military power. Read Aslı Aydıntaşbaş and Chris Herrmann's analysis of Maduro's capture and its implications for Europe.

Link: https://bit.ly/4qztsws
January 6, 2026 at 12:51 PM
🎧 @markhleonard.bsky.social and Jeremy Shapiro explore what 2026 could bring: a fragile peace in Ukraine and a divided US Congress. Will a ceasefire reshape Europe’s security? How will US gridlock affect global leadership?

👉Listen to the full episode: https://bit.ly/3LfJ35d
January 6, 2026 at 8:15 AM
🎧 In our latest podcast Mark Leonard and Jeremy Shapiro discuss the 10 possible political shifts in 2026. They expect expect a tech clash as the EU fines big US platforms and the US signaling modest troop withdrawals—warning Europe to step up defense.

👉full episode: https://bit.ly/3LfJ35d
January 5, 2026 at 7:15 AM
🎧 World in 30 Minutes returns with ten forecasts for 2026!

@markhleonard and @JyShapiro predict Europe’s far-right gaining ground and Trump striking an ambitious deal with Iran. Find out the other eight predictions in our podcast!

👉 Listen to the full episode: https://bit.ly/3LfJ35d
January 4, 2026 at 4:16 PM
From fast‑moving crises to shifting political realities. Revisit ECFR's top three policy alerts that captured 2025’s most urgent developments. Thank you for following our work—see you next year! ✨

Read our yearly review: https://bit.ly/48XCqMS
December 27, 2025 at 2:21 PM
As the year closes, the world is preparing for a volatile 2026, set to be defined by the consequences of unresolved conflicts. Before we turn the page, revisit ECFR's key analyses about the warfare in 2025. Thank you for following our work—see you next year!✨

https://bit.ly/48XCqMS
December 26, 2025 at 12:49 PM
How do people feel about Europe? Do they perceive the EU as more than just a common market? And how do they see its role in the future?

🔗 Check our policy brief to find out: https://bit.ly/3VxF9X7
December 25, 2025 at 8:00 AM
How do people feel about Europe? Do they perceive the EU as more than just a common market? And how do they see its role in the future?

🔗 Check our policy brief to find out: https://bit.ly/3VxF9X7
December 25, 2025 at 8:00 AM
This year was shaped by US President Donald Trump’s trade war and his National Security Strategy. Revisit ECFR’s top three publications on the Trump administration that influenced political debate in 2025. Thank you for following our work—see you next year!✨

https://bit.ly/48XCqMS
December 22, 2025 at 5:12 PM
How do people feel about Europe? Do they perceive the EU as more than just a common market? And how do they see its role in the future?

🔗 Check our policy brief to find out: https://bit.ly/3VxF9X7
December 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM
European NATO members—including Estonia’s neighbours—are also better positioned to help, even if US support were limited. Deterrence today is increasingly European as well as transatlantic. /6
December 18, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Scenario two: a hybrid “in-and-out” campaign using sabotage, proxies, and deniable forces. Conclusion: this too would fall short and fail strategically. /4
December 18, 2025 at 11:42 AM
The paper outlines 2 scenarios. Scenario one: a rapid invasion designed to seize territory and paralyse NATO. Conclusion: under current conditions, this would fail to achieve Russia’s strategic aims. /3
December 18, 2025 at 11:42 AM
While Estonia’s is protected due to weakened Russian capabilities, stronger European defence cooperation and its own preparedness, NATO’s European members should be reassured but not complacent, argue @jyshapiro.bsky.social and Jennifer Kavanagh in a new report on the Russian threat in Estonia. A 🧵
December 18, 2025 at 11:42 AM
How do people feel about Europe? Do they perceive the EU as more than just a common market? And how do they see its role in the future?

🔗 Check our policy brief to find out: https://bit.ly/3VxF9X7
December 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM
How do people feel about Europe? Do they perceive the EU as more than just a common market? And how do they see its role in the future?

🔗 Check our latest policy brief to find out: https://bit.ly/3VxF9X7
December 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM
How do people feel about Europe? Do they perceive the EU as more than just a common market? And how do they see its role in the future?

🔗 Check our latest policy brief to find out: https://bit.ly/3VxF9X7
December 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM
The solution: build “just enough” European capability across four strategic tech layers—not full autarky, but enough resilience to avoid coercion. /7
December 10, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Europe must urgently build an independent “EuroStack”of critical technologies — or risk foreign powers weaponising its digital dependencies, argues @giorgosverdi.bsky.social in a new report out today. A 🧵
December 10, 2025 at 11:16 AM
2/ Settlement expansion, settler violence, financial sanctions and military control have gutted the PA’s ability to function. At the same time, Abbas has dismantled checks and balances, blocked elections and concentrated power in his own hands.
December 8, 2025 at 11:56 AM
The Palestinian Authority (PA) is decaying under dual pressure: the weight of Israeli occupation and Mahmoud Abbas’s tightening grip on power. What’s emerging in the West Bank is a system too weak to govern and too rigid to reform, writes @hlovatt.bsky.social in his latest paper. A 🧵
December 8, 2025 at 11:56 AM
How do people feel about Europe? Do they perceive the EU as more than just a common market? And how do they see its role in the future?

🔗 Check our latest policy brief to find out: https://bit.ly/3VxF9X7
December 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM
ECFR is celebrating its 18th birthday—a pan-European think tank that’s now come of age. For nearly two decades we’ve shaped key debates and policies across Europe. And we’re just getting started for the next 18. Thank you to everyone who contributed along the way!
December 5, 2025 at 2:27 PM