Gavril Ducu 🇷🇴 🇩🇪 🇺🇸 🇳🇱 🇪🇺 🇺🇦
@ducugavril.nafoforum.org
born by the KGB raised by the CIA mindreader digital ventriloquist #fella #NAFO Heavy Bonker Award 🏅If you like my work - tips go to the Forum https://www.buymeacoffee.com/nafoforum to keep alive NafoForum.org mission for #public #edumacation 🤗
B) Non-endpoint leak
– external hack
– intelligence intercept
– zero-day exploit deployed
– multi-state operation
One family requires one step.
The other requires several.
That’s where Occam’s razor enters.
– external hack
– intelligence intercept
– zero-day exploit deployed
– multi-state operation
One family requires one step.
The other requires several.
That’s where Occam’s razor enters.
November 27, 2025 at 5:32 PM
B) Non-endpoint leak
– external hack
– intelligence intercept
– zero-day exploit deployed
– multi-state operation
One family requires one step.
The other requires several.
That’s where Occam’s razor enters.
– external hack
– intelligence intercept
– zero-day exploit deployed
– multi-state operation
One family requires one step.
The other requires several.
That’s where Occam’s razor enters.
• Audio exists only at the endpoints unless the device is compromised
• Both participants are high-value targets
• Many outsiders have motives, but few have access
These are facts, not vibes.
• Both participants are high-value targets
• Many outsiders have motives, but few have access
These are facts, not vibes.
November 27, 2025 at 5:32 PM
• Audio exists only at the endpoints unless the device is compromised
• Both participants are high-value targets
• Many outsiders have motives, but few have access
These are facts, not vibes.
• Both participants are high-value targets
• Many outsiders have motives, but few have access
These are facts, not vibes.
So let’s start from what is known, not what could be imagined:
• The call was reportedly on WhatsApp
• WhatsApp uses end-to-end encryption
• Full conversational transcripts require access to the audio
• The call was reportedly on WhatsApp
• WhatsApp uses end-to-end encryption
• Full conversational transcripts require access to the audio
November 27, 2025 at 5:32 PM
So let’s start from what is known, not what could be imagined:
• The call was reportedly on WhatsApp
• WhatsApp uses end-to-end encryption
• Full conversational transcripts require access to the audio
• The call was reportedly on WhatsApp
• WhatsApp uses end-to-end encryption
• Full conversational transcripts require access to the audio
And
"In intelligence, many actors try to get audio like this.”
That part is true and many parties may try.
But Occam’s razor isn’t about what’s possible.
It’s about what’s most probable given what is publicly known.
"In intelligence, many actors try to get audio like this.”
That part is true and many parties may try.
But Occam’s razor isn’t about what’s possible.
It’s about what’s most probable given what is publicly known.
November 27, 2025 at 5:32 PM
And
"In intelligence, many actors try to get audio like this.”
That part is true and many parties may try.
But Occam’s razor isn’t about what’s possible.
It’s about what’s most probable given what is publicly known.
"In intelligence, many actors try to get audio like this.”
That part is true and many parties may try.
But Occam’s razor isn’t about what’s possible.
It’s about what’s most probable given what is publicly known.
“It was someone’s spyware.”
“It was a deep-state op.”
That’s normal — leaks create informational fog.
But fog is exactly when reasoning tools matter most.
One point of pushback I heard was:
“You can’t assume only two parties had access."
“It was a deep-state op.”
That’s normal — leaks create informational fog.
But fog is exactly when reasoning tools matter most.
One point of pushback I heard was:
“You can’t assume only two parties had access."
November 27, 2025 at 5:32 PM
“It was someone’s spyware.”
“It was a deep-state op.”
That’s normal — leaks create informational fog.
But fog is exactly when reasoning tools matter most.
One point of pushback I heard was:
“You can’t assume only two parties had access."
“It was a deep-state op.”
That’s normal — leaks create informational fog.
But fog is exactly when reasoning tools matter most.
One point of pushback I heard was:
“You can’t assume only two parties had access."
🧵 Thread: How to reason about leaks when the information fog is thick
When a major diplomatic leak happens, everyone starts throwing out theories:
“It was Europe.”
“It was the U.S.”
“It was Russia.”
“It was a third-party intercept.”
When a major diplomatic leak happens, everyone starts throwing out theories:
“It was Europe.”
“It was the U.S.”
“It was Russia.”
“It was a third-party intercept.”
November 27, 2025 at 5:32 PM
🧵 Thread: How to reason about leaks when the information fog is thick
When a major diplomatic leak happens, everyone starts throwing out theories:
“It was Europe.”
“It was the U.S.”
“It was Russia.”
“It was a third-party intercept.”
When a major diplomatic leak happens, everyone starts throwing out theories:
“It was Europe.”
“It was the U.S.”
“It was Russia.”
“It was a third-party intercept.”
This kind of transcript almost always comes from one of two places:
• a clean audio recording made by a participant
or
• a high-fidelity device capture on one side (phone recording, app recording, screen-recorded WhatsApp call, etc.)
• a clean audio recording made by a participant
or
• a high-fidelity device capture on one side (phone recording, app recording, screen-recorded WhatsApp call, etc.)
November 27, 2025 at 3:49 PM
This kind of transcript almost always comes from one of two places:
• a clean audio recording made by a participant
or
• a high-fidelity device capture on one side (phone recording, app recording, screen-recorded WhatsApp call, etc.)
• a clean audio recording made by a participant
or
• a high-fidelity device capture on one side (phone recording, app recording, screen-recorded WhatsApp call, etc.)
It’s a full conversational transcript with natural flow, interruptions, chuckles, pacing, small reactions (“I see…”, “Ok, ok my friend”, “That sounds good”).
That matters for figuring out how it was leaked.
That matters for figuring out how it was leaked.
November 27, 2025 at 3:49 PM
It’s a full conversational transcript with natural flow, interruptions, chuckles, pacing, small reactions (“I see…”, “Ok, ok my friend”, “That sounds good”).
That matters for figuring out how it was leaked.
That matters for figuring out how it was leaked.
🧵 Thread: The screenshots tell us more about the leak than people realize
Looking at the leaked Witkoff–Ushakov transcript, one thing stands out:
This isn’t a fragment or a summary.
Looking at the leaked Witkoff–Ushakov transcript, one thing stands out:
This isn’t a fragment or a summary.
November 27, 2025 at 3:49 PM
🧵 Thread: The screenshots tell us more about the leak than people realize
Looking at the leaked Witkoff–Ushakov transcript, one thing stands out:
This isn’t a fragment or a summary.
Looking at the leaked Witkoff–Ushakov transcript, one thing stands out:
This isn’t a fragment or a summary.
That sweet, sweet CIA cash😅 yum
November 27, 2025 at 2:31 PM
That sweet, sweet CIA cash😅 yum
🧵 Thread: Who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call? Apply Occam’s razor.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
November 27, 2025 at 1:48 PM
🧵 Thread: Who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call? Apply Occam’s razor.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
🧵 Thread: Who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call? Apply Occam’s razor.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
November 27, 2025 at 1:45 PM
🧵 Thread: Who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call? Apply Occam’s razor.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
There’s a lot of speculation about who leaked the Witkoff–Ushakov call — Europeans, Americans, Ukraine, “someone hacking WhatsApp,” etc.
November 27, 2025 at 1:42 AM
