Dmitri Alperovitch
banner
dmitri.silverado.org
Dmitri Alperovitch
@dmitri.silverado.org
Geopolitics, Russia, China, Cyber
Chairman @silverado.org
Author of WorldOnTheBrink.com
Host GeopoliticsDecanted.com podcast
Founder Alperovitch Institute for Cybersecurity Studies at Johns Hopkins SAIS
Co-Founder CrowdStrike
@DAlperovitch elsewhere
Pinned
Very proud to have my #WorldOnTheBrink with @vermontgmg.bsky.social named as one of the best books of 2024 by the @economist.com!
www.economist.com/culture/2024...
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
I found the latest episode of Geopolitics Decanted with @dmitri.silverado.org very informative on the state of the Russian economy. I don’t know whether these new sanctions are enough to be the potential game changers identified by Chris Weafer.

podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/g...
Keeping Russian Economy Afloat: Kremlin's Economic High Wire Act
Podcast Episode · Geopolitics Decanted with Dmitri Alperovitch · 22/10/2025 · 44m
podcasts.apple.com
October 23, 2025 at 12:29 AM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Very interesting podcast by @dmitri.silverado.org why drones are a useful addition to the European military but shouldn't be the main focus for investment in building our military capabilities.
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower
Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado · Episode
open.spotify.com
August 15, 2025 at 10:59 AM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Great discussion with @justin-br0nk.bsky.social and @dmitri.silverado.org about the "drone panacea myth".

See also the RUSI article www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower
Podcast-Folge · Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado · 05.08.2025 · 49 Min.
podcasts.apple.com
August 11, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Justin Bronk — @justin-br0nk.bsky.social — is a keen observer of military affairs. Talking with @dmitri.silverado.org, he challenges the view that Ukraine’s success with UAVs against Russia is a model for what the US and other western nations should focus on. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower
Podcast Episode · Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado · 08/05/2025 · 49m
podcasts.apple.com
August 6, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower

My @GeopolDecanted discussion with @justin-br0nk.bsky.social about his recent provocative @rusi.bsky.social piece on this topic.

We also discuss efficacy of Ukrainian F-16s, Operation SpiderWeb and much more. Watch 👇

youtu.be/ykLIH2kY1U8
Why Drones Can’t Replace Traditional Firepower
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
August 5, 2025 at 10:38 PM
Chip Security Act (CSA) is a new bipartisan bill in Congress that requires advanced AI chips to have location verification to combat illicit diversion of exports of these chips to banned countries like China.

A 🧵 on how this could work to enhance US export control enforcement
July 16, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Malaysia, one of the top black market transshippers of AI chips to China, has just announced that "effective immediately, all exports, tranships and transits of high-performance AI chips of US origin are subject to a Strategic Trade Permit"

www.miti.gov.my/miti/resourc...
https://www.miti.gov.my/miti/resources/Media%20Release/[FINAL]_MITI_Press_Stmt_Malaysia_Regulates_Trade_of_US_AI_Chips_2025-07-14.pdf
July 14, 2025 at 6:06 PM
New Geopolitics Decanted episode about why the US nuclear force posture needs to change

Also Iran-Israel war, China’s new tactical nuclear arsenal, debate about counterforce vs countervalue targeting & extended deterrence, and why Pakistan wants ICBMs targeting America

youtu.be/tCVtes4dEUU
Why America's Nuclear Deterrence Strategy Needs to Change
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
July 2, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
Worth listening to both of these, on Iran’s nuclear program and its future after the Israeli-US attacks

1.)
David Albright interviewed by @mdubowitz.bsky.social

www.fdd.org/podcasts/202...

2.)
@armscontrolwonk.bsky.social interviewed by @dmitri.silverado.org

podcast.silverado.org/e/assessing-...
THE IRAN BREAKDOWN | Assessing the U.S. Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
YouTube video by FDD
www.youtube.com
June 26, 2025 at 10:16 AM
If you want to understand the true extent of the damage done to all aspects of the Iranian nuclear weapons program and how difficult it might be to rebuild it, look no further than this podcast 👇 youtu.be/iCfMfoaUaMA
Assessing the Damage to Iran’s Nuclear Program
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
June 25, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
This is an excellent 0-60mph on Iran's nuclear program, and detailed assessment of the US strikes. And good fun as always with these two despite the unfolding mess.
Hot off the press: new Geopolitics Decanted episode with @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social where we dive deep into the details of the damage done to the Iranian nuclear program, prospects for reconstitution, as well as have a lively debate about the merits of this war
Assessing the Damage to Iran’s Nuclear Program
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
June 24, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
@dmitri.silverado.org talks to Jeffrey Lewis @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social about whatever now constitutes the Iranian nuclear program and what might be next.

Super interesting and discusses various possibilities - but don't expect definitive answers.
Hot off the press: new Geopolitics Decanted episode with @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social where we dive deep into the details of the damage done to the Iranian nuclear program, prospects for reconstitution, as well as have a lively debate about the merits of this war
Assessing the Damage to Iran’s Nuclear Program
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
June 24, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Hot off the press: new Geopolitics Decanted episode with @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social where we dive deep into the details of the damage done to the Iranian nuclear program, prospects for reconstitution, as well as have a lively debate about the merits of this war
Assessing the Damage to Iran’s Nuclear Program
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
June 24, 2025 at 11:03 AM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
This is very much worth your time!
New @GeopolDecanted episode:
The Israel-Iran War: Possibilities and the Dangers of Overreach

I discuss the state of the war with Gen. Amos Yadlin (Ret.), perhaps the world's only person who has participated in the destruction of three(!) nuclear weapons programs

youtu.be/eaX6fV632r4
The Israel-Iran War: Possibilities and the Dangers of Overreach
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
June 19, 2025 at 8:06 AM
New @GeopolDecanted episode:
The Israel-Iran War: Possibilities and the Dangers of Overreach

I discuss the state of the war with Gen. Amos Yadlin (Ret.), perhaps the world's only person who has participated in the destruction of three(!) nuclear weapons programs

youtu.be/eaX6fV632r4
The Israel-Iran War: Possibilities and the Dangers of Overreach
YouTube video by Dmitri Alperovitch
youtu.be
June 19, 2025 at 2:24 AM
Vital question no one seems to be asking right now: when does the Pentagon staff start to get sick of consuming pizza day in and day out and move on to Chinese, Indian or name your takeout food?
June 17, 2025 at 8:56 PM
One thing to ponder: the only military operation likely in all of human history that has been in active planning and preparation for longer than Israel’s war on Iran is China’s planned invasion of Taiwan
June 17, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Chinese intelligence agents stepped up efforts to recruit Russian officials, experts, journalists and businesspeople close to power in Moscow according to a leaked FSB document
Secret Russian Intelligence Document Shows Deep Suspicion of China
www.nytimes.com
June 8, 2025 at 3:49 AM
Reposted by Dmitri Alperovitch
June 1, 2025 at 10:20 PM
Fascinating interview with a private drone designer for the RU military. His knowledge of UKR & Western drones is limited and should be taken with some skepticism but he still presents a quite candid picture into the current state of unmanned warfare:🧵

www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmfN...
Why This Russian Drone Developer Isn’t Impressed by U.S. Tech
YouTube video by Real Reporter
www.youtube.com
May 31, 2025 at 8:02 PM
The story of the aftermath of Prigozhin’s mutiny 2 years ago is finally coming out.

As I’d said at the time in @foreignpolicy.com, his death was not a foregone conclusion. If he had agreed to abandon his business empire as Putin demanded, he likely would have been alive today ⬇️
1/ Nearly two years after Yevgeny Prigozhin died, an account has been published of a tense meeting with Vladimir Putin in which the Wagner Group leader rejected subordination to the Russian Ministry of Defence. "Zhenya, you're fucking nuts", Putin is said to have told him. ⬇️
May 18, 2025 at 7:30 PM
Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Istanbul going well today…
May 16, 2025 at 2:44 PM
"Several American F-16s and an F-35 fighter jet were nearly struck by Houthi air defenses, making real the possibility of American casualties, multiple U.S. officials said.” 👀
Why Trump Suddenly Declared Victory Over the Houthi Militia
www.nytimes.com
May 13, 2025 at 4:53 AM
Behind closed doors, Chinese officials have grown increasingly alarmed about tariffs' impact on the economy and the risk of isolation as China's trading partners have started negotiating deals with Washington www.reuters.com/world/inside...
Inside China's decision to come to the table on Trump tariffs
Re-engagement was complicated by the fractious nature of U.S.-China diplomacy.
www.reuters.com
May 10, 2025 at 12:41 PM