David Ubilava
@davidubilava.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Sydney. Agricultural Economics, Food and Commodity Markets, Climate, Conflict.
https://davidubilava.com
https://davidubilava.com
Pinned
Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict
I present new evidence of the effects of climate shocks on conflict. Focusing on political violence in Africa, I find that El Niño Southern Oscillation shocks during the crop-growing season affect ha...
doi.org
The climate–conflict nexus is an active area of research. I examine how El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks affect political violence in Africa. Headline result: Exposure to a positive ENSO shock (an El Niño event) reduces postharvest conflict. [1/13]
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
Our paper on harvest-time changes in conflict, violence, and social unrest has been assigned to a volume and issue (makes it easier to cite). It offers some valuable insights, in my opinion. Luckily, it is also open access, so feel free to check it out: doi.org/10.1177/0022...
Agricultural roots of social conflict in Southeast Asia - Justin V Hastings, David Ubilava, 2025
We examine whether harvest-time transitory shifts in employment and income lead to changes in political violence and social unrest in rice-producing croplands o...
doi.org
November 20, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Our paper on harvest-time changes in conflict, violence, and social unrest has been assigned to a volume and issue (makes it easier to cite). It offers some valuable insights, in my opinion. Luckily, it is also open access, so feel free to check it out: doi.org/10.1177/0022...
Do commodity price spikes cause social unrest? They do. But when we focus on local prices of a locally produced cereal—maize—we find the relationship is negative, on average.
This is a baseline result of our new working paper with Aaron Humphreys. [1/9]
davidubilava.com/Papers/prote...
This is a baseline result of our new working paper with Aaron Humphreys. [1/9]
davidubilava.com/Papers/prote...
davidubilava.com
October 28, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Do commodity price spikes cause social unrest? They do. But when we focus on local prices of a locally produced cereal—maize—we find the relationship is negative, on average.
This is a baseline result of our new working paper with Aaron Humphreys. [1/9]
davidubilava.com/Papers/prote...
This is a baseline result of our new working paper with Aaron Humphreys. [1/9]
davidubilava.com/Papers/prote...
Reposted by David Ubilava
Hi everyone! We're finally on bluesky! We heard this is now where all the cool people hang out, and even though we are just an economics department, we still would like to be cool.
July 18, 2025 at 4:48 AM
Hi everyone! We're finally on bluesky! We heard this is now where all the cool people hang out, and even though we are just an economics department, we still would like to be cool.
Reposted by David Ubilava
1/ 🚀Big Update❗❗
Last year we published @NatCities, a systematic analysis of how countries are organized around multiple urban centres. That geospatial dataset is very complex. So we just launched the City-Region Explorer🔎... an easy to use platform for analysis. 🧵
#EconSky #Geography #GISChat
Last year we published @NatCities, a systematic analysis of how countries are organized around multiple urban centres. That geospatial dataset is very complex. So we just launched the City-Region Explorer🔎... an easy to use platform for analysis. 🧵
#EconSky #Geography #GISChat
June 11, 2025 at 2:14 PM
1/ 🚀Big Update❗❗
Last year we published @NatCities, a systematic analysis of how countries are organized around multiple urban centres. That geospatial dataset is very complex. So we just launched the City-Region Explorer🔎... an easy to use platform for analysis. 🧵
#EconSky #Geography #GISChat
Last year we published @NatCities, a systematic analysis of how countries are organized around multiple urban centres. That geospatial dataset is very complex. So we just launched the City-Region Explorer🔎... an easy to use platform for analysis. 🧵
#EconSky #Geography #GISChat
We have a superb lineup of 18 speakers representing 10 universities from across four countries. Really excited about this one!
The day is here! Looking forward to the 2nd edition of SCoPE at the University of Sydney today 🤩
@davidubilava.bsky.social
Program sydneyscope.org
@davidubilava.bsky.social
Program sydneyscope.org
June 2, 2025 at 9:59 PM
We have a superb lineup of 18 speakers representing 10 universities from across four countries. Really excited about this one!
Reposted by David Ubilava
Today at sydneyscope.org (organised by @davidubilava.bsky.social and @ashani.bsky.social). With @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social
June 2, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Today at sydneyscope.org (organised by @davidubilava.bsky.social and @ashani.bsky.social). With @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social
Reposted by David Ubilava
Does conflict intensify during harvest in crop-producing regions?
April 7, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Does conflict intensify during harvest in crop-producing regions?
1/ Does conflict intensify at harvest time in agricultural regions? Our new study explores this question in the context of Southeast Asia. Read the paper for the full story, or read this thread for tl;dr.
Great to see this one out in the wilderness. I will do a thread in due course. Until then, enjoy the free access to the full text.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Agricultural roots of social conflict in Southeast Asia - Justin V Hastings, David Ubilava, 2025
We examine whether harvest-time transitory shifts in employment and income lead to changes in political violence and social unrest in rice-producing croplands o...
journals.sagepub.com
March 20, 2025 at 10:41 AM
1/ Does conflict intensify at harvest time in agricultural regions? Our new study explores this question in the context of Southeast Asia. Read the paper for the full story, or read this thread for tl;dr.
Great to see this one out in the wilderness. I will do a thread in due course. Until then, enjoy the free access to the full text.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Agricultural roots of social conflict in Southeast Asia - Justin V Hastings, David Ubilava, 2025
We examine whether harvest-time transitory shifts in employment and income lead to changes in political violence and social unrest in rice-producing croplands o...
journals.sagepub.com
March 19, 2025 at 5:22 AM
Great to see this one out in the wilderness. I will do a thread in due course. Until then, enjoy the free access to the full text.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
"Dear passengers, we apologise for a slight delay. We will soon take off, once we sort out a minor technical issue."
March 8, 2025 at 9:38 AM
"Dear passengers, we apologise for a slight delay. We will soon take off, once we sort out a minor technical issue."
If you're the kind of person who waits until the last minute, the wait is over. Submit your paper or extended abstract for the 2nd SCoPE workshop to be held in Sydney on 3-4 June by the end of the day.
Don’t forget to submit your papers to the 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) workshop at the University of Sydney School of Economics!
Deadline: 31 January
More info: sydneyscope.org
Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
@davidubilava.bsky.social
Deadline: 31 January
More info: sydneyscope.org
Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
@davidubilava.bsky.social
📢Workshop Announcement
The 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) Workshop will take place at the University of Sydney on June 3-4, 2025. Please submit your papers by email to [email protected] by 31 January 2025.
dubilava.github.io/Calls/SCoPE_...
The 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) Workshop will take place at the University of Sydney on June 3-4, 2025. Please submit your papers by email to [email protected] by 31 January 2025.
dubilava.github.io/Calls/SCoPE_...
January 30, 2025 at 8:48 PM
If you're the kind of person who waits until the last minute, the wait is over. Submit your paper or extended abstract for the 2nd SCoPE workshop to be held in Sydney on 3-4 June by the end of the day.
Reposted by David Ubilava
Don’t forget to submit your papers to the 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) workshop at the University of Sydney School of Economics!
Deadline: 31 January
More info: sydneyscope.org
Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
@davidubilava.bsky.social
Deadline: 31 January
More info: sydneyscope.org
Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
@davidubilava.bsky.social
📢Workshop Announcement
The 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) Workshop will take place at the University of Sydney on June 3-4, 2025. Please submit your papers by email to [email protected] by 31 January 2025.
dubilava.github.io/Calls/SCoPE_...
The 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) Workshop will take place at the University of Sydney on June 3-4, 2025. Please submit your papers by email to [email protected] by 31 January 2025.
dubilava.github.io/Calls/SCoPE_...
January 16, 2025 at 12:15 AM
Don’t forget to submit your papers to the 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) workshop at the University of Sydney School of Economics!
Deadline: 31 January
More info: sydneyscope.org
Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
@davidubilava.bsky.social
Deadline: 31 January
More info: sydneyscope.org
Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
@davidubilava.bsky.social
What has development economics become? Marc Bellemare presents his view in his recent blog post (one of many in 2025, by the sounds of it—in and of itself, great news for applied economists).
marcfbellemare.com/wordpress/14...
marcfbellemare.com/wordpress/14...
W(h)ither Development Economics?
(Over the last one or two years, I have explained to a number of colleagues and graduate students that I was not interested in doing development anymore. I am writing this post to avoid having the …
marcfbellemare.com
January 1, 2025 at 9:26 PM
What has development economics become? Marc Bellemare presents his view in his recent blog post (one of many in 2025, by the sounds of it—in and of itself, great news for applied economists).
marcfbellemare.com/wordpress/14...
marcfbellemare.com/wordpress/14...
Reposted by David Ubilava
Introducing my wonderful workplace where I've been for almost (gasp!) 30 years! Follow us for research on #foodpolicy, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
🦋IFPRI is excited to join @bsky.app! Colleagues, partners, friends @cgiar.org and beyond - who's there? 👋 Welcome to our cloud!
December 13, 2024 at 3:33 PM
Introducing my wonderful workplace where I've been for almost (gasp!) 30 years! Follow us for research on #foodpolicy, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
Reposted by David Ubilava
The climate–conflict nexus is an active area of research. I examine how El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks affect political violence in Africa. Headline result: Exposure to a positive ENSO shock (an El Niño event) reduces postharvest conflict. [1/13]
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict
I present new evidence of the effects of climate shocks on conflict. Focusing on political violence in Africa, I find that El Niño Southern Oscillation shocks during the crop-growing season affect ha...
doi.org
December 5, 2024 at 8:43 PM
Reposted by David Ubilava
The climate–conflict nexus is an active area of research. I examine how El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks affect political violence in Africa. Headline result: Exposure to a positive ENSO shock (an El Niño event) reduces postharvest conflict. [1/13]
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict
I present new evidence of the effects of climate shocks on conflict. Focusing on political violence in Africa, I find that El Niño Southern Oscillation shocks during the crop-growing season affect ha...
doi.org
December 4, 2024 at 8:09 PM
Forgot to add the magic tag. Here goes: #EconSky
The climate–conflict nexus is an active area of research. I examine how El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks affect political violence in Africa. Headline result: Exposure to a positive ENSO shock (an El Niño event) reduces postharvest conflict. [1/13]
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict
I present new evidence of the effects of climate shocks on conflict. Focusing on political violence in Africa, I find that El Niño Southern Oscillation shocks during the crop-growing season affect ha...
doi.org
December 4, 2024 at 12:47 AM
Forgot to add the magic tag. Here goes: #EconSky
The climate–conflict nexus is an active area of research. I examine how El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks affect political violence in Africa. Headline result: Exposure to a positive ENSO shock (an El Niño event) reduces postharvest conflict. [1/13]
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict
I present new evidence of the effects of climate shocks on conflict. Focusing on political violence in Africa, I find that El Niño Southern Oscillation shocks during the crop-growing season affect ha...
doi.org
December 4, 2024 at 12:39 AM
The climate–conflict nexus is an active area of research. I examine how El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks affect political violence in Africa. Headline result: Exposure to a positive ENSO shock (an El Niño event) reduces postharvest conflict. [1/13]
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
My paper "Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict" is now forthcoming in the American Journal of Agricultural Economics. A thread will follow. In the meantime, here is the link to the publication: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/author...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
December 3, 2024 at 11:44 AM
My paper "Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict" is now forthcoming in the American Journal of Agricultural Economics. A thread will follow. In the meantime, here is the link to the publication: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/author...
One thing still missing on this platform is people treating it as an airline customer service portal for their complaints.
November 25, 2024 at 11:31 PM
One thing still missing on this platform is people treating it as an airline customer service portal for their complaints.
Reposted by David Ubilava
🗣️ Call for papers: 6th Workshop on the Economics and Politics of Migration, May 22–23 in Madrid
Keynotes by the brilliant Leah Boustan & @deanyang.bsky.social
Submissions due January 26th —> docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
#econconf #econsky
Keynotes by the brilliant Leah Boustan & @deanyang.bsky.social
Submissions due January 26th —> docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
#econconf #econsky
November 25, 2024 at 6:03 PM
🗣️ Call for papers: 6th Workshop on the Economics and Politics of Migration, May 22–23 in Madrid
Keynotes by the brilliant Leah Boustan & @deanyang.bsky.social
Submissions due January 26th —> docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
#econconf #econsky
Keynotes by the brilliant Leah Boustan & @deanyang.bsky.social
Submissions due January 26th —> docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
#econconf #econsky
Reposted by David Ubilava
258/ @davidubilava.bsky.social has put together a starter pack of researchers working on the economic causes and consequences of conflict.
bsky.app/profile/davi...
bsky.app/profile/davi...
Created this starter pack of scholars who have worked on economic causes and consequences of conflict. The list is inevitably non-exhaustive, so please let me know if you would like to be added to it (or know of someone who should be on the list).
go.bsky.app/PTSxCQf
go.bsky.app/PTSxCQf
November 21, 2024 at 9:38 PM
258/ @davidubilava.bsky.social has put together a starter pack of researchers working on the economic causes and consequences of conflict.
bsky.app/profile/davi...
bsky.app/profile/davi...
Created this starter pack of scholars who have worked on economic causes and consequences of conflict. The list is inevitably non-exhaustive, so please let me know if you would like to be added to it (or know of someone who should be on the list).
go.bsky.app/PTSxCQf
go.bsky.app/PTSxCQf
November 21, 2024 at 7:43 PM
Created this starter pack of scholars who have worked on economic causes and consequences of conflict. The list is inevitably non-exhaustive, so please let me know if you would like to be added to it (or know of someone who should be on the list).
go.bsky.app/PTSxCQf
go.bsky.app/PTSxCQf
Reposted by David Ubilava
November 20, 2024 at 9:10 PM