David Slichter
@davidslichter.bsky.social
Labor econ, econometrics, econ of ed. Associate Prof at Binghamton. Fellow at IZA.
Website: https://sites.google.com/site/slichterdavid/
Website: https://sites.google.com/site/slichterdavid/
One fun thing about forecasting is having a record of what you find surprising about a paper's results. My biggest surprise about this interesting new paper is that I figured subfield experts would know more than non-experts. But no, apparently they don't.
🚨 New working paper!
How well do people predict the results of studies?
@sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇
How well do people predict the results of studies?
@sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇
November 24, 2025 at 7:20 PM
One fun thing about forecasting is having a record of what you find surprising about a paper's results. My biggest surprise about this interesting new paper is that I figured subfield experts would know more than non-experts. But no, apparently they don't.
Reposted by David Slichter
I am excited to be on the #EconSky job market. My #EconJMP on Nepal's 2002 abortion legalization finds weaker son-biased stopping, more prenatal sex selection (~1 in 75 girls missing), and longer breastfeeding for surviving girls, a clear quantity quality tradeoff.
Website: jijeebishabhattarai.com
Website: jijeebishabhattarai.com
November 17, 2025 at 7:52 PM
I am excited to be on the #EconSky job market. My #EconJMP on Nepal's 2002 abortion legalization finds weaker son-biased stopping, more prenatal sex selection (~1 in 75 girls missing), and longer breastfeeding for surviving girls, a clear quantity quality tradeoff.
Website: jijeebishabhattarai.com
Website: jijeebishabhattarai.com
Reposted by David Slichter
I am excited to share that I am on the job market. My JMP explores how maternal work hours affect children's cognitive outcomes in India. By exploiting bunching designs, I find that work hours have a positive but small and statistically insignificant effect on children's cognition.
November 19, 2025 at 10:54 PM
I am excited to share that I am on the job market. My JMP explores how maternal work hours affect children's cognitive outcomes in India. By exploiting bunching designs, I find that work hours have a positive but small and statistically insignificant effect on children's cognition.
Reposted by David Slichter
I am excited to announce I am on the #EconSky Job Market! In my #EconJMP, I find that weighting a teacher's test-score impacts differently across students increases the predictive power of test-score value-added measures for a teacher's impact on high school graduation.
Website: casetatro.com
Website: casetatro.com
November 12, 2025 at 9:17 PM
I am excited to announce I am on the #EconSky Job Market! In my #EconJMP, I find that weighting a teacher's test-score impacts differently across students increases the predictive power of test-score value-added measures for a teacher's impact on high school graduation.
Website: casetatro.com
Website: casetatro.com
Reposted by David Slichter
An economist reached out and asked where they might publish a review they'd written.
Here's my (certainly incomplete) list of 30+ journals where economists publish reviews. bit.ly/3QfaE6m
(Additions welcome with a specific review example!)
Here's my (certainly incomplete) list of 30+ journals where economists publish reviews. bit.ly/3QfaE6m
(Additions welcome with a specific review example!)
October 23, 2025 at 7:50 PM
An economist reached out and asked where they might publish a review they'd written.
Here's my (certainly incomplete) list of 30+ journals where economists publish reviews. bit.ly/3QfaE6m
(Additions welcome with a specific review example!)
Here's my (certainly incomplete) list of 30+ journals where economists publish reviews. bit.ly/3QfaE6m
(Additions welcome with a specific review example!)
Reposted by David Slichter
Darkly funny how a strong emphasis on unbiasedness via the credibility revolution plausibly ended up making the published literature more biased.
Wild how economists and political scientists worry so much about unbiased tests **in their papers** and yet basically ignore how their journals filter on significance. Given our noisy tests, the latter creates huge bias away from zero.
September 10, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Darkly funny how a strong emphasis on unbiasedness via the credibility revolution plausibly ended up making the published literature more biased.
My PhD student Case Tatro has made a very helpful guide to making specification curves in Stata:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTLm...
#EconSky #Econ
www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTLm...
#EconSky #Econ
How to Make a Specification Curve in Stata (Step-by-Step Tutorial)
YouTube video by In Case of Econ Struggles
www.youtube.com
July 31, 2025 at 7:17 PM
My PhD student Case Tatro has made a very helpful guide to making specification curves in Stata:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTLm...
#EconSky #Econ
www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTLm...
#EconSky #Econ
Nhan Tran and I have a new IZA discussion paper entitled "Do Better Journals Publish Better Estimates?"
docs.iza.org/dp17960.pdf
docs.iza.org/dp17960.pdf
docs.iza.org
June 16, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Nhan Tran and I have a new IZA discussion paper entitled "Do Better Journals Publish Better Estimates?"
docs.iza.org/dp17960.pdf
docs.iza.org/dp17960.pdf