Daniel Zhao
@danielzhao.bsky.social
Glassdoor Chief Economist
glassdoor.com/research
I post charts about the job market and workplace trends
Formerly known as @DanielBZhao on Twitter
Maryland born & raised, now in NYC
glassdoor.com/research
I post charts about the job market and workplace trends
Formerly known as @DanielBZhao on Twitter
Maryland born & raised, now in NYC
Reposted by Daniel Zhao
My guess (emphasis guess) is that we might see CES and PPI numbers for October but rolled into the November release
November 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
My guess (emphasis guess) is that we might see CES and PPI numbers for October but rolled into the November release
Reposted by Daniel Zhao
Situation is more complicated for the unemployment rate but if the WH is saying it’s not possible that means BLS/Census told them it isn’t
November 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Situation is more complicated for the unemployment rate but if the WH is saying it’s not possible that means BLS/Census told them it isn’t
Reposted by Daniel Zhao
...(so released after the Dec FOMC meeting). The survey week for the Nov HH survey will still be Nov 2-8 when the govt was shut down so we should still see a spike in the UR from furloughed workers (as @econberger.bsky.social has pointed out) 2/2
November 12, 2025 at 7:14 PM
...(so released after the Dec FOMC meeting). The survey week for the Nov HH survey will still be Nov 2-8 when the govt was shut down so we should still see a spike in the UR from furloughed workers (as @econberger.bsky.social has pointed out) 2/2
Short write-up on some of the Glassdoor job market indicators we are tracking as we wait for the jobs report releases to resume:
www.glassdoor.com/blog/glassdo...
www.glassdoor.com/blog/glassdo...
October jobs report: Glassdoor data during the shutdown - Glassdoor US
www.glassdoor.com
November 6, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Short write-up on some of the Glassdoor job market indicators we are tracking as we wait for the jobs report releases to resume:
www.glassdoor.com/blog/glassdo...
www.glassdoor.com/blog/glassdo...
[3] 18% of candidates that reported receiving a job offer on Glassdoor later declined the offer, down from 19% in September and from 23% in October 2024.
The falling job offer rejection rate could point to workers settling for an acceptable job offer rather than holding out for an ideal one.
The falling job offer rejection rate could point to workers settling for an acceptable job offer rather than holding out for an ideal one.
November 6, 2025 at 3:18 PM
[3] 18% of candidates that reported receiving a job offer on Glassdoor later declined the offer, down from 19% in September and from 23% in October 2024.
The falling job offer rejection rate could point to workers settling for an acceptable job offer rather than holding out for an ideal one.
The falling job offer rejection rate could point to workers settling for an acceptable job offer rather than holding out for an ideal one.
[2] 3.6% of reviews on Glassdoor mentioned layoff keywords in October, down 3.5% month-over-month, but still up a staggering 22% year-over-year.
The most recent wave of layoff announcements landed very late in October, so we might see employee anxiety about layoffs pick up in November instead
The most recent wave of layoff announcements landed very late in October, so we might see employee anxiety about layoffs pick up in November instead
November 6, 2025 at 3:18 PM
[2] 3.6% of reviews on Glassdoor mentioned layoff keywords in October, down 3.5% month-over-month, but still up a staggering 22% year-over-year.
The most recent wave of layoff announcements landed very late in October, so we might see employee anxiety about layoffs pick up in November instead
The most recent wave of layoff announcements landed very late in October, so we might see employee anxiety about layoffs pick up in November instead
With no October jobs report tomorrow, what do some other Glassdoor indicators say about the job market?
[1] Pay declined slightly in October, down 0.3% month-over-month, though on a year-over-year basis, pay growth accelerated slightly to +5.2% from +4.9% in September.
[1] Pay declined slightly in October, down 0.3% month-over-month, though on a year-over-year basis, pay growth accelerated slightly to +5.2% from +4.9% in September.
November 6, 2025 at 3:18 PM
With no October jobs report tomorrow, what do some other Glassdoor indicators say about the job market?
[1] Pay declined slightly in October, down 0.3% month-over-month, though on a year-over-year basis, pay growth accelerated slightly to +5.2% from +4.9% in September.
[1] Pay declined slightly in October, down 0.3% month-over-month, though on a year-over-year basis, pay growth accelerated slightly to +5.2% from +4.9% in September.
Reposted by Daniel Zhao
But looking across industries, this spare capacity is not particularly concentrated in industries gaining new tariff protection. In 2025 so far, capacity utilization has not risen more in industries receiving more new import protection. (2/3) www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note... #FEDSNote
October 31, 2025 at 7:45 PM
But looking across industries, this spare capacity is not particularly concentrated in industries gaining new tariff protection. In 2025 so far, capacity utilization has not risen more in industries receiving more new import protection. (2/3) www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note... #FEDSNote
They don't share that data unfortunately
October 30, 2025 at 9:42 PM
They don't share that data unfortunately
My assumption is that furloughed federal workers would apply through UCFE. I guess there could be leakage into traditional UI but afaik there isn't a formal path for federal workers to get non-UCFE UI (though that's more from my ignorance rather than certainty)
October 30, 2025 at 9:42 PM
My assumption is that furloughed federal workers would apply through UCFE. I guess there could be leakage into traditional UI but afaik there isn't a formal path for federal workers to get non-UCFE UI (though that's more from my ignorance rather than certainty)
Amazon headcount grew in Q3 2025 to 1,578,000, up 2% QoQ & YoY and now at the highest level since Q1 2022.
The QoQ increase of 32,000 employees is ironically almost the same as their plan to cut 30,000 corporate employees, reported earlier this week: www.reuters.com/business/wor...
The QoQ increase of 32,000 employees is ironically almost the same as their plan to cut 30,000 corporate employees, reported earlier this week: www.reuters.com/business/wor...
October 30, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Amazon headcount grew in Q3 2025 to 1,578,000, up 2% QoQ & YoY and now at the highest level since Q1 2022.
The QoQ increase of 32,000 employees is ironically almost the same as their plan to cut 30,000 corporate employees, reported earlier this week: www.reuters.com/business/wor...
The QoQ increase of 32,000 employees is ironically almost the same as their plan to cut 30,000 corporate employees, reported earlier this week: www.reuters.com/business/wor...