Dan Groshev
dangroshev.com
Dan Groshev
@dangroshev.com
Arguably more small print than bait and switch, given that one of the foundational texts of modern SV is explicitly very pro-monopoly

(that's an excerpt from Zero to One)
December 20, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Trump is not the United States. He will pass.
December 18, 2025 at 2:19 AM
That's not really true though is it

They are centrists with massive comms and whipping problems. They are reforming planning, reforming rents, rebuilding the tax base, realigning with the EU, strengthening our defence and supporting Ukraine

None of this is sexy and headline-friendly though
December 17, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Russia's military equipment production capacity, experience of peer warfare, and capacity to adapt have increased immensely in the last few years. Unless they are soundly defeated in Ukraine, a break of a couple years will see them MORE capable than before the war, not less
December 17, 2025 at 3:17 AM
December 17, 2025 at 2:56 AM
Seeing the replies/qts, you couldn't engineer that skeet better to draw out the scolding bitterness of a stereotypical Bluesky user. Hope this disempowering sludge doesn't get under your skin

I just keep remembering this essay every couple weeks ourworldindata.org/much-better-...
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.
It is wrong to think these three statements contradict each other. We need to see that they are all true to see that a better world is possible.
ourworldindata.org
December 17, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Like fuck it's permanent, liberal hegemony is our destiny and with it the flourishing of man*

But yes there are a few bumps on the way there

*: gender-inclusive "man"
December 17, 2025 at 1:50 AM
> Theater Nuclear Forces Are Good, Actually
Spicy
December 15, 2025 at 11:46 AM
Yeah Russia just murdered people on British soil with impunity, burned warehouses, bought our politicians, and paid people to sow hatred (eg hopenothate.org.uk/2025/02/10/e... )

Threads is a very poor guide to international conflict or even nuclear weapons
December 13, 2025 at 3:38 PM
There are more points on the spectrum between "hybrid threats" and VMF landings. Like an interdiction campaign in support of an attack on the Baltic states. ALCMs slamming into ports and warehouses, that kind of thing.
December 13, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Backbenchers revolting over a reform so mild as not paying the WFA to better off pensioners must have something to do with it
December 13, 2025 at 3:04 PM
There is at least one nuance though that is specifically true about immigrants: the UK didn't spend money educating them.

The "net beneficiary" discourse usually operates on snapshots in time, not lifetime-to-now balances and obscures just how much the UK benefits financially from immigration.
December 12, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Reposted by Dan Groshev
I believe this to be a pretty representative position labourlist.org/2025/12/uk-e...

Particularly this bit
December 11, 2025 at 10:47 AM
Move, fast, and break things
December 11, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Reading through the replies, it's revealing how little awareness of the ongoing realignment there is (just compare the replies with the column)

Which is… good I think? Quiet realignment is more stable than the typical hyperpartisan chaos we devolve into
December 11, 2025 at 10:51 AM
I believe this to be a pretty representative position labourlist.org/2025/12/uk-e...

Particularly this bit
December 11, 2025 at 10:47 AM