cryptophileee.bsky.social
@cryptophileee.bsky.social
Risks:
1) If @AndreCronjeTech unexpectedly changes the rules of the game, we might be in trouble
2) If @AndreCronjeTech unexpectedly announces he has raised an additional $300M in VC funding
February 8, 2026 at 11:23 AM
Launch FDV = TVL attracted from private and public sales

I don't think @flyingtulip_ will be able to reach even $400m...
Market conditions are terrible...

2) Can $FT launch at $800m if the team attracts $400m in TVL?

No way. Most public participants would instantly dump millions!
February 8, 2026 at 11:23 AM
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February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
8/ Will I buy $AAVE?

Yes :)

I am a gambler... I like pain...

If you are an investor, skip!
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
7/
You can love the product and use it (I do)

Just don’t confuse that with “investing in token”

Most tokens are casino chips attached to great apps
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
6/ Why? Because 99% of tokens are:

1. governance theatre
2. liquidity for early investors/teams
3. emissions = dilution
4. no claim on cashflows

So product wins ≠ token wins.

P.S. not specifically related to $AAVE

they have buybacks but it is still not enough...
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
5/ Web2 vs. Web3

If a Web2 company 5x’d usage + “revenue-like” metrics and the stock stayed flat…
you’d call it broken

In crypto?
It’s the default
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
4/ Price action

$AAVE price today: ~$118

$AAVE price in Aug 2024: ~$118

After all that +500% product growth… it trades around the same zone as years ago...
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
3/ @aave progress 2023-2026:

TVL: $5.0B → $28.828B = +$23.828B (+476.6%, x5.77)

Borrowed: $3.0B → $20.1B = +$17.1B (+570.0%, x6.70)

Annualized fees: $150M → $902.53M = +$752.53M (+501.7%, x6.02)

Annualized revenue: $20M → $111.84M = +$91.84M (+459.2%, x5.59)

x5-x7 GROWTH
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
2/ @aave in 2023 - 2024:

• TVL: $5B - $10B
• Borrowed: $3B - $7B
• Annualized fees: $150M - $300M
• Annualized revenue: $20M - $40M
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
1/ @aave today:
• TVL: $28.8B
• Borrowed: $20.1B
• Annualized fees: $902.5M
• Annualized revenue: $111.8M

That’s a real business.
February 5, 2026 at 1:40 PM
January 28, 2026 at 3:29 PM
• Waiting for @daylightenergy + @usdat21 - planning to rotate stables there
• Still holding $ALMANAK - brutal drawdown, didn’t sell a single token.

I’m in no rush to deploy into obscure protocols.
This market is deceptive. I’d rather wait for clean, high-signal launches.
January 28, 2026 at 3:29 PM
Waiting for Billions, Makina, MegaETH, Gensyn TGEs
Skipped $ZAMA

Major changes since the last update:
• Exited Lighter LLP - mandatory $LIT staking for LLP is a trash move
• Deployed more $ETH into EdgeX; farming + selling $MARU daily
January 28, 2026 at 3:29 PM
Mostly writing about Polymarket because I genuinely like the product.

Trades I’m running:

$FUN hedge short (entry 0.08985, take 0.05)
$GUN short into unlocks (entry 0.033, take 0.01)
$SOL long (entry 129, take 153)
$HYPE long (entry 24.49, take 31.7) ✅ hit TP today

ICO watchlist:
January 28, 2026 at 3:29 PM
DeFi (Tier 2):
> Hylo (~17% APY + points)

DeFi (Tier 3 / “anti-FOMO”):
> Glow / Loopscale / RateX (small size, Solana casino)

Prediction markets:
> Polymarket (fomo, I missed Opinion)

PerpDEX farming:
> Hyperliquid S2
> Tradexyz

InfoFi:
Nothing specific.
January 28, 2026 at 3:29 PM
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January 24, 2026 at 5:46 PM
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Cryptophile
Alpha | Airdrops | Research | Road to 1mln$
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January 24, 2026 at 5:46 PM
Shout-out to:

@edgeX_exchange
@edgeX_TraderX
@sodam_eth
@EdgeXShun
@ruixyz
@edgeX_KF
@edgeXMaru
@Defi_Warhol
@ViktorDefi
@0xFastLife
@zerokn0wledge_
@zacglov3r
@BitKing_1
@BobtheBuildooor
@Deebs_DeFi
@MaransCrypto
@asedd72
January 24, 2026 at 5:46 PM