Peter Cox
@coxypm.bsky.social
Climate scientist who believes that the world is simpler than it looks. Director of Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter
Reposted by Peter Cox
Crossing a climate tipping point doesn't mean tipping is inevitable - a threshold can be temporarily passed if overshoot is short-lived.
Limiting time over 1.5 °C would considerably reduce tipping point risks.
New Ideas paper from @exeter.ac.uk & UKCEH: esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/... 🧪
Limiting time over 1.5 °C would considerably reduce tipping point risks.
New Ideas paper from @exeter.ac.uk & UKCEH: esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/... 🧪
ESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot matters
Abstract. Climate tipping points are not committed to occur automatically upon crossing critical thresholds in global warming, as is often assumed. Instead, it is possible to temporarily overshoot a t...
esd.copernicus.org
September 16, 2025 at 11:19 AM
Crossing a climate tipping point doesn't mean tipping is inevitable - a threshold can be temporarily passed if overshoot is short-lived.
Limiting time over 1.5 °C would considerably reduce tipping point risks.
New Ideas paper from @exeter.ac.uk & UKCEH: esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/... 🧪
Limiting time over 1.5 °C would considerably reduce tipping point risks.
New Ideas paper from @exeter.ac.uk & UKCEH: esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/... 🧪
Reposted by Peter Cox
I wrote this paper to work how the climate-carbon system could enter a runaway state 👇
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
Conditions for instability in the climate–carbon cycle system
Abstract. The climate and carbon cycle interact in multiple ways. An increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere warms the climate through the greenhouse effect, but also leads to uptake of CO2 by th...
esd.copernicus.org
November 20, 2025 at 11:18 AM
I wrote this paper to work how the climate-carbon system could enter a runaway state 👇
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
Fascinating new paper from Joe Clarke et al., which addresses the question: could the climate-carbon system suffer a self-sustaining runaway feedback? @gsiexeter.bsky.social @ukceh.bsky.social @bolincentre.bsky.social
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
Conditions for instability in the climate–carbon cycle system
Abstract. The climate and carbon cycle interact in multiple ways. An increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere warms the climate through the greenhouse effect, but also leads to uptake of CO2 by th...
esd.copernicus.org
November 20, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Fascinating new paper from Joe Clarke et al., which addresses the question: could the climate-carbon system suffer a self-sustaining runaway feedback? @gsiexeter.bsky.social @ukceh.bsky.social @bolincentre.bsky.social
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
Reposted by Peter Cox
.
10% GDP boost to Global South from clean energy transition
We need to take urgent #ClimateAction right now to avoid the worst of Climate Change!
Find out more: www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/ne...
.
10% GDP boost to Global South from clean energy transition
We need to take urgent #ClimateAction right now to avoid the worst of Climate Change!
Find out more: www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/ne...
.
10% GDP boost to Global South from clean energy transition
A new Oxford Smith School report finds a rapid switch to renewables could double energy-sector productivity in low-to-middle income economies within 25 years. In many countries, this would result in a GDP boost by mid-century of around 10%.
www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk
November 19, 2025 at 7:00 AM
.
10% GDP boost to Global South from clean energy transition
We need to take urgent #ClimateAction right now to avoid the worst of Climate Change!
Find out more: www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/ne...
.
10% GDP boost to Global South from clean energy transition
We need to take urgent #ClimateAction right now to avoid the worst of Climate Change!
Find out more: www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/ne...
.
Reposted by Peter Cox
At 5:30pm UK time I will be joining @rogerhallam.com, @fisherdanar.bsky.social, @jeremylent.bsky.social for our panel discussion "Collapse in the 21st century and apocalyptic optimism", part of REV21. Join 👇
events.zoom.us/ejl/AjPpsEFu...
events.zoom.us/ejl/AjPpsEFu...
November 16, 2025 at 5:14 PM
At 5:30pm UK time I will be joining @rogerhallam.com, @fisherdanar.bsky.social, @jeremylent.bsky.social for our panel discussion "Collapse in the 21st century and apocalyptic optimism", part of REV21. Join 👇
events.zoom.us/ejl/AjPpsEFu...
events.zoom.us/ejl/AjPpsEFu...
Reposted by Peter Cox
In 2024, renewable energy accounted for over 90% of global power capacity expansion. That is because it makes economic sense. IRENA_DAT_RE_Capacity_Highlights_2025-1.pdf
November 16, 2025 at 11:22 AM
In 2024, renewable energy accounted for over 90% of global power capacity expansion. That is because it makes economic sense. IRENA_DAT_RE_Capacity_Highlights_2025-1.pdf
Reposted by Peter Cox
Where Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions Go (2015–2024 Average)
bit.ly/GCB2025-a
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
bit.ly/GCB2025-a
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
November 13, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Where Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions Go (2015–2024 Average)
bit.ly/GCB2025-a
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
bit.ly/GCB2025-a
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
Reposted by Peter Cox
Components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties as a function of time
bit.ly/GCB2025-b
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
bit.ly/GCB2025-b
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
November 13, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties as a function of time
bit.ly/GCB2025-b
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
bit.ly/GCB2025-b
Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659
Reposted by Peter Cox
"As a scientist, I've never had reason to be so concerned as I am today for the future we are facing," states PIK Director Johan Rockström as #COP30 kicks off in Belém, Brazil. The first ever Planetary Science Pavilion, under the mandate from COP30 Brazil, and together with Carlos A. Nobre,... 1/2
Raising the Voice of Science: COP30’s New Planetary Science Pavilion in Belém
YouTube video by Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research PIK
www.youtube.com
November 11, 2025 at 12:40 PM
"As a scientist, I've never had reason to be so concerned as I am today for the future we are facing," states PIK Director Johan Rockström as #COP30 kicks off in Belém, Brazil. The first ever Planetary Science Pavilion, under the mandate from COP30 Brazil, and together with Carlos A. Nobre,... 1/2
Reposted by Peter Cox
💡Read the latest #NGC news article to find out how this first multi-model benchmarking study identified growth and mortality rates as critical variables in the development of vegetation demographic models (VDMs). Click the link below: nextgencarbon-project.eu/news-thefirs...
The first multi-model benchmarking study | NextGenCarbon
nextgencarbon-project.eu
November 4, 2025 at 3:20 PM
💡Read the latest #NGC news article to find out how this first multi-model benchmarking study identified growth and mortality rates as critical variables in the development of vegetation demographic models (VDMs). Click the link below: nextgencarbon-project.eu/news-thefirs...
Reposted by Peter Cox
Read comments on the news article from the following #NextGenCarbon colleagues: Peter Cox @coxypm.bsky.social, Rosie Fisher @rosieafisher.bsky.social, Sebastiaan Luyssaert and Guillaume Marie.
Bluesky
er.bsky.social
November 4, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Read comments on the news article from the following #NextGenCarbon colleagues: Peter Cox @coxypm.bsky.social, Rosie Fisher @rosieafisher.bsky.social, Sebastiaan Luyssaert and Guillaume Marie.
Reposted by Peter Cox
The annual 10 new insights in climate science are here!
Perhaps the best way to keep up with climate science news of the past year, made for lay people, policy makers and scientists alike with its different levels of detail: from simple tiles to a journal paper.
10insightsclimate.science#explore
Perhaps the best way to keep up with climate science news of the past year, made for lay people, policy makers and scientists alike with its different levels of detail: from simple tiles to a journal paper.
10insightsclimate.science#explore
10 New Insights in Climate Science
Essential research findings to support decision-making in a critical decade.
10insightsclimate.science
October 31, 2025 at 8:52 AM
The annual 10 new insights in climate science are here!
Perhaps the best way to keep up with climate science news of the past year, made for lay people, policy makers and scientists alike with its different levels of detail: from simple tiles to a journal paper.
10insightsclimate.science#explore
Perhaps the best way to keep up with climate science news of the past year, made for lay people, policy makers and scientists alike with its different levels of detail: from simple tiles to a journal paper.
10insightsclimate.science#explore
Reposted by Peter Cox
Out today in JAMES!! Parameter Estimation in Land Surface Models: Challenges and Opportunities With Data Assimilation and Machine Learning doi.org/10.1029/2024... led by Nina Raoult, Natalie Douglas, @janasknits.bsky.social, @tquaife.bsky.social, me, and an awesome team of folks in the community 1/2
Parameter Estimation in Land Surface Models: Challenges and Opportunities With Data Assimilation and Machine Learning
Data assimilation (DA) has been shown to be a powerful tool for reducing land surface model (LSM) parametric uncertainty
Machine learning can facilitate parameter estimation by enhancing computat...
doi.org
October 29, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Out today in JAMES!! Parameter Estimation in Land Surface Models: Challenges and Opportunities With Data Assimilation and Machine Learning doi.org/10.1029/2024... led by Nina Raoult, Natalie Douglas, @janasknits.bsky.social, @tquaife.bsky.social, me, and an awesome team of folks in the community 1/2
Like most good things, it started with dinner.....
October 28, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Like most good things, it started with dinner.....
Reposted by Peter Cox
Getting ready for this evenings derailment risk lunch event at @chathamhouse.org.
October 28, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Getting ready for this evenings derailment risk lunch event at @chathamhouse.org.
Reposted by Peter Cox
How can we explore the future of the world's forests? Understanding the demography of their trees is key. In We took the new gen of global demographic vegetation models and held their roots to the observations. Thanks @annemarie-es.bsky.social for leading! nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
October 27, 2025 at 7:12 AM
How can we explore the future of the world's forests? Understanding the demography of their trees is key. In We took the new gen of global demographic vegetation models and held their roots to the observations. Thanks @annemarie-es.bsky.social for leading! nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Just published, a land-mark paper by Annemarie Eckes-Shephard et al.! It assesses the performance of a new generation of Demography-enabled Dynamic Global Vegetation (D-DGVMs), that attempt to simulate the changing size and age structure of trees in forests.
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 24, 2025 at 3:12 AM
Just published, a land-mark paper by Annemarie Eckes-Shephard et al.! It assesses the performance of a new generation of Demography-enabled Dynamic Global Vegetation (D-DGVMs), that attempt to simulate the changing size and age structure of trees in forests.
Reposted by Peter Cox
"Infamy! Infamy! They've all got it in for me!" Keneth William's line from Carry on Cleo and one of my favourite one-liners. It's taken from Denis Norton's and Frank Muir's radio comedy show "Take It from Here".
a woman is standing in a doorway in a room with purple curtains and a candle holder .
Alt: Actor Keneth Williams playing the role of Julius Caesar runs into a room shouting "Infamy, infamy, they've all got it in for me" while being chased by a Roman soldier with a sword.
media.tenor.com
October 11, 2025 at 2:54 PM
"Infamy! Infamy! They've all got it in for me!" Keneth William's line from Carry on Cleo and one of my favourite one-liners. It's taken from Denis Norton's and Frank Muir's radio comedy show "Take It from Here".
Reposted by Peter Cox
New paper in ESD (esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...) showing duration of overshoot matters for preventing climate systems from tipping. Crossing a tipping point does not equal tipping. Risk reduced if overshoot duration beyond 1.5 °C kept below a century. @coxypm.bsky.social @gsiexeter.bsky.social
September 15, 2025 at 11:00 AM
New paper in ESD (esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...) showing duration of overshoot matters for preventing climate systems from tipping. Crossing a tipping point does not equal tipping. Risk reduced if overshoot duration beyond 1.5 °C kept below a century. @coxypm.bsky.social @gsiexeter.bsky.social
Reposted by Peter Cox
Why on earth do the Tories want to keep people locked into high energy bills? And, come to that, why is the BBC citing Reform but saying nothing about climate science or renewable alternatives?
Complete madness - except for the fossil fuel industry of course
Complete madness - except for the fossil fuel industry of course
Tories pledge to get 'all our oil and gas out of the North Sea'
The government warns Kemi Badenoch's plans would "only accelerate the worsening climate crisis".
www.bbc.com
August 31, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Why on earth do the Tories want to keep people locked into high energy bills? And, come to that, why is the BBC citing Reform but saying nothing about climate science or renewable alternatives?
Complete madness - except for the fossil fuel industry of course
Complete madness - except for the fossil fuel industry of course
Reposted by Peter Cox
Sunday 7/27 at 10am PT on Climate Chat: @leonsimons.bsky.social interviews U of Exeter climate scientist Peter Cox on Acceleration of Global Warming and Climate Tipping Points.
#GlobalWarming
@coxypm.bsky.social @bikingmzstacey.bsky.social @radsci.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/5rsIoJe...
#GlobalWarming
@coxypm.bsky.social @bikingmzstacey.bsky.social @radsci.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/5rsIoJe...
Acceleration of Global Warming and Climate Tipping Points with Peter Cox
In this Climate Chat episode, Leon Simons interviews University of Exeter climate scientist Peter Cox about the acceleration of global warming, climate tipping points, and other climate-related subjec...
youtube.com
July 25, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Sunday 7/27 at 10am PT on Climate Chat: @leonsimons.bsky.social interviews U of Exeter climate scientist Peter Cox on Acceleration of Global Warming and Climate Tipping Points.
#GlobalWarming
@coxypm.bsky.social @bikingmzstacey.bsky.social @radsci.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/5rsIoJe...
#GlobalWarming
@coxypm.bsky.social @bikingmzstacey.bsky.social @radsci.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/5rsIoJe...
An excellent @carbonbrief.org article from @robmcsweeney.bsky.social based on discussion at the Global Tipping Points Conference last week. @gsiexeter.bsky.social
NEW – Experts: Which climate tipping point is the most concerning? | @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org
Read here: buff.ly/LkitgK7
Read here: buff.ly/LkitgK7
July 10, 2025 at 7:40 AM
An excellent @carbonbrief.org article from @robmcsweeney.bsky.social based on discussion at the Global Tipping Points Conference last week. @gsiexeter.bsky.social
Reposted by Peter Cox
NEW – Experts: Which climate tipping point is the most concerning? | @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org
Read here: buff.ly/LkitgK7
Read here: buff.ly/LkitgK7
July 9, 2025 at 4:26 PM
NEW – Experts: Which climate tipping point is the most concerning? | @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org
Read here: buff.ly/LkitgK7
Read here: buff.ly/LkitgK7
Reposted by Peter Cox
Nice article by Oceanographic magazine about our Galapagos plastics research programme.
oceanographicmagazine.com/features/inv...
oceanographicmagazine.com/features/inv...
Invisible enemies: A plastic crisis in our marine protected areas
When Galapagos turtle specialist Juan Pablo Muñoz-Pérez found particles in the bodies of dead turtles, he realised they had a plastic problem.
oceanographicmagazine.com
July 7, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Nice article by Oceanographic magazine about our Galapagos plastics research programme.
oceanographicmagazine.com/features/inv...
oceanographicmagazine.com/features/inv...