The EU is drifting further from climate leadership and a 1.5°C-compatible path.

Read the full analysis 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/countries/eu...

Instead, the proposed 2040 target allows for 85% domestic cuts, plus up to 5% international carbon credits, letting the EU emit significantly more by 2040.

The EU also:
❌ has no stronger 2030 target,
❌ no LULUCF plan,
❌ delays to ETS II + vehicle standards,
❌ and no fossil fuel phase-out.

Watch our press conference at COP30 - either watch it live at 0900 hrs Belém time or afterwards at the same link.
📺➡️ unfccc.int/event/climat...

Read the full analysis 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_Global_2...

The longer we wait, the larger the "targets gap": from 2030 to 2035, the gap between climate targets and the pathways to 1.5°C is projected to grow up to two billion tonnes, up from 26-29 GtCO2e in 2030, to 26-31 GtCO2e by 2035.

The Paris Agreement works! In 2015, our current policies pathway led to 3.6°C of warming by 2100. 10 years later this has dropped by around 1°C. This framework has rewritten the rules of global climate action - sparking investment, innovation, & reforms that would simply not have happened without it

As a result, warming under our “2030 and 2035 targets scenario” remains at 2.6°C, the same as last year, before 2035 NDCs were submitted. In other words, the 2035 NDCs so far submitted don't change the dial in terms of keeping warming to 1.5˚C.

Almost none of the 40 governments we analyse have updated their 2030 target, which is critical to keep warming levels below 1.5°C
... nor have they set out the kind of action in their new 2035 targets that would change the warming outlook.

This case of a developing country trying to decarbonise highlights the need for concessional finance to lower the risks of the energy transition - but it needs to be alongside reforms to a global financial system
...and emphasises the strong need for increased #ClimateFinance.

🔗 bit.ly/CAT_COL

Colombia's promise to halt new oil & gas exploration in a country that's fiscally & economically dependent on fossil fuels is significant.
However, this decarbonisation decision:
* lowers credit ratings
* raises interest rates on loans.
* exacerbates debt pressures
* undermines fiscal stability

While it has governance and social issues to deal with, Colombia's implementation gap is largely shaped by constraints beyond its borders, especially pressures on sovereign debt & a global financial architecture that discourages rapid decarbonisation in developing countries.
➡️ bit.ly/CAT_COL_poli...

However, the impact of Chile's coal phase-out could be undermined if planned reconversions lead to higher fossil gas use, although recent policy developments suggest a more cautious approach toward new fossil fuel energy projects.
Eight coal-fired plants could still continue operating until 2040.

President Boric intends bringing fwd the coal phase-out date to 2035 or earlier, but contingent on considerable improvements in renewable energy integration & grid infrastructure.
#Chile has retired an impressive >1.2 GW of coal capacity fm 11 plants since 2019.
More details 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_CHI_poli...

China has already exceeded its 2030 NDC targets for installing 1,200 GW of wind & solar capacity and a forest stock volume of about 18.5 billion m³
It is also on track to raising the share of non-fossil fuels in energy consumption to 25% by 2030. The new 2035 NDC further strengthens these 3 goals.

Strong growth in clean energy contributed to a 1% year-on-year decline in CO₂ emissions in the first half of 2025, with renewables accounting for nearly 40% of total power generation.
See our Policies & action page for all the detail on sectors
bit.ly/CAT_CHN_poli...

As Türkiye seeks to host #COP31 – demonstrating genuine climate ambition and leadership will be key to its credibility on the international stage.

Read the full update 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_TUR

To substantiate its commitment to reaching net zero by 2053, Türkiye will need to strengthen its 2030 target, submit a new 2035 NDC in line with 1.5C, develop a coal phase-out plan and stop investing in fossil fuels.

Türkiye will easily meet its 2030 target under current policies, which allows emissions to continue increasing. Its target of installing 120 GW of wind and solar capacity by 2035 is commendable, but would need to increase to 150 GW by 2035 to align with 1.5°C.

Why? The government's efforts to increase fossil gas production to become a gas hub, and its continued coal use, put Türkiye’s commitment to its net zero target in question and risk locking the country into a fossil fuel future.
➡️ bit.ly/CAT_TUR_poli...