Chris Meckstroth
@chrismeckstroth.bsky.social
Assoc. Professor of History, University of Cambridge. Writer on the history of democracy. Hailing from Normal, Illinois
I get that the idea must be - no waves, get an interest rate cut and hope growth recovers. not crazy, but trust is over and people will vote for 3rd and 4th parties. This govt is living in the past when everyone you had to convince was in the PLP, and if people tired of Tories you were in by default
November 27, 2025 at 9:40 PM
I get that the idea must be - no waves, get an interest rate cut and hope growth recovers. not crazy, but trust is over and people will vote for 3rd and 4th parties. This govt is living in the past when everyone you had to convince was in the PLP, and if people tired of Tories you were in by default
November 26, 2025 at 11:40 PM
Longer story if you’re interested is big gender gap opens up with Reagan in 1980, since then has fluctuated around a median of 17.5 points. Size of the recent gap doesn’t correlate to candidate’s gender - or even running a campaign centred on abortion rights, after Dobbs
November 18, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Longer story if you’re interested is big gender gap opens up with Reagan in 1980, since then has fluctuated around a median of 17.5 points. Size of the recent gap doesn’t correlate to candidate’s gender - or even running a campaign centred on abortion rights, after Dobbs
I like ‘pulverizer of all things’
November 16, 2025 at 7:20 PM
I like ‘pulverizer of all things’
& don’t get complacent - NYC is 100% urban, & NJ & VA dominated by suburbs, why none voted for Trump. & Trump hammered NJ & especially VA suburbs hard! His strategy is to polarise and lose there to win elsewhere, so don’t assume same swing replicates e.g. in postindustrial Midwest! Rural matters
Rural Versus Urban
How the urban-rural divide drives partisan polarization
press.princeton.edu
November 5, 2025 at 10:26 AM
& don’t get complacent - NYC is 100% urban, & NJ & VA dominated by suburbs, why none voted for Trump. & Trump hammered NJ & especially VA suburbs hard! His strategy is to polarise and lose there to win elsewhere, so don’t assume same swing replicates e.g. in postindustrial Midwest! Rural matters
+ big gender gap in NJ & VA. The whole debate about ‘centre’ vs. ‘Left’ seems to just reflect balance of suburban vs urban voters! Question is how to play in states w/ more RURAL too - probably need a 3rd plank to round out the coalition! Got values & interests, now how about respect?
November 5, 2025 at 10:26 AM
+ big gender gap in NJ & VA. The whole debate about ‘centre’ vs. ‘Left’ seems to just reflect balance of suburban vs urban voters! Question is how to play in states w/ more RURAL too - probably need a 3rd plank to round out the coalition! Got values & interests, now how about respect?
Critique’s right - but answer isn’t just (somehow?) being the cool kid on the playground. Missing issue is Trust - and Respect. If some voters think you ignored and deplored them for 30 years, they’re going to tune out what you’re saying. Winning policies show voters whose side you’re on!
October 25, 2025 at 12:47 PM
Critique’s right - but answer isn’t just (somehow?) being the cool kid on the playground. Missing issue is Trust - and Respect. If some voters think you ignored and deplored them for 30 years, they’re going to tune out what you’re saying. Winning policies show voters whose side you’re on!
Yes, some progressive policies, for educated, urban voters and young people, *and also some policies for rural voters without university degrees. In Wales Plaid speaks to both but in England Greens or Corbyn target urban or educated only. And current govt is losing both groups at once!
October 25, 2025 at 11:28 AM
Yes, some progressive policies, for educated, urban voters and young people, *and also some policies for rural voters without university degrees. In Wales Plaid speaks to both but in England Greens or Corbyn target urban or educated only. And current govt is losing both groups at once!