Chill Crypto
@chillcrypto.bsky.social
Crypto investing without the drama, hype and political bs. Find me on TradingView @chillcrypto (https://www.tradingview.com/u/chillcrypto/)... I also have a domain for sale: buymeasatoshi.com
Before we can have a big bust, we need to have a big boom. 2026 is gonna be spectacular.
Look for investments that support big tech - materials (copper), infrastructure (networks), and modern energy. Higher risk but big payoffs possible in robotics (healthcare, manufacturing).
Look for investments that support big tech - materials (copper), infrastructure (networks), and modern energy. Higher risk but big payoffs possible in robotics (healthcare, manufacturing).
January 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM
Before we can have a big bust, we need to have a big boom. 2026 is gonna be spectacular.
Look for investments that support big tech - materials (copper), infrastructure (networks), and modern energy. Higher risk but big payoffs possible in robotics (healthcare, manufacturing).
Look for investments that support big tech - materials (copper), infrastructure (networks), and modern energy. Higher risk but big payoffs possible in robotics (healthcare, manufacturing).
I hope everyone has a happy and healthy holidays. All the best success in 2026! Will 2026 be the year the #Bitcoin cycle is broken? We may have a shortened and more-shallow bear market this time. Either way, I'll send out a note when it's time to start DCA'ing back in. For now, enjoy and relax!
December 24, 2025 at 5:52 PM
I hope everyone has a happy and healthy holidays. All the best success in 2026! Will 2026 be the year the #Bitcoin cycle is broken? We may have a shortened and more-shallow bear market this time. Either way, I'll send out a note when it's time to start DCA'ing back in. For now, enjoy and relax!
Jason Pizzino - suggests when low may occur. youtu.be/o50OlLdfZb0?...
This lines up with my estimate of 140-148 days after the first major low, with a possible low of 52,750k USD.
Last cycle multiple bankruptcies drove the price lower which hopefully won't happen this time.
This lines up with my estimate of 140-148 days after the first major low, with a possible low of 52,750k USD.
Last cycle multiple bankruptcies drove the price lower which hopefully won't happen this time.
December 15, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Jason Pizzino - suggests when low may occur. youtu.be/o50OlLdfZb0?...
This lines up with my estimate of 140-148 days after the first major low, with a possible low of 52,750k USD.
Last cycle multiple bankruptcies drove the price lower which hopefully won't happen this time.
This lines up with my estimate of 140-148 days after the first major low, with a possible low of 52,750k USD.
Last cycle multiple bankruptcies drove the price lower which hopefully won't happen this time.
PlanB suggests #Bitcoin has entered a 'new market' rather than a 'bear market' due to institutional buying and selling behavior.
(Institutions maintain a 'percentage of portfolio' as they buy lower and sell higher vs. retail buys at extremes (lows and highs).)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGDR...
(Institutions maintain a 'percentage of portfolio' as they buy lower and sell higher vs. retail buys at extremes (lows and highs).)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGDR...
PlanB Bitcoin Prediction December 2025
YouTube video by PlanB
www.youtube.com
December 5, 2025 at 5:15 AM
PlanB suggests #Bitcoin has entered a 'new market' rather than a 'bear market' due to institutional buying and selling behavior.
(Institutions maintain a 'percentage of portfolio' as they buy lower and sell higher vs. retail buys at extremes (lows and highs).)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGDR...
(Institutions maintain a 'percentage of portfolio' as they buy lower and sell higher vs. retail buys at extremes (lows and highs).)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGDR...
#Bitcoin relief rally. Trend is down - but price movement is positive.
#BTC is challenging the 30-day moving average next. The last time we lost the 30D MA was at 114k. We've been below since. The 5-day MA generally indicates weakness when below the 30-day and strength when above.
#BTC is challenging the 30-day moving average next. The last time we lost the 30D MA was at 114k. We've been below since. The 5-day MA generally indicates weakness when below the 30-day and strength when above.
December 3, 2025 at 10:51 PM
#Bitcoin selling pressure remains despite building a constructive base, as long as we are above 90,340k.
To move higher we need a catalyst to liquidate shorts in the 91.5-95k range. Until then, downside pressure remains.
To move higher we need a catalyst to liquidate shorts in the 91.5-95k range. Until then, downside pressure remains.
November 30, 2025 at 4:54 AM
#Bitcoin selling pressure remains despite building a constructive base, as long as we are above 90,340k.
To move higher we need a catalyst to liquidate shorts in the 91.5-95k range. Until then, downside pressure remains.
To move higher we need a catalyst to liquidate shorts in the 91.5-95k range. Until then, downside pressure remains.
Holding this moving average is critical for continued rebound. (Shown is a 56-period SMA for the 5-Hour timeframe.) Positive that we pushed up above, but we need to confirm and move higher. We're re-testing at the moment.
November 27, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Holding this moving average is critical for continued rebound. (Shown is a 56-period SMA for the 5-Hour timeframe.) Positive that we pushed up above, but we need to confirm and move higher. We're re-testing at the moment.
In 2021 after #Bitcoin broke below the 400-Day SMA, we fell another 27%. If we copy/paste that correction to the current move, it would take us down to the 74k range. Which coincidentally is our April 2025 low.
If we do hit 74k, I'm buying back in. Then will take profit if we hit the 400-Day again
If we do hit 74k, I'm buying back in. Then will take profit if we hit the 400-Day again
November 23, 2025 at 12:13 AM
In 2021 after #Bitcoin broke below the 400-Day SMA, we fell another 27%. If we copy/paste that correction to the current move, it would take us down to the 74k range. Which coincidentally is our April 2025 low.
If we do hit 74k, I'm buying back in. Then will take profit if we hit the 400-Day again
If we do hit 74k, I'm buying back in. Then will take profit if we hit the 400-Day again
#Bitcoin rebounding from here is going to be a big stretch. No real catalyst at the moment. Recovery to 98k is your next exit opportunity.
November 21, 2025 at 3:28 PM
#Bitcoin rebounding from here is going to be a big stretch. No real catalyst at the moment. Recovery to 98k is your next exit opportunity.
#Bitcoin Magazine Pro 'officially' calls start of Bear Market. With the expectation of a relief rally to 100k range (50-week SMA). Matt made his last 'buy the dip' trade on this most recent low.
youtu.be/kc95QvVzmfM?...
youtu.be/kc95QvVzmfM?...
The Bitcoin Bear Market
YouTube video by Bitcoin Magazine Pro
youtu.be
November 18, 2025 at 2:48 PM
#Bitcoin Magazine Pro 'officially' calls start of Bear Market. With the expectation of a relief rally to 100k range (50-week SMA). Matt made his last 'buy the dip' trade on this most recent low.
youtu.be/kc95QvVzmfM?...
youtu.be/kc95QvVzmfM?...
#Bitcoin Fear and Greed hits lowest level since 24-Feb-2025 (11). 30% of Bitcoin held is at a loss. Historically these lowest levels are reserved for 'bear market lows'.
For comparison, 35% Bitcoin held at a loss Summer 2021. Fear and Greed was at 6 June 2022. Chart courtesy Coinglass.
For comparison, 35% Bitcoin held at a loss Summer 2021. Fear and Greed was at 6 June 2022. Chart courtesy Coinglass.
November 15, 2025 at 11:09 PM
#Bitcoin Fear and Greed hits lowest level since 24-Feb-2025 (11). 30% of Bitcoin held is at a loss. Historically these lowest levels are reserved for 'bear market lows'.
For comparison, 35% Bitcoin held at a loss Summer 2021. Fear and Greed was at 6 June 2022. Chart courtesy Coinglass.
For comparison, 35% Bitcoin held at a loss Summer 2021. Fear and Greed was at 6 June 2022. Chart courtesy Coinglass.
Just a what if... Projected #Bitcoin low target based on Jan-April price action = 86k.
This all depends on whether we lose 96k which is the short-term holder cost basis. Capitulation will accelerate the further down we go. All eyes will be on short term holder action.
This all depends on whether we lose 96k which is the short-term holder cost basis. Capitulation will accelerate the further down we go. All eyes will be on short term holder action.
November 14, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Just a what if... Projected #Bitcoin low target based on Jan-April price action = 86k.
This all depends on whether we lose 96k which is the short-term holder cost basis. Capitulation will accelerate the further down we go. All eyes will be on short term holder action.
This all depends on whether we lose 96k which is the short-term holder cost basis. Capitulation will accelerate the further down we go. All eyes will be on short term holder action.
Glassnode reports, "At $96K, nearly 99% of investors who accumulated #Bitcoin within the past 155 days are now holding at a loss." 📉https://glassno.de/47GyFfn
The one good news we have at this point is that the dips are being bought up. Our 'hyperliquid' whale 40x'd LONG #BTC at $96155 (2.4M).
The one good news we have at this point is that the dips are being bought up. Our 'hyperliquid' whale 40x'd LONG #BTC at $96155 (2.4M).
November 14, 2025 at 3:13 PM
If #Bitcoin closes below 100k today, this will be the first close with such negative price-action since March 2023 'US banking crisis' scare.
Meanwhile our 'hyperliquid' whale has switched bearish with 20x (2mil) and 40x (6mil) shorts. At some point he will be right. This time?
Meanwhile our 'hyperliquid' whale has switched bearish with 20x (2mil) and 40x (6mil) shorts. At some point he will be right. This time?
November 14, 2025 at 1:32 AM
If #Bitcoin closes below 100k today, this will be the first close with such negative price-action since March 2023 'US banking crisis' scare.
Meanwhile our 'hyperliquid' whale has switched bearish with 20x (2mil) and 40x (6mil) shorts. At some point he will be right. This time?
Meanwhile our 'hyperliquid' whale has switched bearish with 20x (2mil) and 40x (6mil) shorts. At some point he will be right. This time?
Coinglass reports the same whale just went 20x LONG leverage on #Bitcoin and #Ethereum (approx 3mil each trade) and at the same time went 5X SHORT on Solana to cover losses should we pull back. Seems nobody knows which way this is going.
200-Day is at 110k, below that has risk of rejection.
200-Day is at 110k, below that has risk of rejection.
November 9, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Even with all the selling, there are still large accounts willing to 10x and 20x Long #Bitcoin in the 100-101k range. Unfortunately this adds fuel to downside liquidation.
November 6, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Even with all the selling, there are still large accounts willing to 10x and 20x Long #Bitcoin in the 100-101k range. Unfortunately this adds fuel to downside liquidation.
#BTC You should always prepare for best and worst case scenario. Yes, the trajectory is down. But we can expect bear-market rallies.
Knowing that, Tuesday was an over-reaction and Wednesday is 'reverting to the mean' and rally (small or big, we don't know). Thursday will tell us the direction.
Knowing that, Tuesday was an over-reaction and Wednesday is 'reverting to the mean' and rally (small or big, we don't know). Thursday will tell us the direction.
November 5, 2025 at 4:46 PM
#BTC You should always prepare for best and worst case scenario. Yes, the trajectory is down. But we can expect bear-market rallies.
Knowing that, Tuesday was an over-reaction and Wednesday is 'reverting to the mean' and rally (small or big, we don't know). Thursday will tell us the direction.
Knowing that, Tuesday was an over-reaction and Wednesday is 'reverting to the mean' and rally (small or big, we don't know). Thursday will tell us the direction.