Carla Cebula
@carlaonion.bsky.social
Lead analyst for Scotland at the Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social
Background in understanding social inequalities in education, now focused on poverty and inequality.
Background in understanding social inequalities in education, now focused on poverty and inequality.
Reposted by Carla Cebula
Govt admits remaining cuts will pull at least 150,000 people into poverty by 2029. But its new impact assessment is again misleading – it could be more like 250,000. (Same reason as why Govt’s previous poverty assessment understated the impact – see: bsky.app/profile/iain...) 2/7
DWP is using a sleight of hand in its disability benefit cuts impact assessment: Actual increase in poverty is closer to 400,000, not the 250,000 in the impact assessment.
Quick thread explaining why. 🧵1/7
Quick thread explaining why. 🧵1/7
June 30, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Govt admits remaining cuts will pull at least 150,000 people into poverty by 2029. But its new impact assessment is again misleading – it could be more like 250,000. (Same reason as why Govt’s previous poverty assessment understated the impact – see: bsky.app/profile/iain...) 2/7
It is possible for the next Scottish Parliament meet the Child Poverty Reduction Targets with political will and bold action. You can find the toolkit here: www.jrf.org.uk/child-povert...
Meeting the moment: Scottish Election 2026
A toolkit to help Scottish political parties shape their thinking and action to meet the 2030/31 child poverty reduction targets ahead of the 2026 Scottish Election.
www.jrf.org.uk
June 2, 2025 at 9:41 AM
It is possible for the next Scottish Parliament meet the Child Poverty Reduction Targets with political will and bold action. You can find the toolkit here: www.jrf.org.uk/child-povert...
Our third combined scenario includes an increase of the SCP, targeted social security policies to families most at risk and supporting parents into more and better work, reducing the child poverty rate to 10% and meeting the targets.
June 2, 2025 at 9:41 AM
Our third combined scenario includes an increase of the SCP, targeted social security policies to families most at risk and supporting parents into more and better work, reducing the child poverty rate to 10% and meeting the targets.
While both social security and work policies have significant potential to reduce child poverty on their own, it is only through combining these policies at scale that we can reach the targets.
You can see the details of all the policies we modelled here: public.flourish.studio/story/3139770/
You can see the details of all the policies we modelled here: public.flourish.studio/story/3139770/
Socials story
A Flourish story by Carla Cebula
public.flourish.studio
June 2, 2025 at 9:41 AM
While both social security and work policies have significant potential to reduce child poverty on their own, it is only through combining these policies at scale that we can reach the targets.
You can see the details of all the policies we modelled here: public.flourish.studio/story/3139770/
You can see the details of all the policies we modelled here: public.flourish.studio/story/3139770/
We could reduce the number of children in poverty by…
* 60,000 by supporting their parents into work and more work
* 10,000 by increasing take-up of the Scottish Child Payment (SCP) to 100%
* 70,000 by increasing SCP to £100
* 60,000 by supporting their parents into work and more work
* 10,000 by increasing take-up of the Scottish Child Payment (SCP) to 100%
* 70,000 by increasing SCP to £100
June 2, 2025 at 9:41 AM
We could reduce the number of children in poverty by…
* 60,000 by supporting their parents into work and more work
* 10,000 by increasing take-up of the Scottish Child Payment (SCP) to 100%
* 70,000 by increasing SCP to £100
* 60,000 by supporting their parents into work and more work
* 10,000 by increasing take-up of the Scottish Child Payment (SCP) to 100%
* 70,000 by increasing SCP to £100
The toolkit shows how different policy options can reduce child poverty. We model these policies and see how close they take us to the targets.
We don’t suggest one specific policy solution but instead show the scale of the challenge needing to be met.
We don’t suggest one specific policy solution but instead show the scale of the challenge needing to be met.
June 2, 2025 at 9:41 AM
The toolkit shows how different policy options can reduce child poverty. We model these policies and see how close they take us to the targets.
We don’t suggest one specific policy solution but instead show the scale of the challenge needing to be met.
We don’t suggest one specific policy solution but instead show the scale of the challenge needing to be met.