If you adjust for SOS, Bills and Rams would likely be ahead

#SuperbowlLX #NFL Leans!
- Too many points considering how close these teams are
- Pats have faced top-10 defenses exclusively in the playoffs and are undefeated
- Great passing, explosive play, and late down matchups on both sides

#NFL Leans for this week!
- Nix being out flips this and makes the Pats a slight value
- Rams have been worse as of late, so the spread is about right

Is the downgrade from Darnold to Lock that different though???

If the 49ers can overcome that Seattle defense, they have a real shot at pulling off the upset, even with the 49ers defense not being very good #NFL #Analytics

Only issue I have is if Young is great next year and Panthers think that'll be the new standard, they could give him a top-5 contract. Young's proven he's average with high variance. That's deserving of a middle of the road contract, but nothing higher

The Panthers corners! Are! Good!

I argued Panthers D would be average this year, after a historically bad 2024. They're probably closer to 20th than 15th, but I'll take it... open.substack.com/pub/samburch... #KeepPounding #NFL

#NFL Leans!
- Pats faced an easy schedule, but Maye should help them cruise to a win
- Panthers and Rams is the biggest playoff mismatch in a while
- Bills-Jags & Bears-Packers the games of the week