Bill Hare
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billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare
@billhare.bsky.social
Climate science, impacts, policy and 1.5C
What we have seen in the last few years is many countries, including very rich ones such as Australia, Qatar, Norway, UAE, USA, support massive new development of fossil fuels notably oil and gas. Unless this stops the world will literally cook.
October 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM
A very serious political response is needed at CO30 in Belem, Brazil to the Paris Agreement NDC Synthesis Report yesterday that collectively these would cut emissions only 17 per cent below the 2019 levels by 2035. It’s not nearly enough.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
World’s climate plans fall drastically short of action needed, analysis shows
Recent plans submitted to UN by more than 60 countries would cut carbon by only 10%, a sixth of what is needed
www.theguardian.com
October 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM
The next few years are going to be critical in deciding whether the world can avoid the worst global warming damages, or lock in escalating damages. In this context the upcoming UNFCCC COP30 in Brazil is the most important since the Paris Agreement was adopted in 2015.
October 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Hurricane #Melissa, which the WMO has called the storm of the century, has caused catastrophic damage in Jamaica and is now heading for Cuba. Melissa is example of the events that will get more and more destructive unless warming is limited.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
Live: Cuba braces as Hurricane Melissa hits the region, 700,000 people evacuated
The World Meteorological Organization says the Caribbean region faces a "catastrophic situation" in the coming hours.
www.abc.net.au
October 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM
We can stop global warming by midcentury if we reach global net-zero CO₂ by 2050
Every year above 1.5°C raises the risk of crossing tipping points—irreversible ice loss, shifts in ocean circulation, ecosystem collapse, increasing economic damage due to heat, flooding, more intense storms.
October 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM
This means immediate, sustained emissions cuts across all sectors, rapid phase-out of fossil fuels. Countries need to stop using forests to “offset” fossil fuel emissions. We have never been in a better position to achieve this due to rapidly reducing costs of renewable power
October 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Getting back well below 1.5°C before 2100 is still possible, but only if we act now to peak global warming as close as possible to 1.5˚C and minimise overshoot to reduce chance of crossing tipping points and to avoid catastrophic damages.
climateanalytics.org/publications...
Latest science on the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement
This briefing provides a comprehensive overview of what the science is saying now about the 1.5°C warming limit – what it means, what is at stake, and what actions are needed to limit the risks of ove...
climateanalytics.org
October 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM