Astral Codex Ten
@astralcodexten.skystack.xyz
P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.
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This is an automated Substack Account of https://www.astralcodexten.com
Discover more/Create at: @skystack.xyz
The Permanent Emergency • ...
The Permanent Emergency
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January 9, 2026 at 6:43 PM
The Permanent Emergency • ...
Sell Me This Pen • ...
Sell Me This Pen
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January 8, 2026 at 6:43 AM
Sell Me This Pen • ...
Hidden Open Thread 415.5 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 415.5
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January 8, 2026 at 6:43 AM
Hidden Open Thread 415.5 • ...
Highlights From The Comments On Boomers • ...
Highlights From The Comments On Boomers
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January 6, 2026 at 3:43 AM
Highlights From The Comments On Boomers • ...
Open Thread 415 • ...
Open Thread 415
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January 5, 2026 at 6:43 AM
Open Thread 415 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 414.5 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 414.5
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January 3, 2026 at 12:43 AM
Hidden Open Thread 414.5 • ...
You Have Only X Years To Escape Permanent Moon Ownership • ...
You Have Only X Years To Escape Permanent Moon Ownership
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January 2, 2026 at 3:43 AM
You Have Only X Years To Escape Permanent Moon Ownership • ...
Learn Phrygian In Zero Days • ...
Learn Phrygian In Zero Days
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January 1, 2026 at 6:43 AM
Learn Phrygian In Zero Days • ...
Highlights From The Comments On Vibecession • ...
Highlights From The Comments On Vibecession
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December 31, 2025 at 6:42 AM
Highlights From The Comments On Vibecession • ...
Open Thread 414 • ...
Open Thread 414
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December 29, 2025 at 6:42 AM
Open Thread 414 • ...
ACX/Metaculus Prediction Contest 2026 • ...
ACX/Metaculus Prediction Contest 2026
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December 27, 2025 at 6:44 AM
ACX/Metaculus Prediction Contest 2026 • ...
Open Thread 413 • ...
Open Thread 413
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December 22, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Open Thread 413 • ...
Against Against Boomers • ...
Against Against Boomers
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December 19, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Against Against Boomers • ...
The Pledge • Content warning: attempting to guilt you into donating money
The Pledge
Content warning: attempting to guilt you into donating money
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December 17, 2025 at 6:43 PM
The Pledge • Content warning: attempting to guilt you into donating money
Open Thread 412 • ...
Open Thread 412
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December 15, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Open Thread 412 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 411.5 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 411.5
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December 11, 2025 at 12:43 AM
Hidden Open Thread 411.5 • ...
Links For December 2025 • ...
Links For December 2025
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December 10, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Links For December 2025 • ...
Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know • ...
Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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December 4, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know • ...
Hidden Open Thread 410.5 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 410.5
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December 4, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Hidden Open Thread 410.5 • ...
The Good News Is That One Side Has Definitively Won The Missing Heritability Debate • ...
The Good News Is That One Side Has Definitively Won The Missing Heritability Debate
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December 3, 2025 at 6:45 PM
The Good News Is That One Side Has Definitively Won The Missing Heritability Debate • ...
Open Thread 410 • ...
Open Thread 410
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December 1, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Open Thread 410 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 409.5 • ...
Hidden Open Thread 409.5
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November 28, 2025 at 6:45 AM
Hidden Open Thread 409.5 • ...
Against The Omnipresent Advantage Argument For Trans Sports • ...
Against The Omnipresent Advantage Argument For Trans Sports
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November 27, 2025 at 3:43 AM
Against The Omnipresent Advantage Argument For Trans Sports • ...
Why AI Safety Won't Make America Lose The Race With China • ...
Why AI Safety Won't Make America Lose The Race With China
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November 26, 2025 at 3:43 AM
Why AI Safety Won't Make America Lose The Race With China • ...
Open Thread 409 • ...
Open Thread 409
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November 24, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Open Thread 409 • ...