Arnaud Dellis
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arnauddellis.bsky.social
Arnaud Dellis
@arnauddellis.bsky.social
Professor of Economics at the University of Quebec in Montreal. Main research interests: lobbying and electoral systems. 🇨🇦🇪🇺
Congrats! 👏👏👏
September 15, 2025 at 5:24 PM
👏👏👏
May 28, 2025 at 6:19 AM
Hope people are safe
April 17, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Beautiful Denmark.
March 10, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Really interesting
March 6, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Trump has indeed been a huge (electoral) gift to Liberals. But it needs to be seen if it will materialize in the next election (no later than September). Also, it happened by changing the salient issue. The ‘ballot box question’ has shifted to ‘who can best handle the economic effects of Trump?’
March 5, 2025 at 9:16 PM
I must confess that I have no clue what he believes or does not believe. I just observe the economic damages he is causing to both the US and abroad.
March 5, 2025 at 1:18 PM
But he has created uncertainty, which creates a lot of economic damage. This uncertainty will stay if he continually threatens to reinstate tariffs.So he might have reached, at least in part, its objective.
March 5, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Interesting
February 24, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Beautiful Copenhagen
February 24, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Provocative question: Could they form a CDU/SpD/Grüne coalition without CSU (that opposed a coalition with Die Grüne)? I know it won’t happen. But can it ‘technically’ happen?
February 23, 2025 at 7:21 PM
While agreeing totally with you, I see some silver lining in the results. Immigration seems to have been the salient issue in the campaign. This issue is owned by the Afd. But yet they are at ‘only’ 20%. On ‘their’ issue, they ‘underperformed’. A campaign on the economy, zB, may be tougher for them.
February 23, 2025 at 7:15 PM
It will be important to disentangle Musk’s effect. Has Musk contributed to mobilizing equally pro-Afd and anti-Afd citizens? Or did he have no effect at all? Or did he have a negative/positive effect that counterbalanced the effect of other events (attacks, Merz’ move in Bundestag, usw)?
February 23, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Am I right thinking that Afd seems to have reached, at least for the time being, a ceiling. Their vote intentions have been somewhat stagnant for weeks, despite the attacks (Magdeburg, Aschaffenburg, München, Berlin) and Musk’s ‘support’?
February 23, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Same for me
February 23, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Exactly what was on my list. I would add, how well/bad does Die Grüne do?
February 23, 2025 at 1:40 PM