Here are the same composites but for surface zonal wind anomalies.

Here are some quick plots of the identified warming and cooling periods (i.e. 1992-2006 and 2006-2020) in the Reanalysis dataset. Notice the remarkable mirror image in the 200mb streamfunction anomalies between the two periods.

Got a visible faint red here in cloudy Burlington, NJ

I think I might see some green in a cloud break to the north!

I'm not going to lie to you. I will keep checking anyway. 😂

If you ever look into this or find the research that does, definitely lmk. I'm interested to know too. It's easy to speculate that there is a delay, but I could see nonlinear processes, E Pac forcing, etc. making it messier or not as clear cut.

Thank you for the plots! And it's nice to see corroborating ideas. I haven't had a lot of time lately to dive into things, but it appears we're still on track.

Yet another ridiculous day of wind in this state. I'm glad to hear she's ok.

🥂

If it doesn't turn soon, it's going to follow 78° right into Montego.

Longest eastern eyewall inundation in the Crawford/Black River cove it looks like. You agree?

One of the strongest hurricanes ever observed just before landfall. Brutal.

You can kind of see the subtle ridge trend here on the last 4 runs of GFS for 00z 10/28.