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Alpha Democrat
@alphademocrat.bsky.social
Electoral data analyst tracking veteran Democrat success
📊 Research: Why veterans win competitive races
🎯 2018: Vets helped flip 41 House seats | 2024: Gallego, Walz
📈 Data-driven insights for campaigns & strategy
🔗 alphademocrat.com
For better or worse it's a two party system, and you can't govern if you don't win.
December 3, 2025 at 3:31 PM
2018's vet recruits helped flip 41 seats. Last year Gallego outran Harris by 8 points in Arizona. This year Sherrill won the NJ governor's race.

Democrats can win if they field candidates who can win over swing voters.
December 3, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Behn focused on affordability the entire race. How'd that work out?

The issue isn't policy vs. profile. It's whether your candidate can survive attacks long enough to talk about policy at all.
December 3, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Valid points, and I've updated the article subtitle to acknowledge the race has tightened. You're right that 41-39 is effectively a tie. Thanks for the constructive feedback — always good to be held to accuracy. 🙏
December 2, 2025 at 5:23 AM
You're right — the 34-pt lead is from the Oct 16-21 UNH poll. A late Oct MPRC poll showed it tightening to 41-39. As the post notes "the race has tightened since, but Platner maintains a lead." Thanks for keeping us accurate! 🙏
December 1, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Fort Campbell military base is IN TN-7, and Dems aren't running a veteran. When you're down 22 points, you need every advantage. Veterans outperform other Dems by 3-8 points with independents.
New: alphademocrat.com/ohio-senate-2026-why-democrats-need-a-veteran-succession-plan-for-sherrod-brown/
Ohio Senate 2026: Democrats Need Veteran Succession Plan
Sherrod Brown trails 50-44% in Ohio Senate 2026 race. With 600K veterans and no succession plan, Democrats must recruit military candidates now or face permanent defeat.
alphademocrat.com
November 25, 2025 at 10:47 AM
The objective is to WIN, not to promote more partisan candidates who will win their primaries but lose in the general election. Veteran Democrats can go a long way to bridge the progressive-moderate divide.

Target SWING voters. That's the Alpha Democrat strategy.
alphademocrat.com
Veteran Democrat Candidates Win: Alpha Democrat Strategy
Veteran Democrats like Ruben Gallego and Tim Walz win elections. Learn the proven Warrior Democrat strategy that flipped 41 House seats in 2018.Veteran Democrats like Ruben Gallego and Tim Walz win el...
alphademocrat.com
November 17, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Incredible to see veteran women stepping up with this kind of clarity and purpose. The Hell Cats could genuinely reshape the 2026 map. Great read on their impact here → alphademocrat.com/hell-cats-ve...
The Hell Cats: Four Veteran Women Who Could Flip the House in 2026
The Hell Cats—Rebecca Bennett, Cait Conley, JoAnna Mendoza, and Maura Sullivan—are veteran women running for Congress in 2026. They could flip the House.
https://alphademocrat.com/hell-cats-veteran-women-2026-house-races/”
November 16, 2025 at 12:16 PM
This is the 2026 veteran Democrat strategy in action. Four female veterans (The Hell Cats) targeting competitive House seats. The data: veteran Dems outperform by 5.83 points on average. Bennett (NJ-07), Conley (NY-17), Mendoza (AZ-06), Sullivan (NH-01) — watch these races.
November 16, 2025 at 10:48 AM
Worth noting: Abigail Spanberger is a former CIA officer and Army veteran.
This is the veteran Democrat electoral advantage in action. Military/intelligence service creates credibility with swing voters that other Democrats lack.
Data: vet Dems outperform non-veterans by 3-8 points w/ independents.
November 16, 2025 at 10:45 AM
I'm with you, Hank. And there's a candidate profile that delivers both variety AND Fox News immunity: military veterans. Vet Democrats run across the ideological spectrum, but all outperform by 3-8 points with independents. Can't be attacked as weak. Target swing voters with vet candidates.
November 16, 2025 at 10:43 AM
Exactly. And there's a proven candidate profile that transforms Democratic credibility: military veterans. Veteran Dems outperform by 3-8 points with independents. They flip swing seats. They're immune to GOP attacks. Target swing voters. That's how you transform the party.
November 16, 2025 at 10:33 AM
Great analysis. Worth noting for 2026: Pennsylvania's open Senate seat (Casey retiring) will be one of Democrats' toughest holds. The veteran Democrat strategy that worked in AZ (Gallego) and MI (Slotkin) could be the path to keeping PA blue. Data: vets outperform by 3-8 points with independents.
November 16, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Absolutely. And those lanes are being filled by military veteran candidates across the ideological spectrum. Progressive vets (Gallego) and moderates (Slotkin) both outperform non-veterans by 3-8 points with independents. The service record creates electoral space for different policy positions.
November 16, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Worth noting: Platner is also a Marine Corps veteran targeting Maine's 2026 Senate race.
Progressive populist + military service = the electoral formula that works. Vet candidates outperform by 3-8 points w/ independents regardless of ideology.
Young, progressive, AND a vet. That's the combination.
November 16, 2025 at 10:18 AM
You want candidates with spine? Recruit military veterans. Data: Veteran Democrats outperform non-veterans by 3-8 points with independents. They're immune to GOP attacks. They win swing seats. Gallego (AZ), Slotkin (MI), Sherrill (NJ) all won in 2024. Target swing voters and recruit vets for 2026.
November 16, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Exactly right. The data shows who voters trust as "fighters": military veterans.
Vets outperform by 3-8 points with independents. They're immune to "weak on defense" attacks.
VoteVets is recruiting 100+ veteran candidates for 2026. That's the strategy.
November 16, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Here's what the data shows: veteran Democrats win regardless of ideology. Progressive vets and establishment vets both outperform non-veterans by 3-8 points with independents.
Gallego (AZ), Slotkin (MI), Sherrill (NJ) — different lanes, same results.
The advantage is the uniform, not the platform.
November 16, 2025 at 9:20 AM