Alexander F. Gazmararian
@agazmararian.bsky.social
Social scientist studying political economy, behavior, and climate change. Prof @ University of Michigan
Research: www.alexgaz.org
Book: https://uncertainfuturesbook.com
Research: www.alexgaz.org
Book: https://uncertainfuturesbook.com
Excited to start my grad & undergrad classes on the political economy of climate politics this semester 🌍
For the undergrads, I’ve added new simulations — including a day playing Catan: New Energies!
Happy to share syllabi with anyone designing or updating courses.
For the undergrads, I’ve added new simulations — including a day playing Catan: New Energies!
Happy to share syllabi with anyone designing or updating courses.
August 16, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Excited to start my grad & undergrad classes on the political economy of climate politics this semester 🌍
For the undergrads, I’ve added new simulations — including a day playing Catan: New Energies!
Happy to share syllabi with anyone designing or updating courses.
For the undergrads, I’ve added new simulations — including a day playing Catan: New Energies!
Happy to share syllabi with anyone designing or updating courses.
nytimes.com/2025/05/23/b...
While some GOP House members wrote letters, in the end, none would tank the whole bill to save the IRA's EV incentives.
While some GOP House members wrote letters, in the end, none would tank the whole bill to save the IRA's EV incentives.
May 23, 2025 at 11:57 AM
nytimes.com/2025/05/23/b...
While some GOP House members wrote letters, in the end, none would tank the whole bill to save the IRA's EV incentives.
While some GOP House members wrote letters, in the end, none would tank the whole bill to save the IRA's EV incentives.
It's so cool to see this paper in print!
Relevant if you're interested in:
- The domestic politics of stopping global warming
- How voters understand their changing economic circumstances
- The erosion of working-class support for Democrats
www.journals.uchicago.edu/eprint/HBDCS...
Relevant if you're interested in:
- The domestic politics of stopping global warming
- How voters understand their changing economic circumstances
- The erosion of working-class support for Democrats
www.journals.uchicago.edu/eprint/HBDCS...
February 21, 2025 at 4:20 PM
It's so cool to see this paper in print!
Relevant if you're interested in:
- The domestic politics of stopping global warming
- How voters understand their changing economic circumstances
- The erosion of working-class support for Democrats
www.journals.uchicago.edu/eprint/HBDCS...
Relevant if you're interested in:
- The domestic politics of stopping global warming
- How voters understand their changing economic circumstances
- The erosion of working-class support for Democrats
www.journals.uchicago.edu/eprint/HBDCS...
Updated paper ⬇️ on how vulnerability moderates political responses to climate shocks. Check it out!
osf.io/preprints/os...
osf.io/preprints/os...
January 14, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Updated paper ⬇️ on how vulnerability moderates political responses to climate shocks. Check it out!
osf.io/preprints/os...
osf.io/preprints/os...
Great paper on this:
November 26, 2024 at 8:58 PM
Great paper on this:
Some new research on how time horizons affect policy preferences.
Tldr: it's possible to lengthen time horizons and increase support for climate policy
Open access: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Tldr: it's possible to lengthen time horizons and increase support for climate policy
Open access: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
November 24, 2024 at 3:53 PM
Some new research on how time horizons affect policy preferences.
Tldr: it's possible to lengthen time horizons and increase support for climate policy
Open access: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Tldr: it's possible to lengthen time horizons and increase support for climate policy
Open access: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Thrilled to share that my paper on electoral backlash in coal country---and the politics of visibility---has been conditionally accepted at JOP! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
January 7, 2024 at 10:40 PM
Thrilled to share that my paper on electoral backlash in coal country---and the politics of visibility---has been conditionally accepted at JOP! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Check out our updated paper on when governments respond to climate change with mitigation policy papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
November 27, 2023 at 9:13 PM
Check out our updated paper on when governments respond to climate change with mitigation policy papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
We also have rich interview evidence with auto workers and union leaders that reveals how uncertainty about promised benefits manifests
Our findings here align with focus groups in previous work
Our findings here align with focus groups in previous work
November 16, 2023 at 2:35 PM
We also have rich interview evidence with auto workers and union leaders that reveals how uncertainty about promised benefits manifests
Our findings here align with focus groups in previous work
Our findings here align with focus groups in previous work
Suggestive of our uncertainty mechanism, there is no electoral backlash in counties that received EV investments as measured with private industry data on EV investments
November 16, 2023 at 2:35 PM
Suggestive of our uncertainty mechanism, there is no electoral backlash in counties that received EV investments as measured with private industry data on EV investments
We find increasing EV salience caused a 3% increase in Republican vote share in the union gas-vehicle counties compared to union.
And pre-trends are parallel, so this is an appropriate setting to learn about causality.
And pre-trends are parallel, so this is an appropriate setting to learn about causality.
November 16, 2023 at 2:35 PM
We find increasing EV salience caused a 3% increase in Republican vote share in the union gas-vehicle counties compared to union.
And pre-trends are parallel, so this is an appropriate setting to learn about causality.
And pre-trends are parallel, so this is an appropriate setting to learn about causality.
We approach this challenge with a dif-in-dif design leveraging disaggregated data to identify union counties producing gas-vehicle specific components (eg., engines) compared to those making other auto parts (eg, auto bodies). We match counties on trade exposure, socio-demo, etc
November 16, 2023 at 2:35 PM
We approach this challenge with a dif-in-dif design leveraging disaggregated data to identify union counties producing gas-vehicle specific components (eg., engines) compared to those making other auto parts (eg, auto bodies). We match counties on trade exposure, socio-demo, etc
But canonical theories would predict that the UAW’s support of industrial policy and endorsement of Democrats should lead its members and communities to be more certain about the benefits of the EV transition
November 16, 2023 at 2:34 PM
But canonical theories would predict that the UAW’s support of industrial policy and endorsement of Democrats should lead its members and communities to be more certain about the benefits of the EV transition
We build on political economy theories of reform, arguing that this uncertainty about who wins or loses from industrial policy investments can give rise to status quo bias
➡️ communities manufacturing gas vehicle parts more likely to vote for GOP pres. as EV salience grows
➡️ communities manufacturing gas vehicle parts more likely to vote for GOP pres. as EV salience grows
November 16, 2023 at 2:34 PM
We build on political economy theories of reform, arguing that this uncertainty about who wins or loses from industrial policy investments can give rise to status quo bias
➡️ communities manufacturing gas vehicle parts more likely to vote for GOP pres. as EV salience grows
➡️ communities manufacturing gas vehicle parts more likely to vote for GOP pres. as EV salience grows
These trends and our interviews with UAW insiders lead us to pinpoint 2013-2016 as the period when EVs begin to grow in salience. EVs sales also start to take off.
November 16, 2023 at 2:33 PM
These trends and our interviews with UAW insiders lead us to pinpoint 2013-2016 as the period when EVs begin to grow in salience. EVs sales also start to take off.
EVs are in the news, but their growth began with industrial policies in ‘08, including tax credits, and a loan program that invested +$9B in companies like Tesla
Globally, 10 jurisdictions btwn ‘16-17 announced goals to phase out ICE vehicles
Globally, 10 jurisdictions btwn ‘16-17 announced goals to phase out ICE vehicles
November 16, 2023 at 2:33 PM
EVs are in the news, but their growth began with industrial policies in ‘08, including tax credits, and a loan program that invested +$9B in companies like Tesla
Globally, 10 jurisdictions btwn ‘16-17 announced goals to phase out ICE vehicles
Globally, 10 jurisdictions btwn ‘16-17 announced goals to phase out ICE vehicles
To investigate this question, we used a mixed-methods approach examining how auto-manufacturing communities are responding to the EV transition
The US auto industry employs over 1.1 million manufacturing workers—many in swing states
The US auto industry employs over 1.1 million manufacturing workers—many in swing states
November 16, 2023 at 2:33 PM
To investigate this question, we used a mixed-methods approach examining how auto-manufacturing communities are responding to the EV transition
The US auto industry employs over 1.1 million manufacturing workers—many in swing states
The US auto industry employs over 1.1 million manufacturing workers—many in swing states
There’s great work on the electoral effects of climate policy when it imposes certain costs @leahstokes.bsky.social @erikvoeten.bsky.social
But we know less about industrial policy, despite it being the main policy approach countries have turned to (eg, IRA)
But we know less about industrial policy, despite it being the main policy approach countries have turned to (eg, IRA)
November 16, 2023 at 2:32 PM
There’s great work on the electoral effects of climate policy when it imposes certain costs @leahstokes.bsky.social @erikvoeten.bsky.social
But we know less about industrial policy, despite it being the main policy approach countries have turned to (eg, IRA)
But we know less about industrial policy, despite it being the main policy approach countries have turned to (eg, IRA)
Excited to share a new paper on the electoral effects of green industrial policy with Lewis Krashinsky
Paper: bit.ly/3QEMsJI
Thread below. polisky
Paper: bit.ly/3QEMsJI
Thread below. polisky
November 16, 2023 at 2:31 PM
Excited to share a new paper on the electoral effects of green industrial policy with Lewis Krashinsky
Paper: bit.ly/3QEMsJI
Thread below. polisky
Paper: bit.ly/3QEMsJI
Thread below. polisky
I'm excited to share that my article on fossil fuel community preferences over just transition assistance is out and open access at Energy Policy! sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
November 15, 2023 at 1:35 AM
I'm excited to share that my article on fossil fuel community preferences over just transition assistance is out and open access at Energy Policy! sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
And here’s Prof. James Engell:
November 13, 2023 at 4:30 PM
And here’s Prof. James Engell:
Here’s Prof. Margaret Levi:
November 13, 2023 at 4:30 PM
Here’s Prof. Margaret Levi:
Here’s Prof. Michael J. Sandel
November 13, 2023 at 4:30 PM
Here’s Prof. Michael J. Sandel
We’re grateful that the book’s blurbs are from scholars and practitioners who have shaped our thinking on climate politics.
Here’s Former Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz:
Here’s Former Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz:
November 13, 2023 at 4:30 PM
We’re grateful that the book’s blurbs are from scholars and practitioners who have shaped our thinking on climate politics.
Here’s Former Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz:
Here’s Former Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz:
Here we’ll talk about one solution: transparency 🔍
This story starts with a license plate counting expedition, Lucas Franco, a union researcher, was cataloging the states' of the trucks at a wind construction site in Minnesota @startribune.bsky.social
Why would Lucas do this?
This story starts with a license plate counting expedition, Lucas Franco, a union researcher, was cataloging the states' of the trucks at a wind construction site in Minnesota @startribune.bsky.social
Why would Lucas do this?
November 13, 2023 at 4:27 PM
Here we’ll talk about one solution: transparency 🔍
This story starts with a license plate counting expedition, Lucas Franco, a union researcher, was cataloging the states' of the trucks at a wind construction site in Minnesota @startribune.bsky.social
Why would Lucas do this?
This story starts with a license plate counting expedition, Lucas Franco, a union researcher, was cataloging the states' of the trucks at a wind construction site in Minnesota @startribune.bsky.social
Why would Lucas do this?