Ariel Edwards-Levy
@aedwardslevy.bsky.social
Polling editor at CNN, keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. I like puns.
November 21, 2025 at 1:48 AM
"I bet the media won't even cover this" watch, part ♾️
November 20, 2025 at 7:36 PM
"I bet the media won't even cover this" watch, part ♾️
unfathomable why anyone would choose to turn on "your followers can reply" when they'd be missing so much truly inexplicable content
November 19, 2025 at 10:45 PM
unfathomable why anyone would choose to turn on "your followers can reply" when they'd be missing so much truly inexplicable content
occasionally I think about this absolutely perfect five-question battery
November 19, 2025 at 8:11 PM
occasionally I think about this absolutely perfect five-question battery
i think I know what they're casting for
(this may be TOO deep of a '90s edutainment cut, but gamicus.fandom.com/wiki/Alien_T...)
(this may be TOO deep of a '90s edutainment cut, but gamicus.fandom.com/wiki/Alien_T...)
November 18, 2025 at 3:58 PM
i think I know what they're casting for
(this may be TOO deep of a '90s edutainment cut, but gamicus.fandom.com/wiki/Alien_T...)
(this may be TOO deep of a '90s edutainment cut, but gamicus.fandom.com/wiki/Alien_T...)
190. Pew, 2000: "Do you get a lot of 'spam' or unwanted e-mail messages, or isn't this a problem for you?"
November 13, 2025 at 9:00 PM
190. Pew, 2000: "Do you get a lot of 'spam' or unwanted e-mail messages, or isn't this a problem for you?"
189. Gallup, 2003: "Do you happen to know the first name of the First Lady of the United States?"
November 13, 2025 at 8:57 PM
189. Gallup, 2003: "Do you happen to know the first name of the First Lady of the United States?"
188. SSRS, 2019: "What is your favorite type of Girl Scout cookie?"
November 13, 2025 at 8:56 PM
188. SSRS, 2019: "What is your favorite type of Girl Scout cookie?"
187. British Institute of Public Opinion, 1946: "Do you think that the Government's popularity has or has not suffered through the recent cut in beer?"
November 13, 2025 at 8:55 PM
187. British Institute of Public Opinion, 1946: "Do you think that the Government's popularity has or has not suffered through the recent cut in beer?"
186. CBS, 2017: "Which of the following is your favorite summer treat?"
November 13, 2025 at 8:54 PM
186. CBS, 2017: "Which of the following is your favorite summer treat?"
185. Penn, Schoen, Berland, 2007 (asked of likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers -- presumably for Clinton campaign?): "Which would you rather have? A nominee who is strong, a nominee who is inspiring"
November 13, 2025 at 8:53 PM
185. Penn, Schoen, Berland, 2007 (asked of likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers -- presumably for Clinton campaign?): "Which would you rather have? A nominee who is strong, a nominee who is inspiring"
Another study (using an opt-in sample) found higher rate of reported conspiracy beliefs among low-quality respondents
Also notes that just throwing out all flagged respondents can bring its own problems
Also notes that just throwing out all flagged respondents can bring its own problems
November 13, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Another study (using an opt-in sample) found higher rate of reported conspiracy beliefs among low-quality respondents
Also notes that just throwing out all flagged respondents can bring its own problems
Also notes that just throwing out all flagged respondents can bring its own problems
And from Sunshine Hillygus at Duke:
I love that this includes a *self-reported* measure of whether respondent was just trying to be funny with some responses.
(I don't even know what "Trump Bee Movie" means here but I will certainly google)
I love that this includes a *self-reported* measure of whether respondent was just trying to be funny with some responses.
(I don't even know what "Trump Bee Movie" means here but I will certainly google)
November 13, 2025 at 5:48 PM
And from Sunshine Hillygus at Duke:
I love that this includes a *self-reported* measure of whether respondent was just trying to be funny with some responses.
(I don't even know what "Trump Bee Movie" means here but I will certainly google)
I love that this includes a *self-reported* measure of whether respondent was just trying to be funny with some responses.
(I don't even know what "Trump Bee Movie" means here but I will certainly google)
From Matt Tyler at Rice on measuring support for beliefs in conspiracies: One idea is to look at whether respondents report consistent beliefs over multiple questions in the same survey, with different wording.
(Also: bonus Olympics content!)
(Also: bonus Olympics content!)
November 13, 2025 at 5:39 PM
From Matt Tyler at Rice on measuring support for beliefs in conspiracies: One idea is to look at whether respondents report consistent beliefs over multiple questions in the same survey, with different wording.
(Also: bonus Olympics content!)
(Also: bonus Olympics content!)
So how to catch these mischievous responders? Look for variation on traits that *shouldn't* differ between groups.
November 13, 2025 at 5:28 PM
So how to catch these mischievous responders? Look for variation on traits that *shouldn't* differ between groups.
From Joseph Simpian at NYU -- this time looking at an in-person probability survey of teens that asked whether they were adopted. In a more in-depth follow-up, some who said "yes" were misreporting -- and they were much more different from rest of sample than real adoptees
Also some A+ clipart
Also some A+ clipart
November 13, 2025 at 5:26 PM
From Joseph Simpian at NYU -- this time looking at an in-person probability survey of teens that asked whether they were adopted. In a more in-depth follow-up, some who said "yes" were misreporting -- and they were much more different from rest of sample than real adoptees
Also some A+ clipart
Also some A+ clipart
Leib Littman at CloudResearch notes that acquiescence bias is often exacerbated on some opt-in online panels typically used for consumer research, where fraudulent respondents have an incentive to say "yes" and route themselves into more surveys.
November 13, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Leib Littman at CloudResearch notes that acquiescence bias is often exacerbated on some opt-in online panels typically used for consumer research, where fraudulent respondents have an incentive to say "yes" and route themselves into more surveys.
can I file some sort of appeal
November 13, 2025 at 2:08 PM
can I file some sort of appeal
i do in fact usually think of myself as a party
![Variable(s):
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a: [PARTY]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:prpvntklgieefdnv234z5gae/bafkreib5a2i7uqrbj3zh4f3xtrafyjlydcctkchsx5swigconffrgday5a@jpeg)
November 12, 2025 at 6:02 PM
i do in fact usually think of myself as a party
I mean, I think it's an open question what kind of coverage it gets among the kinds of media outlets disproportionately consumed by people with positive views of Trump available to damage, but I wouldn't say it is not being brought to the public attention
November 12, 2025 at 2:40 PM
I mean, I think it's an open question what kind of coverage it gets among the kinds of media outlets disproportionately consumed by people with positive views of Trump available to damage, but I wouldn't say it is not being brought to the public attention
an attempt was made
November 7, 2025 at 11:41 PM
an attempt was made
November 6, 2025 at 10:01 PM