Adi Ćerimagić
@adicerimagic.bsky.social
Senior analyst at ESI.
Western Balkans, EU, human rights, democracy & rule of law. Bridging the Western Balkans-EU gap.
Western Balkans, EU, human rights, democracy & rule of law. Bridging the Western Balkans-EU gap.
The SNSD candidate then secured victory with a lead of about 27,000 votes, one year after the party won its only single-party majority in RS.
November 23, 2025 at 8:45 PM
The SNSD candidate then secured victory with a lead of about 27,000 votes, one year after the party won its only single-party majority in RS.
Note: In the last early presidential elections in December 2007, turnout was also lower than in regular elections: 36.9 percent, or 414,000 voters.
November 23, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Note: In the last early presidential elections in December 2007, turnout was also lower than in regular elections: 36.9 percent, or 414,000 voters.
His influence has always stemmed from his control of his party and its extensive machinery, as well as from a network of companies that he directs through trusted intermediaries. He remains party leader, and his business conglomerate is now freed from the burdens of sanctions.
November 23, 2025 at 8:07 AM
His influence has always stemmed from his control of his party and its extensive machinery, as well as from a network of companies that he directs through trusted intermediaries. He remains party leader, and his business conglomerate is now freed from the burdens of sanctions.
Bottom line: Dodik has been president and prime minister of Republika Srpska several times, and he also served in the state presidency of 🇧🇦. Yet none of these offices were ever the real source of his power.
November 23, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Bottom line: Dodik has been president and prime minister of Republika Srpska several times, and he also served in the state presidency of 🇧🇦. Yet none of these offices were ever the real source of his power.
Is this then the end of Milorad Dodik’s political influence?
It is far too early for farewells. Only in October next year, when Republika Srpska again elects a new parliament and president, will it become clear whether Dodik’s power is truly fading.
It is far too early for farewells. Only in October next year, when Republika Srpska again elects a new parliament and president, will it become clear whether Dodik’s power is truly fading.
November 23, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Is this then the end of Milorad Dodik’s political influence?
It is far too early for farewells. Only in October next year, when Republika Srpska again elects a new parliament and president, will it become clear whether Dodik’s power is truly fading.
It is far too early for farewells. Only in October next year, when Republika Srpska again elects a new parliament and president, will it become clear whether Dodik’s power is truly fading.
In my keynote, I also voiced concerns about developments that could endanger the 2029 objective.
🇸🇮🇪🇺
🇸🇮🇪🇺
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
In my keynote, I also voiced concerns about developments that could endanger the 2029 objective.
🇸🇮🇪🇺
🇸🇮🇪🇺
There I shared suggestions on how to make the most of the current momentum and ensure that willing candidate countries use it to deliver real reforms and improve the everyday lives of citizens, workers and businesses.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
There I shared suggestions on how to make the most of the current momentum and ensure that willing candidate countries use it to deliver real reforms and improve the everyday lives of citizens, workers and businesses.
Because this is one of the four chapters where Montenegro is least prepared, it was useful that we met in Ljubljana at the Second International Labour Congress, hosted by the 🇸🇮 government.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Because this is one of the four chapters where Montenegro is least prepared, it was useful that we met in Ljubljana at the Second International Labour Congress, hosted by the 🇸🇮 government.
The Commission expects, among other, 🇲🇪 to strengthen its employment agency, adopt and implement laws on social and child protection, improve equality legislation, amend the labour law and reinforce social dialogue.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
The Commission expects, among other, 🇲🇪 to strengthen its employment agency, adopt and implement laws on social and child protection, improve equality legislation, amend the labour law and reinforce social dialogue.
Take chapter 19 (social policy and employment). Despite “some progress” since last year, the Commission judges country’s preparedness to be somewhere between “some” and “moderate”. This level has barely improved since 2015.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Take chapter 19 (social policy and employment). Despite “some progress” since last year, the Commission judges country’s preparedness to be somewhere between “some” and “moderate”. This level has barely improved since 2015.
To get there, however, 🇲🇪 still has much to do.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
To get there, however, 🇲🇪 still has much to do.
Earlier this month, it led Kos and the Commission to assess - among four other - #Montenegro’s ambition of reaching the necessary level of preparedness for membership by the end of 2026 as realistic and achievable.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Earlier this month, it led Kos and the Commission to assess - among four other - #Montenegro’s ambition of reaching the necessary level of preparedness for membership by the end of 2026 as realistic and achievable.
This new dynamic has produced progress in several candidate countries, most notably in 🇲🇩 and 🇲🇪, but also in 🇦🇱 and 🇺🇦.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
This new dynamic has produced progress in several candidate countries, most notably in 🇲🇩 and 🇲🇪, but also in 🇦🇱 and 🇺🇦.
Yet no member state has since openly opposed her plan. Some, such as the 🇩🇪 and 🇫🇷 governments, expressed public support, joined by previously sceptical states such as 🇩🇰.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Yet no member state has since openly opposed her plan. Some, such as the 🇩🇪 and 🇫🇷 governments, expressed public support, joined by previously sceptical states such as 🇩🇰.
Many were sceptical at the time, including the Western Balkan prime ministers sharing the Munich stage with her.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Many were sceptical at the time, including the Western Balkan prime ministers sharing the Munich stage with her.
And that if candidates are willing to do their part, she would ensure full support from the Commission.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
And that if candidates are willing to do their part, she would ensure full support from the Commission.
She did what several of her predecessors did not dare to do: in February 2025, on the podium of the Munich Security Conference, she stated that 🇲🇪, 🇦🇱 and 🇲🇰 could be ready for membership by the end of her mandate in 2029.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
She did what several of her predecessors did not dare to do: in February 2025, on the podium of the Munich Security Conference, she stated that 🇲🇪, 🇦🇱 and 🇲🇰 could be ready for membership by the end of her mandate in 2029.