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António Afonso

@theiiiman.bsky.social

59 followers 66 following 65 posts

🇪🇺 🇵🇹 Professor of Economics, ISEG, University of Lisbon. President, REM–Research in Economics and Mathematics. Previous: ECB, CGD, IGCP, Ministry of Finance. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6926-2653 Also https://x.com/theIIIman .. more

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António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · 8d

www.economist.com/briefing/201... Back in 2010 the Economist was the case for tax cuts: "A paper by António Afonso of the European Central Bank and Davide Furceri of the OECD found that increases in government spending as a proportion of GDP tended to be correlated with slower economic growth."

Sharing the pain

Increasing budget deficits and rising government debts are likely to entail fierce political battles—not least between taxpayers and public-sector workers

www.economist.com

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · 25d

Happy to be in the World's top 1%! Elsevier Data Repository, Aug 2025. "Updated science-wide author databases of standardized citation indicators" elsevier.digitalcommonsdata.com/datasets/btc...

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · Sep 6

www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu... A discretionary positive shock to the primary balance leads to a decrease in real government debt, a result consistent with a Monetary Dominant regime and sustainable fiscal practices.

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · Aug 28

14th UECE Conference on Economic and Financial Adjustments. Fri, Jul 17, 2026. ISEG. Lisbon. uece2.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/events/2026/... Keynote: Roel Beetsma

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · Aug 22

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... António Afonso, Francisco Gomes Pereira. "An expansionary monetary policy stance, following an increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio, leads to lower primary balances."

Does monetary policy influence euro area fiscal sustainability?

This paper studies the impact of monetary policy on fiscal sustainability in the euro area. We extend a standard fiscal reaction function by introduci…

www.sciencedirect.com

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · Aug 7

ideas.repec.org/e/paf1.html

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · Jul 10

www.europarl.europa.eu/topics/en/ar...

Reposted by António Afonso

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · Jun 24

lnkd.in/dkjH8fbV "Greater skewness is associated with higher sovereign bond yields and higher short-term interest rates. In contrast, an increase in debt concentration tends to reduce both sovereign bond yields and short-term interest rates."

António Afonso @theiiiman.bsky.social · Jun 11

lnkd.in/deQA9iiP Copernicus proposed a single unifying theory: the Quantity Theory of Money. In his 1526 tract, Copernicus identified the single common cause of all inflation as the general increase in the quantity of coins minted from any given metal basis.