Kai Arzheimer
@kai-arzheimer.com
7.9K followers 4K following 4.5K posts

Politics Prof @powimz.bsky.social | parties, elections, attitudes, behaviour | right-wing extremism/populism/radicalism https://www.kai-arzheimer.com/

Kai Arzheimer is a German professor of Political Science at the University of Mainz. Previously, he was a Lecturer in German and West European Politics at the Department of Government of the University of Essex. In 2017-2018, he held the Hannah Arendt Visiting Chair in German and European Studies at the Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy at the University of Toronto. .. more

Political science 68%
Sociology 12%
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kai-arzheimer.com
Do not mistake the so-called sovereign citizens for a bunch of eccentrics. They have become a global #farright movement. So listen to this excellent 📻 #podcast by @theconversation.com 🎧

🔗 podcastaddict.com/the-conversa...
Self-style sovereign citizens licence plate. By Merrrittt - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=110286944
favstats.eu
If you ever wanted to delve into the AI-generated world of far-right imagination.. now you can.

See our CampAIgn Tracker 🇳🇱 here:
www.campaigntracker.nl/en/

#tk2025

kai-arzheimer.com
Not a slogan for the university as such, but using 'Go away!' to promote student mobility at Essex (ca. 10 years ago) was a bold choice

kai-arzheimer.com
🚨 War! The Far Right! The Far Left! And Populism on all fronts! 🚨 Here's an open access book about the 2024 European election 🇪🇺 🗳️ #ep2024. With a tiny bit of input from yours truly on the 🇩🇪 car wreck doi.org/10.55271/rp0059
ECPS Report: 2024 European Parliament Elections under the Shadow of Rising Populism - ECPS
Ivaldi, Gilles & Zankina, Emilia (Eds). (2024). 2024 EP Elections under the Shadow of Rising Populism. European Center for Populism Studies (ECPS).
doi.org
dszlosek.bsky.social
Excellent advice on paper review:

1. Peer reviewers are volunteers.

2. Map all comments to actions.

3. Address all comments.

4. Focus on improving your paper, instead of arguing.

5. Rarely, and only with strong defense, say no.

6. Don’t take things personally.

7. Avoid recreational revisions.

Reposted by David Darmofal

kai-arzheimer.com
It's a take: 'The new tension over the Epstein files reflects the extent to which some among Trump’s base perceive, perhaps for the first time, that they are now targets of his weaponized political bullshit rather than amused witnesses to it. And they don’t like it.'
Donald Trump’s penchant for bullshit explains MAGA anger about the Epstein files
estimated reading time: 5 min In July 2025, the connection between United States President Donald Trump and his base of supporters was fractured by the announcement from the U.S. Department of Justice and the FBI that no “Epstein list” exists. That is, they say, there is no list of clients or participants identified by convicted child sex offender Jeffrey Epstein prior to his death by apparent suicide in 2019. No further documents related to the Epstein case would be released. This announcement angered and confused many among Trump’s core constituency, including prominent loyalists and influencers. Weeks later, alienation among his base continues. Read more: Trump's Epstein problem is real: New poll shows many in his base disapprove of his handling of the files, and some supporters are having second thoughts about electing him This is puzzling. But in part, it’s unsurprising. Trump’s support base includes the conspiracist “QAnon” believers who are convinced that Democratic Party politicians and donors run a hidden global ring of child sex abuse. In QAnon circles, it has been practically an article of faith that the Epstein files would validate these accusations against liberal elites. Trump’s release of the files was keenly anticipated. Naturally they’re upset that he and his appointees have changed their tune. U.S. President Donald Trump in in the Oval Office of the White House on Aug. 25, 2025, in Washington, D.C. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)Longtime friendship Yet their dismay is surprising nonetheless. Trump’s extensive relationship with Epstein has been well known for years. His repeated well wishes for Epstein’s longtime associate, convicted collaborator Ghislaine Maxwell, were widely reported following her sentencing on child sexual trafficking charges. His comments about “getting away with” walking into beauty pageants’ backstage areas among young women and underage girls wearing “no clothes” were made prominently, on the Howard Stern Show. His base somehow managed to believe Trump was a secret champion of minors against sexual exploitation in the face of his own boasts. Commuters walk past a bus stop as activists put up a poster showing President Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein near the U.S. Embassy in London on July 17, 2025. Has Trump been bullshitting his supporters about his ties to Epstein? (AP Photo/Thomas Krych)The role of bullshit How could this new development somehow be worse for Trump than his own confessions? One partial explanation centres on Trump’s use of what’s known as bullshit rhetoric as a weapon against political enemies. Bullshit in this context is a quasi-technical notion meaning, roughly, an indifference to truth or to the audience’s right to truth. Read more: Why Donald Trump is such a relentless bullshitter Even most liars respect the truth enough to try and deceive people about it, but the bullshitter doesn’t much care either way. As my colleague Jennifer Saul and I have argued in our research, Trump’s brand of authoritarian speech is deliberate and explicit in its bullshit. It advertises its status in order to show contempt for one audience, typically as part of a performance of strength for another audience. This helps explain why Trump’s relentless bullshitting never harmed his standing with his base in the past, and has even buoyed it. His supporters know he’s a bullshitter, but they recognize he isn’t bullshitting them. They are in on the joke, enjoying the spectacle as Trump performs his power over mutual enemies, including political opposition, news media and state institutions. The new tension over the Epstein files reflects the extent to which some among Trump’s base perceive, perhaps for the first time, that they are now targets of his weaponized political bullshit rather than amused witnesses to it. And they don’t like it. Read more: Bullshit is everywhere. Here's how to deal with it at work Trump responds with more bullshit In one striking example, news media have reported that, before the FBI/Department of Justice announcement, Trump was informed by Attorney General Pam Bondi that his name occurs repeatedly in the unreleased documents. The significance or context of those occurrences is of course not known; other people who deny wrongdoing are also named in them. But after the existence of a list was denied, Trump responded to questioning about whether his name appears in the documents by claiming that the files were made up by former presidents Barack Obama and Joe Biden and former FBI Director James Comey. The assertion that the Epstein files are merely hoax documents cooked up by Obama, Biden and Comey is so outrageously false that it can’t be meant even as a serious deception. That makes Trump’s claim a bald-faced lie to many people. Bald-faced lies count as bullshit, Saul and I argue, because they lack the deceptive intent of other lies. They are a kind of unconcealed bullshit that advertises the speaker’s impunity. For Trump, this sort of overt bullshit has been reserved for liberals and news reporters. This time his own supporters are in the line of fire. President Donald Trump speaks during a cabinet meeting at the White House, on Aug. 26, 2025, in Washington, D.C. Trump’s supporters apparently don’t like being bullshitted. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)Strongman politics Trump’s base can’t be truly dismayed by the facts about his relationship with Epstein because they should have been upset long before now in terms of his own past confessions and well-known association with Epstein. Instead, they seem to be irked they’ve been lumped in with their enemies in being recipients of Trump’s bullshit rather than onlookers to it. And if we focus on polarization and strongman politics, we can better understand Trump’s responses to the criticism from his base. After all, Trump didn’t say these angry supporters have misunderstood the evidence. He said they were “pretty bad people,” likened them to “fake news” and said he didn’t want their support. He didn’t call them mistaken; he called them weaklings. To some this might sound absurd or childish. To supporters of an authoritarian figure, being called weak is more serious than being accused of being wrong.
theconversation.com

Reposted by Kai Arzheimer

pengzell.bsky.social
Occasionally you come across the odd screenshot from LinkedIn and realize where ChatGPT got its cringe

kai-arzheimer.com
Can't argue with that #SMBC

kai-arzheimer.com
Over at my dear little (definitely non-Mandarin) website, China is having a totally normal one. My money is on a) a new AI crawler that is better at pretending to be human than the other ones or b) a fresh type of ad/traffic scam, possibly involving dissidents in a click dungeon
Website traffic broken down by country. Most hits are from China.

kai-arzheimer.com
Have (Western) Europe's radical right-wingers finally found religion ⛪? Political Psychology says no #PolRel
lseeuroppblog.bsky.social
Are Christians in Western Europe more likely to be Islamophobic than other citizens?

New research finds no link between personal Christian beliefs and Islamophobia, but a close association with nativism/authoritarianism.

✍️ @kai-arzheimer.com @powimz.bsky.social

🔗 blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
Islamophobia in Western Europe is not driven by religiosity
Are Christians more likely to be Islamophobic than other citizens in Europe? New research finds European Islamophobia has no link to a person’s religiosity.
blogs.lse.ac.uk

Reposted by Robert Huber

kai-arzheimer.com
How could I say no to my old friends at the esteemed omni-journal? #AcademicWriting #AcademicChatter
A screenshot of an email from a predatory journal. It reads: "I wish you well, as always.

We are in lack of merely one article for the successful release of Volume 2, Issue 8
on or before 22nd October. Can I expect an article from your end?

I hope you can submit at least 2 pages of opinion/mini review article if you are in
your busy schedule.

Your support would be greatly appreciated. We look forward to hearing from you soon.

All published articles will be provided with digital object identifier (DOI) issued
by Cross ref."

kai-arzheimer.com
Late-stage capitalism, single-picture edition
Exterior of a building with a sign reading "CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL" above a sign reading "Casino." Playing cards are visible in the window.

kai-arzheimer.com
Not just good, but actually funny: "Right now, though, Labour’s strategists seem to be being pulled by the very strings of the puppets they think they are making dance. They have imagined a socially authoritarian working class Labour voter who really is long gone."
British Politics' Midlife Crisis
A couple of weeks ago, Britain’s Secretary of State for Business and Trade, Peter Kyle, said s...
benansell.substack.com

kai-arzheimer.com
And don't get me started on Fleischkäse

kai-arzheimer.com
This is very interesting 👇
rrresrobot.bsky.social
Published last year: A. Seddone and M. Zulianello. “Perceptions of Populist Radical Right Mainstreaming as a Threat To Democracy: Evidence From Italian Voters”. In: South European Society and Politics online first (2024).

kai-arzheimer.com
The other day, I bought a a vegan sausage. After gobbling it down in 1 mad, plant-fueled rush, I realised that no animal fat or gristle was involved in this meal. Because I had a look at the packaging, which said 'vegan', 'soy', and 'meat-free'. Great that the EPP is finally solving this problem.

kai-arzheimer.com
The #farright #AfD is polling ~25%, far above anything seen in German post-war history. Meanwhile, some reporters get very excited about the "Value Union", a tiny outfit with no seats and no prospects at any level, where a former AfD leader & former top spy vie for control of the party
Personalchaos bei rechtskonservativer Kleinstpartei : Hans-Georg Maaßen verlässt die Werteunion
Seit Monaten tobt in der Kleinpartei Werteunion ein Machtkampf. Der bisherige Parteichef Maaßen sprach zuletzt von einem Putsch. Nun macht er seinen angekündigten Austritt wahr.
www.tagesspiegel.de

kai-arzheimer.com
Take a peek at this #throwbackblog about measuring survey bias without needing access to raw data. Discover more here:
www.kai-arzheimer.com/measure-surv...

kai-arzheimer.com
Relatable #AcademicChatter #PoorlyDrawnLines
Four-panel comic: A mouse and a turtle discuss reading. The mouse states they are trying to read more, but haven’t started yet. The turtle interjects that sounds like not trying. The mouse insists it's different. Signed "Poorly Drawn Lines".

kai-arzheimer.com
Quite interesting: diversity is increasing very slowly, but doesn't seem to matter all that much anyway. From a European POV, the most surprising thing remains that there still so many church-going Americans 🇺🇸
The Most Segregated Hour? Rethinking Race and Religion in America
Is racial diversity commonplace in houses of worship?
www.graphsaboutreligion.com