Lightnews — Scholar-powered news

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 20h

I deleted my previous post because the Janet Mills Bluesky account appears to be fake (thank you to the astute reader who caught that).

Here is her real Bluesky account:

bsky.app/profile/jane...

bsky.app

3 1 6

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 22h

@cookpolitical.com has moved the Maine Senate race from Lean Republican to TOSS-UP.

There are now four US Senate races ranked TOSS-UP.

The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 23h

Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ entrance into the Senate race on Tuesday marks a significant escalation in political firepower aimed at longtime GOP Sen. Susan Collins. We are moving the contest from Lean R -> Toss Up.

Maine Senate Race Moves To Toss Up With Mills’ Entrance

Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ entrance into the Senate race on Tuesday marks a significant escalation in political firepower aimed at longtime GOP Sen. Susan Collins, the only Republican senator representin...

www.cookpolitical.com

10 26

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 1d

I should clarify...

Janet Mills will also face Jordan Wood and Tucker Favreau, in addition to Graham Platner, in the Maine Democratic Primary.

The 2026 Democratic primary in Maine is scheduled for Tuesday, June 9, 2026.

1 2 10

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 1d

Maine governor Janet Mills announced today she is running to dethrown Republican Susan Collins in the Senate.

First, she will need to run against progressive Graham Platner in the Democratic primary

This race is ranked Lean Republican by Cook Political Report.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...

Gov. Janet Mills of Maine to Run for Senate, Aiming at Senator Susan Collins

www.nytimes.com

15 23 45

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 2d

Democrats' have a good chance to flip the House in 2026. But they are cautiously optimistic about their chances of flipping the Senate.

Michigan, North Carolina and Georgia are the three Senate TOSS-UP races.

www.messenger-inquirer.com/townnews/pol...

Democratic hopes rising for 2026 Senate control

The Republican rush to add congressional seats in Texas and other red states reflects the bipartisan consensus that the main 2026 battleground will be the Democratic effort to curb the

www.messenger-inquirer.com

3 11 37

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 4d

But... Bernie Sanders wants Janet Mills to stay out of Maine's Senate race.

thehill.com/homenews/cam...

thehill.com

1 6

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 4d

It’s not official yet, but it sounds like Maine’s two-term Gov. Janet Mills (D) will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Sen. Susan Collins (R) next year.

The Maine Senate race is ranked LEAN REPUBLICAN, but it is definitely an “Almost TOSS-UP” race.

apnews.com/article/main...

Maine Gov. Janet Mills will challenge Sen. Susan Collins in key 2026 Senate contest, AP sources say

Maine’s two-term Democratic Gov. Janet Mills will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Republican Sen. Susan Collins next year.

apnews.com

13 22 79

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 4d

Yes, I've reached out to both of their campaigns about this, but no response yet.

1

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 4d

katiehobbs.org/meet-katie/

Meet Katie - Katie Hobbs for Governor

ROOTED IN THE COPPER STATE Born and raised in Arizona, Katie Hobbs has spent her life fighting for the people of this state—and she’s never been afraid to tackle hard challenges head-on. Growing up in...

katiehobbs.org

1 5 21

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 4d

Arizona governor Katie Hobbs (D) has announced her re-election bid.

The Arizona gubernatorial race and two Arizona House races are ranked TOSS-UP.

thehill.com/homenews/cam...

thehill.com

3 15 67

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 5d

www.mikiesherrill.com

Mikie Sherrill for Governor

U.S. Naval Academy graduate, Navy helicopter pilot, former federal prosecutor, wife, and mother of four kids – Mikie Sherrill is running for governor to make life easier and more affordable for Garden...

www.mikiesherrill.com

2 5 20

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 5d

The New Jersey gubernatorial race is less than 4 weeks away.

It is ranked TOSS UP by Cook Political Report.

democrats.org/news/mikie-s...

Mikie Sherrill Handily Wins Final New Jersey Gubernatorial Debate - Democrats

democrats.org

2 12 26

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 7d

I couldn't summarize the importance of TOSS-UP races in just a few hundred characters. So I wrote it in the Substack.

Please let me know what you think.

substack.com/inbox/post/1...

Toss-Up Races: How to Take Back the United States

The "Winnable Democratic Races" Project on Bluesky

substack.com

8 23

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 8d

North Carolina governor Roy Cooper (D) has raised a record $14 million for his Senate campaign.

The North Carolina Senate race is ranked toss-up by @cookpolitical.com

www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

Roy Cooper raises $14.5 million last quarter, shattering records

The former North Carolina governor brought in more than double what his likely GOP opponent raised.

www.politico.com

3 24 74

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 9d

Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) is one of those political figures who does not have a Bluesky account yet.

katiehobbs.org/meet-katie/

Meet Katie - Katie Hobbs for Governor

ROOTED IN THE COPPER STATE Born and raised in Arizona, Katie Hobbs has spent her life fighting for the people of this state—and she’s never been afraid to tackle hard challenges head-on. Growing up in...

katiehobbs.org

2 3 22

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 9d

Rep. David Schweikert (R, AZ-1) is vacating his House seat to run for governor.

Center for Politics says:

“Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) has gotten some minor opposition but remains overwhelmingly favored for renomination. Our Toss-up rating for the race stands.”

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball

centerforpolitics.org

7 32 98

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 10d

www.mikiesherrill.com

Mikie Sherrill for Governor

U.S. Naval Academy graduate, Navy helicopter pilot, former federal prosecutor, wife, and mother of four kids – Mikie Sherrill is running for governor to make life easier and more affordable for Garden...

www.mikiesherrill.com

1 7 21

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 10d

Mikie Sherrill (D) is leading Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the New Jersey gubernatorial race… according to Fox News.

thehill.com/homenews/cam...

thehill.com

2 13 53

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 11d

abigailspanberger.com

Abigail Spanberger for Governor

Abigail Spanberger is running for Governor to get things done for Virginia. She has built a reputation for bringing people together...

abigailspanberger.com

1 4 14

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 11d

“Democratic nominee Abigail Spanberger has opened a double-digit lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in Virginia’s governor’s race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey…”

virginiamercury.com/2025/10/02/s...

New poll: Spanberger takes 10-point lead, makes gains with younger voters in Va. governor's race • Virginia Mercury

Democratic nominee Abigail Spanberger has opened a double-digit lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in Virginia’s governor’s race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey that ...

virginiamercury.com

2 21 56

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 12d

abigailspanberger.com

Abigail Spanberger for Governor

Abigail Spanberger is running for Governor to get things done for Virginia. She has built a reputation for bringing people together...

abigailspanberger.com

5 16

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 12d

www.mikiesherrill.com

Mikie Sherrill for Governor

U.S. Naval Academy graduate, Navy helicopter pilot, former federal prosecutor, wife, and mother of four kids – Mikie Sherrill is running for governor to make life easier and more affordable for Garden...

www.mikiesherrill.com

8 18

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 12d

The Virginia gubernatorial election is November 4.

Democrats in all 50 states can support Abigail Spanberger's campaign.

Abigail Spanberger @abigailspanberger.com · 12d

Trump is now using the government shutdown to push more mass layoffs — further damaging Virginia’s economy.

That’s an egregious attack on Virginia jobs.

3 9 26

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 12d

The New Jersey gubernatorial election is November 4.

Democrats in all 50 states can support Mikie Sherrill's campaign.

Mikie Sherrill @mikiesherrill.bsky.social · 12d

The Trump administration's attacks on Gateway Tunnel funding are an attack on New Jersey's economy, commuters, and nearly 100,000 jobs.

And still, Jack refuses to stand up to Donald Trump.

2 4 22

Winnable Democratic Races @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 13d

For daily updates on these Toss-Up races, follow us at bsky.app/profile/winn...

bsky.app

1 8