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welcometeam.bsky.social
Welcome
@welcometeam.bsky.social
51K followers 2 following 290 posts
We’re a community of Democrats focused on winning. We elect, convene, and amplify bold, pragmatic leaders who represent the middle.
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Zohran Mamdani is the left's new hero and right's new villain. But what lessons can Democrats looking to win learn from his meteoric rise? And what myths about his campaign have to be busted along the way?

We break it down: www.youtube.com/watch?v=w9Ci...
The REAL lessons from Zohran Mamdani | Deciding to Win Part 2
YouTube video by Welcome
www.youtube.com
Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.

But it’s usually the best clue we’ve got.

Ben McAdams is a superstar, and he needs to run again.
www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...
Deciding to Back Winners
Ben McAdams: Recruiting the Calm to Beat the Storm
www.welcomestack.org
Democrats need to get back to winning again.

We used to win in states like Florida and Ohio. We used to have Senators in West Virginia and Montana.

Here's how we got here: www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...
DECIDING TO WIN: How We Got Here
An analysis of the Democratic Party platforms from 2012 to 2024 gives us clues to the current Democratic Party struggles
www.welcomestack.org
How did Democrats go from winning in states like Florida, Ohio, and Iowa and having U.S. senators in North Dakota, Montana, Missouri, and West Virginia to pundits now warning of a permanent Republican majority in the Senate?

Here's how: www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...
DECIDING TO WIN: How We Got Here
An analysis of the Democratic Party platforms from 2012 to 2024 gives us clues to the current Democratic Party struggles
www.welcomestack.org
🚨 Donald Trump and the Republican Party are damaging our economy and threatening our democracy.

Democrats need to learn how to win again, but they can't do it with the same old tactics and candidates.

Here's exactly how Democrats can start winning: www.welcomestack.org/p/introducin...
Introducing DECIDING TO WIN
Postmortem with a plan
www.welcomestack.org
Moving to the center is the way to win: The New York Times editorial board released essential reading today on why candidates backed by Welcome, Blue Dogs, and New Dems over-perform. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-new-yo...
Essential Reading in The New York Times
To beat authoritarianism, you need to win elections. Centrists do it best.
www.welcomestack.org
Cory Mills has scandals piling up against him quickly, with the latest being a restraining order from his ex.

This cycle, we can defeat him. www.welcomestack.org/p/dark-maga-...
Dark MAGA Police Reporting Part 4
The Cory Mills scandals are piling up, now is the chance to oust him from Congress
www.welcomestack.org
The Cory Mills scandals are piling up. A restraining order from his ex, lying about military accomplishments and financial improprieties. This cycle, Democrats could actually unseat him. But they need to focus on ensuring races on the edge of the battlefield get resources.
Dark MAGA Police Reporting Part 4
The Cory Mills scandals are piling up, now is the chance to oust him from Congress
www.welcomestack.org
Democrats have lost ground with those who “somewhat” approve or disapprove of Trump.

There’s time to reverse this trend if Democrats want to win in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/checking-i...
Checking In On The "Somewhats"
Democrats have lost ground with those who "somewhat" disapprove of Trump. That could cost them in the midterms.
www.welcomestack.org
🚨 This should be sending off alarm bells for Democrats.

Even though Donald Trump’s approval rating continues to fall, so too does the Democratic Party’s.

This should be a warning heading into 2026.
The overwhelming majority of Americans, including Trump’s own voters, support extending ACA subsidies.

Yet, House Republicans do not.

Democrats have a prime opportunity to expand their big tent right now.
If Republicans had a popular agenda, they wouldn’t have to conduct mid-decade redistricting efforts.

It’s pretty simple.
The left has graded all Democrats on their purity test. The Democrats who scored the best on "left score" underperform by 1.9 points, the Democrats with the worst "left score" over-performed by 2.3 points. You can have purity or you can have swing seats, but you can't have both.
Grades on the Literal Purity Test
Democrats are getting lost in the progressive purity test sauce, trading electoral over-performance for progressive accolades.
www.welcomestack.org
The left's response to WelcomeFest is based on faulty assumptions, like the idea that Harris did better with Latinos in Florida than Biden. The result is a muddled messaging mess. www.welcomestack.org/p/persuasion...
Persuasion 2025: Unpersuasive
Shoddy analysis and utterly unpersuasive message guidance
www.welcomestack.org
The “progressive answer to WelcomeFest” featured 3 safe-seat underperformers, an influencer who just moved to the state, and a candidate 12 pts behind the top of the ticket.
www.welcomestack.org/p/leftist-an...
Leftist Answer to WelcomeFest
Underperformers, transplants, and safe-seat Dems host private confab. Help proven winners intead!
www.welcomestack.org
Republicans are gerrymandering states because they know their agenda is very unpopular heading into 2026.

It’s pretty simple—if Democrats expand their base, they will win.
ICYMI: Latino independents are driving Donald Trump’s plunging economic favorability.

Democrats have a prime opportunity in this moment to bring in more voters into the base.
We hear a lot about Trump’s cratering approval rating, and yes, that’s good news for Democrats heading into 2026.

But, while Trump is not popular, neither is the Democratic Party, and so candidates will have to toe that line carefully if they want to win.
Centrist Democrats are breaking from their party in rhetoric, but voters need to see differentiated votes. It's time to walk the walk of moderation. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-sanity...
The Sanity of Definition
Democrats need to get specific.
www.welcomestack.org
This is a graph showing Donald Trump’s plunging favorability on the economy.

The driving factor in the fall?

Latino independents.
Trump's approval on the economy among Latino Independents has cratered, putting Republican plans to gerrymander border districts in Texas at risk.
www.welcomestack.org/p/brawl-at-t...
Republicans need to gerrymander states to win.

Democrats need to expand their big tent to win.

2026 is right around the corner, now’s the time for Democrats to bring MORE voters into their coalition.
🚨 Donald Trump’s approval rating is tanking in a key bellwether county, but the moderate Republican’s reputation still makes it a hard race for Democrats in 2026.

Learn more, and read why Democrats need to expand their tent.
In a crucial bellwether county, Trump's approval is plummeting. But the Republican incumbent's moderate reputation still makes this race an uphill battle. Democrats need to improve their standing among Independents to win the midterms. open.substack.com/pub/thewelco...
The Bucks County Blues
Trump's approval in crucial Bucks county is tanking, but can Democrats turn that into victory in the House?
open.substack.com
In a crucial bellwether county, Trump's approval is plummeting. But the Republican incumbent's moderate reputation still makes this race an uphill battle. Democrats need to improve their standing among Independents to win the midterms. open.substack.com/pub/thewelco...
The Bucks County Blues
Trump's approval in crucial Bucks county is tanking, but can Democrats turn that into victory in the House?
open.substack.com