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Population: 49.2k | 79.2k
2024: 🔴 Trump +1 | 🔵 Harris +59
2020: 🔵 Biden +7 | 🔵 Biden +61
2016: 🔵 Clinton +14 | 🔵 Clinton +57
Population: 49.2k | 79.2k
2024: 🔴 Trump +1 | 🔵 Harris +59
2020: 🔵 Biden +7 | 🔵 Biden +61
2016: 🔵 Clinton +14 | 🔵 Clinton +57
It cleared the House 338-90 and the Senate 78-22 before being signed into law by President Reagan. We mapped the Senate vote by state.
It cleared the House 338-90 and the Senate 78-22 before being signed into law by President Reagan. We mapped the Senate vote by state.
1966: 🟢 33% Favorable, 🔴 63% Unfavorable
2011: 🟢 94% Favorable, 🔴 4% Unfavorable
1966: 🟢 33% Favorable, 🔴 63% Unfavorable
2011: 🟢 94% Favorable, 🔴 4% Unfavorable
A highly competitive three-way Democratic primary is taking shape.
Odds to win primary per Kalshi
Dec 7 vs. Today:
🔵 Mallory McMorrow - 48% → 44%
🔵 Haley Stevens - 16% → 30%
🔵 Abdul El-Sayed - 31% → 28%
General election odds: 🔵 D 76% → 75%
A highly competitive three-way Democratic primary is taking shape.
Odds to win primary per Kalshi
Dec 7 vs. Today:
🔵 Mallory McMorrow - 48% → 44%
🔵 Haley Stevens - 16% → 30%
🔵 Abdul El-Sayed - 31% → 28%
General election odds: 🔵 D 76% → 75%
- Iowa 🌽
- Nevada 🎰
- New Hampshire 🪨
- North Carolina 🌲
- South Carolina 🌙
Final DNC decision expected Aug 2026.
Source: @nytimes.com
- Iowa 🌽
- Nevada 🎰
- New Hampshire 🪨
- North Carolina 🌲
- South Carolina 🌙
Final DNC decision expected Aug 2026.
Source: @nytimes.com
Governor: 🔵 Spanberger (D)
Senate: 🔵 21 D 🔴 19 R
House: 🔵 64 D 🔴 36 R
Governor: 🔵 Spanberger (D)
Senate: 🔵 21 D 🔴 19 R
House: 🔵 64 D 🔴 36 R
The district voted Trump +18 in 2024; incumbent Republican Rep. Neal Dunn is retiring.
The district voted Trump +18 in 2024; incumbent Republican Rep. Neal Dunn is retiring.
Odds to win Democratic primary per Kalshi
Dec 2 vs. Today:
🔵 Jasmine Crockett - 50% → 18%
🔵 James Talarico - 35% → 81%
General election odds: 🔴 R 79% → 75%
Odds to win Democratic primary per Kalshi
Dec 2 vs. Today:
🔵 Jasmine Crockett - 50% → 18%
🔵 James Talarico - 35% → 81%
General election odds: 🔴 R 79% → 75%
States vying to go first:
- Nevada 🎰
- New Hampshire 🪨
- South Carolina 🌙
GA, IA, and MI are seeking early slots; NC and VA may apply.
DNC decision expected Aug 2026.
Source: @politico.com
States vying to go first:
- Nevada 🎰
- New Hampshire 🪨
- South Carolina 🌙
GA, IA, and MI are seeking early slots; NC and VA may apply.
DNC decision expected Aug 2026.
Source: @politico.com
Before: $950.36
After: $18,635
Updated 2025 Fundraising Totals:
🔴 Donalds - $45.3 million
🔴 Renner - $5.3 million
🔵 Jolly - $3 million
🔵 Demings - $365,145
🔴 Fishback - $18,635
Before: $950.36
After: $18,635
Updated 2025 Fundraising Totals:
🔴 Donalds - $45.3 million
🔴 Renner - $5.3 million
🔵 Jolly - $3 million
🔵 Demings - $365,145
🔴 Fishback - $18,635
It will now go to a statewide referendum, likely to be scheduled in April.
It will now go to a statewide referendum, likely to be scheduled in April.
Latest Reported Cash-on-Hand:
🔵 Jon Ossoff (D) - $25 million
🔴 Buddy Carter (R) - $4 million
🔴 Mike Collins (R) - $2.3 million
🔴 Derek Dooley (R) - $1.7 million
Ossoff raised $9.9m in Q4 '25 alone. No Q4 numbers yet from the GOP field.
Latest Reported Cash-on-Hand:
🔵 Jon Ossoff (D) - $25 million
🔴 Buddy Carter (R) - $4 million
🔴 Mike Collins (R) - $2.3 million
🔴 Derek Dooley (R) - $1.7 million
Ossoff raised $9.9m in Q4 '25 alone. No Q4 numbers yet from the GOP field.
The winner will face Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur. The district was Trump +11 in 2024.
The winner will face Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur. The district was Trump +11 in 2024.
🔵 MI: 77% (=)
🔵 GA: 76% (=)
🔵 NC: 76% (-1)
🟡 ME: 69% (+2)
🟡 AK: 43% (+16)
🟡 OH: 38% (=) (potential 51st seat)
🔴 TX: 20% (-1)
Overall chamber odds:
🔵 34% D (+1), 🔴 66% R (-1)
🔵 MI: 77% (=)
🔵 GA: 76% (=)
🔵 NC: 76% (-1)
🟡 ME: 69% (+2)
🟡 AK: 43% (+16)
🟡 OH: 38% (=) (potential 51st seat)
🔴 TX: 20% (-1)
Overall chamber odds:
🔵 34% D (+1), 🔴 66% R (-1)
Net approval remains negative by double digits ( -12.1).
Net approval remains negative by double digits ( -12.1).
2025 Fundraising Totals
🔵 Josh Shapiro (D) - $23 million
🔴 Stacy Garrity (R) - $1.5 million
Shapiro: $30m cash-on-hand (COH)
Garrity: $1m COH
Sources: Shapiro and Garrity campaigns
2025 Fundraising Totals
🔵 Josh Shapiro (D) - $23 million
🔴 Stacy Garrity (R) - $1.5 million
Shapiro: $30m cash-on-hand (COH)
Garrity: $1m COH
Sources: Shapiro and Garrity campaigns
🔵 Rob Sand (D) - $9.5 million
🔴 Randy Feenstra (R) - $4.3 million
Sand: 115k donations, $13.2m cash-on-hand
Feenstra: 2k donations, COH not reported
Sources: Sand and Feenstra campaigns, Fox News
🔵 Rob Sand (D) - $9.5 million
🔴 Randy Feenstra (R) - $4.3 million
Sand: 115k donations, $13.2m cash-on-hand
Feenstra: 2k donations, COH not reported
Sources: Sand and Feenstra campaigns, Fox News
Net approval: 🔻 -11.4
Change from Nov 22 (low): ▲ +2.2
Net approval: 🔻 -11.4
Change from Nov 22 (low): ▲ +2.2