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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 8h

You know I think you should have the decency to be a bit uncomfortable with the moral conundrums we face in life, that’s all.

Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 16h

What do you mean?

Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 18h

Though to be a bit more humble I guess that reaction is itself "not engaging deeply in the literature".

Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 18h

We sometimes complain about the lack of ambitious theory building but on the other hand when I come across it I often get a feeling that the authors are moving too fast, not deeply engaging in the nuances of the literature, prematurely leaping ahead.

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 19h

*perfect line. damn autocorrect

Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 19h

I think your point here works well with this wibbly wobbly table analogy that I just made (maybe?)
Like the fact that the corners of the plane get wobbly doesn't mean we get worse predictions for the flattened cloud of datapoints. (Just based on visual intuition.)

bsky.app/profile/vilg...

Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 20h

I think this works as an intuitive explanation for multicolinearity, right? When the cloud is flat the plane is attached in a very stable way. The table has many legs. But when we flatten that cloud with an association between X2 and X2 the table becomes "wobbly" orthogonal to that axis.

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 19h

*X1 and X2

Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 20h

I think this works as an intuitive explanation for multicolinearity, right? When the cloud is flat the plane is attached in a very stable way. The table has many legs. But when we flatten that cloud with an association between X2 and X2 the table becomes "wobbly" orthogonal to that axis.

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 21h

Personally I notice I’m spending more and more time here and less and less on the other place. On the other hand I think any imitation of the hellsite is itself the hellsite. (But there are multiple circles of hell)

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 21h

I find it interesting that the idea of a robot rebellion is exactly as old as the word ”robot” (from the 1920 play Rossumovi Univerzální Roboti)

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R.U.R.

R.U.R. - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 4d

spuriouser and spuriouser

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 4d

Still better design that catholicism which you can just cheese at the final level if you use deathbed confession

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 4d

Yeah tbh people said it would be hard but as long as you apply effortless effort (basically don’t attack and dodge all the time) it’s gg. Heard people talk striving would be incompatible with winning and only lead to more suffering but imo they just need to git gud at zen.

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 4d

Here’s the idea in words:
A regression with two predictors is a plane through a cube. If we look at the cube from the top and x1 and x2 are strongly correlated we’ll see almost a percent line. Since that’s basically a line the plane would be free to wibble-wobble on that ”axis”.

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 4d

So I thought of a visualization on the train for how multicolinearity works (maybe) but now I don’t have any computer access do make it/check it and I have clinical work all day. Pain.

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 6d

Saw someone call the best model notation:

yᵢ ~ N(μᵢ, σ²)
μᵢ = a + bxᵢ

”Bayesian model notation” and there sure isn’t anything Bayesian about it (other than culturally)

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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 6d

The dream of the 2010s is alive in Portland 🎶

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