The swing to labor on primary vote in the house is also the highest that an incumbent labor PM has received since Curtin.
Howard beat it in ‘04 and I think Fraser and Menzies also managed to have better elections, but in general primary vote swings like that only happen with a change of government.
I just don’t understand what the endgame is by stating her opposition to universal childcare? Telling women and everyone under 45 that she doesn’t represent them?
The suggestion that it is too affordable to have kids in Australia is a wild take…
@benraue.com Regarding your “Are seats getting closer” blogpost, are you able to do a follow up with breakdowns for the ALP and Libs/Nats? Would be cool to see their primary vote bell curves in isolation.
Looking at the seat level data for this now and some of the most out numbers are for Wide Bay, which has the coalition down 10% on primary and the non majors vote at 49%