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I'm curious what are your thoughts.
I'm curious what are your thoughts.
1οΈβ£ ~60% less time spent estimating
2οΈβ£ More predictable delivery
3οΈβ£ Healthier stakeholder conversations (risk is explicit, not hidden)
1οΈβ£ ~60% less time spent estimating
2οΈβ£ More predictable delivery
3οΈβ£ Healthier stakeholder conversations (risk is explicit, not hidden)
Work analysis != estimation.
Understanding the work is useful, but turning guesses into deadlines is not.
Work analysis != estimation.
Understanding the work is useful, but turning guesses into deadlines is not.
4οΈβ£ different precision for roadmap vs quarter vs sprint
4οΈβ£ different precision for roadmap vs quarter vs sprint
1οΈβ£ use historical throughput
2οΈβ£ run Monte Carlo simulations
1οΈβ£ use historical throughput
2οΈβ£ run Monte Carlo simulations
Because we estimate hands-on coding and ignore:
1οΈβ£ review time
2οΈβ£ waiting on other teams
3οΈβ£ blocked work
4οΈβ£ uncovered tech debt in the system
Because we estimate hands-on coding and ignore:
1οΈβ£ review time
2οΈβ£ waiting on other teams
3οΈβ£ blocked work
4οΈβ£ uncovered tech debt in the system
Result: no correlation. Ones took longer than eights. Threes took 30 days. Didnβt matter.
Result: no correlation. Ones took longer than eights. Threes took 30 days. Didnβt matter.
Then reality happens: traffic, breakdowns, wrong route, ...
I just watched a great talk by Maria Chec that showed this with real engineering data.
Then reality happens: traffic, breakdowns, wrong route, ...
I just watched a great talk by Maria Chec that showed this with real engineering data.
They fail for the same reason road trips fail. π§΅ π
They fail for the same reason road trips fail. π§΅ π