Paweł Wójcik 🦋
@saladinaldronni.bsky.social
Researcher.
Terrorism, conflicts, jihadi crime networks, IS/AQ, Central and South-East Asia.
Now, also following Islamic State's plans in Africa. Politics in the Sahel.
Writing for hire. DM.
@saladinaldronni on X/Twitter
https://ko-fi.com/saladinaldronni
Terrorism, conflicts, jihadi crime networks, IS/AQ, Central and South-East Asia.
Now, also following Islamic State's plans in Africa. Politics in the Sahel.
Writing for hire. DM.
@saladinaldronni on X/Twitter
https://ko-fi.com/saladinaldronni
Pinned
New post, a bit guiding through the recent Sahel terror events. On IS Sahel and JNIM competing in Niger, attacks, rise in power, Libya, IS Central.
What I found interesting to say.
open.substack.com/pub/saladina...
What I found interesting to say.
open.substack.com/pub/saladina...
Suspect immigrating to the US in August 2021...from Afghanistan. Ooooh man. It's going to be a complete circus.
Especially if it's Islamic State.
Especially if it's Islamic State.
November 27, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Suspect immigrating to the US in August 2021...from Afghanistan. Ooooh man. It's going to be a complete circus.
Especially if it's Islamic State.
Especially if it's Islamic State.
Reposted by Paweł Wójcik 🦋
Reposted by Paweł Wójcik 🦋
Part 2 of the thread with over 5000 words is here, gathered together on my stack sub (or reverse).
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
Part 2 has been uploaded on Twitter, will also do the same on Linkedin and Substack. Due to its sheer size (over 5 000 words!) I am simply unable to copy paste it all here. Will post the links tommorow for the interested.
November 25, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Part 2 of the thread with over 5000 words is here, gathered together on my stack sub (or reverse).
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
Part 2 of the thread with over 5000 words is here, gathered together on my stack sub (or reverse).
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
Part 2 has been uploaded on Twitter, will also do the same on Linkedin and Substack. Due to its sheer size (over 5 000 words!) I am simply unable to copy paste it all here. Will post the links tommorow for the interested.
November 25, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Part 2 of the thread with over 5000 words is here, gathered together on my stack sub (or reverse).
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
-all videos included
-all maps included
-Why the Sahelian militaries revolted
-Why it was a disaster
-Why the French were kicked out of the Sahel
Reposted by Paweł Wójcik 🦋
Part 2 has been uploaded on Twitter, will also do the same on Linkedin and Substack. Due to its sheer size (over 5 000 words!) I am simply unable to copy paste it all here. Will post the links tommorow for the interested.
November 24, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Part 2 has been uploaded on Twitter, will also do the same on Linkedin and Substack. Due to its sheer size (over 5 000 words!) I am simply unable to copy paste it all here. Will post the links tommorow for the interested.
Part 2 has been uploaded on Twitter, will also do the same on Linkedin and Substack. Due to its sheer size (over 5 000 words!) I am simply unable to copy paste it all here. Will post the links tommorow for the interested.
November 24, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Part 2 has been uploaded on Twitter, will also do the same on Linkedin and Substack. Due to its sheer size (over 5 000 words!) I am simply unable to copy paste it all here. Will post the links tommorow for the interested.
Parth 3 of my Sahel thread is going to have Nigeria as I said. My theory is that even if genocide is not what is happening, Nigeria needs help and internal reforms.
But jihadists and bandits will now exacerbate the conflict and exploit the World's attention in order to challenge the limits.
But jihadists and bandits will now exacerbate the conflict and exploit the World's attention in order to challenge the limits.
November 22, 2025 at 9:02 AM
Parth 3 of my Sahel thread is going to have Nigeria as I said. My theory is that even if genocide is not what is happening, Nigeria needs help and internal reforms.
But jihadists and bandits will now exacerbate the conflict and exploit the World's attention in order to challenge the limits.
But jihadists and bandits will now exacerbate the conflict and exploit the World's attention in order to challenge the limits.
Reposted by Paweł Wójcik 🦋
Late November 2025.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
November 21, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Late November 2025.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
Late November 2025.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
November 21, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Late November 2025.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
Mali is still under heavy siege by Al-Qaeda forces.Burkina Faso in quagmire.Niger not any better. And Islamic State is clearly gaining power.
How did we get here? Can Al-Qaeda run the show or cannot as others say?
🧵A three-part thread. Sorry for the delay.
Keep in mind, that the same people cathegorically denying JNIM is able to seize/rule, earlier this year didn't believe JNIM exists in Western Mali.
Last year they were aghast seeing JNIM stage an operation in Bamako.
Two years ago they questioned JNIM's AQ connection.
Last year they were aghast seeing JNIM stage an operation in Bamako.
Two years ago they questioned JNIM's AQ connection.
November 13, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Keep in mind, that the same people cathegorically denying JNIM is able to seize/rule, earlier this year didn't believe JNIM exists in Western Mali.
Last year they were aghast seeing JNIM stage an operation in Bamako.
Two years ago they questioned JNIM's AQ connection.
Last year they were aghast seeing JNIM stage an operation in Bamako.
Two years ago they questioned JNIM's AQ connection.
In perspective,the push for Kidal (2023) by Wagner and the Malian junta may have been the moment that started the true avalanche for the statehood of Mali and the final nail in the coffin.
Later in the evening a massive Mali, Sahel and Nigeria🧵.
Later in the evening a massive Mali, Sahel and Nigeria🧵.
November 8, 2025 at 10:51 AM
In perspective,the push for Kidal (2023) by Wagner and the Malian junta may have been the moment that started the true avalanche for the statehood of Mali and the final nail in the coffin.
Later in the evening a massive Mali, Sahel and Nigeria🧵.
Later in the evening a massive Mali, Sahel and Nigeria🧵.
The Islamic State immediately reacts to the threat Trump issued against Nigeria as was bound to happen in such circumstances.
The Central organisation warns its African afiliates to take Trump seriously given how volatile and chaotic the US admins actions are. #Nigeria
The Central organisation warns its African afiliates to take Trump seriously given how volatile and chaotic the US admins actions are. #Nigeria
November 6, 2025 at 2:32 PM
The Islamic State immediately reacts to the threat Trump issued against Nigeria as was bound to happen in such circumstances.
The Central organisation warns its African afiliates to take Trump seriously given how volatile and chaotic the US admins actions are. #Nigeria
The Central organisation warns its African afiliates to take Trump seriously given how volatile and chaotic the US admins actions are. #Nigeria
Reposted by Paweł Wójcik 🦋
The true genocide is now in Sudan, el-Fasher and elsewhere. We can't even grasp the true scale of the massacre UAE enabled that happened after the fall of the city.
You can't even imagine what a horrifying tragedy it is to see that from space, it simply doesn't happen ever...
You can't even imagine what a horrifying tragedy it is to see that from space, it simply doesn't happen ever...
November 1, 2025 at 10:48 PM
The true genocide is now in Sudan, el-Fasher and elsewhere. We can't even grasp the true scale of the massacre UAE enabled that happened after the fall of the city.
You can't even imagine what a horrifying tragedy it is to see that from space, it simply doesn't happen ever...
You can't even imagine what a horrifying tragedy it is to see that from space, it simply doesn't happen ever...
Trump talking about genocide in Nigeria is the biggest nonsense I heard today, and it's coming from me who has been covering jihadists killing Christians quite a bit.The conflict there is simply too complex, with Muslims being pray of other Muslims, bandits, separatists, mafias.
November 1, 2025 at 10:48 PM
Trump talking about genocide in Nigeria is the biggest nonsense I heard today, and it's coming from me who has been covering jihadists killing Christians quite a bit.The conflict there is simply too complex, with Muslims being pray of other Muslims, bandits, separatists, mafias.
Mainly for the Polish followers for now, though autotranslate should work fine I think. I will upload a separate English video with a bit more focus on the disaster in Mali and a gigantic ransom the United Arab Emirates were forced to pay to al-Qaeda this week.
youtu.be/Jax_yiadIqk?...
youtu.be/Jax_yiadIqk?...
October 31, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Mainly for the Polish followers for now, though autotranslate should work fine I think. I will upload a separate English video with a bit more focus on the disaster in Mali and a gigantic ransom the United Arab Emirates were forced to pay to al-Qaeda this week.
youtu.be/Jax_yiadIqk?...
youtu.be/Jax_yiadIqk?...
It's been a while, sorry for that, explained myself on Twitter and forgot to do that here.
Tommorow I am going to upload a video in English, in which I will cover the disaster of Mali and full economical blockade conducted by al-Qaeda and the kidnapping of an American in Niger by the Islamic State.
Tommorow I am going to upload a video in English, in which I will cover the disaster of Mali and full economical blockade conducted by al-Qaeda and the kidnapping of an American in Niger by the Islamic State.
October 29, 2025 at 9:26 PM
It's been a while, sorry for that, explained myself on Twitter and forgot to do that here.
Tommorow I am going to upload a video in English, in which I will cover the disaster of Mali and full economical blockade conducted by al-Qaeda and the kidnapping of an American in Niger by the Islamic State.
Tommorow I am going to upload a video in English, in which I will cover the disaster of Mali and full economical blockade conducted by al-Qaeda and the kidnapping of an American in Niger by the Islamic State.
Breaking.
At least 21 people were killed on Sunday in an attack on church premises in Komanda, eastern Congo by Islamic State jihadists.
Several houses and shops were also burnt.
apnews.com/article/cong...
At least 21 people were killed on Sunday in an attack on church premises in Komanda, eastern Congo by Islamic State jihadists.
Several houses and shops were also burnt.
apnews.com/article/cong...
At least 21 killed in attack on east Congo church by Islamic State-backed rebels, civil leader says
At least 21 people were killed in an attack on church premises in eastern Congo by Islamic State-backed rebels, according to a civil society leader.
apnews.com
July 27, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Breaking.
At least 21 people were killed on Sunday in an attack on church premises in Komanda, eastern Congo by Islamic State jihadists.
Several houses and shops were also burnt.
apnews.com/article/cong...
At least 21 people were killed on Sunday in an attack on church premises in Komanda, eastern Congo by Islamic State jihadists.
Several houses and shops were also burnt.
apnews.com/article/cong...
From a rare good news-Puntland forces have nabbed Mohammad Yusuf, chief financer of Islamic State Somalia and in recent years key person among a few in financing Islamic State operations worldwide. After the Omani external ops emir the most significant catch this year. #Somalia
July 25, 2025 at 12:01 PM
From a rare good news-Puntland forces have nabbed Mohammad Yusuf, chief financer of Islamic State Somalia and in recent years key person among a few in financing Islamic State operations worldwide. After the Omani external ops emir the most significant catch this year. #Somalia
Probably the most telling thing in this war in Mali is the fact, that the junta has in recent weeks exclusively transfered majority of its Turkish drones to monitor and protect the Russian convoy slowly getting ahead with a slow place, harassed by both JNIM and FLA.
July 22, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Probably the most telling thing in this war in Mali is the fact, that the junta has in recent weeks exclusively transfered majority of its Turkish drones to monitor and protect the Russian convoy slowly getting ahead with a slow place, harassed by both JNIM and FLA.
Niger: Citizen movement plans march in Niamey to demand justice, security and release of topelled president Bazoum amid growing insecurity exacerbated by the military junta
airinfoagadez.com/2025/07/21/n...
airinfoagadez.com/2025/07/21/n...
Niger : un mouvement citoyen prévoit une marche à Niamey pour réclamer justice, sécurité et libération de Bazoum
Le Mouvement Indépendant pour un Niger Nouveau dans la Justice et l’Égalité (MINNJE) a adressé ce 21 juillet une déclaration au délégué spécial de la ville de Niamey, l’informant de son…
airinfoagadez.com
July 22, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Niger: Citizen movement plans march in Niamey to demand justice, security and release of topelled president Bazoum amid growing insecurity exacerbated by the military junta
airinfoagadez.com/2025/07/21/n...
airinfoagadez.com/2025/07/21/n...
How stolen cattle links Ghana to the jihadist conflict in the Sahel.
JNIM established a chain of intermediaries and bought off policemen to legitimize illicit trade and add another chapter to the group's increasing profits financing Sahel's conquest.
www.thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/202...
JNIM established a chain of intermediaries and bought off policemen to legitimize illicit trade and add another chapter to the group's increasing profits financing Sahel's conquest.
www.thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/202...
How stolen cattle links Ghana to the jihadist conflict in the Sahel
Cattle rustling is a profitable revenue stream for insurgents and threatens the stability of the West African region.
www.thenewhumanitarian.org
July 20, 2025 at 11:34 AM
How stolen cattle links Ghana to the jihadist conflict in the Sahel.
JNIM established a chain of intermediaries and bought off policemen to legitimize illicit trade and add another chapter to the group's increasing profits financing Sahel's conquest.
www.thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/202...
JNIM established a chain of intermediaries and bought off policemen to legitimize illicit trade and add another chapter to the group's increasing profits financing Sahel's conquest.
www.thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/202...
Shabaab seizes two towns in central Somalia, completing a full reversal of Mogadishu government gains since 2022 and threatening to seize new territory, while the US is focused on fighting Islamic State in Puntland with intensified drone warfare.
www.longwarjournal.org/archives/202...
www.longwarjournal.org/archives/202...
Shabaab seizes two towns in central Somalia
Shabaab has reasserted its dominance in the Hiiran region in central Somalia. The Al Qaeda branch’s takeover of the towns of Moqokori and Tardo effectively completes the rollback of the government's o...
www.longwarjournal.org
July 19, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Shabaab seizes two towns in central Somalia, completing a full reversal of Mogadishu government gains since 2022 and threatening to seize new territory, while the US is focused on fighting Islamic State in Puntland with intensified drone warfare.
www.longwarjournal.org/archives/202...
www.longwarjournal.org/archives/202...
As Iran deports a million Afghans, "Where do we even go"
Afghans being forced out of Iran are grappling with an uncertain future in Afghanistan, where widespread poverty and severe restrictions on women and girls await.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/16/w...
Afghans being forced out of Iran are grappling with an uncertain future in Afghanistan, where widespread poverty and severe restrictions on women and girls await.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/16/w...
As Iran Deports a Million Afghans, ‘Where Do We Even Go?’
www.nytimes.com
July 18, 2025 at 11:00 AM
As Iran deports a million Afghans, "Where do we even go"
Afghans being forced out of Iran are grappling with an uncertain future in Afghanistan, where widespread poverty and severe restrictions on women and girls await.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/16/w...
Afghans being forced out of Iran are grappling with an uncertain future in Afghanistan, where widespread poverty and severe restrictions on women and girls await.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/16/w...
Rise in al Qaeda attacks revives spectre of West African caliphate
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
July 18, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Rise in al Qaeda attacks revives spectre of West African caliphate
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
The Tuaregs (FLA) call on all civilians near the FAMA/Russian occupied bases and cities of northern Mali to immediately relocate 100 km away. The organization says battles against the regime and allies are imminent. #Mali
July 18, 2025 at 9:06 AM
The Tuaregs (FLA) call on all civilians near the FAMA/Russian occupied bases and cities of northern Mali to immediately relocate 100 km away. The organization says battles against the regime and allies are imminent. #Mali