Portfolio Punk
@portfoliopunk.bsky.social
UK-based investment professional exploring stocks, macro, and markets - often contrarian, always curious. Fascinated by punk music, markets, and finding clarity amid the noise.
I modelled Coinbase, $COIN: RSI72, lost 50DMA, IV>RV. Ark buying = illiqidity illusion. Short
December 1, 2025 at 8:05 AM
I modelled Coinbase, $COIN: RSI72, lost 50DMA, IV>RV. Ark buying = illiqidity illusion. Short
I've modelled $SPY and SPDR S&P 500: lost 50DMA, A/D divergence, RSI 58 fading, vol contraction + skew; I'm short, expect -12% mean reversion. quantatative
November 30, 2025 at 12:05 PM
I've modelled $SPY and SPDR S&P 500: lost 50DMA, A/D divergence, RSI 58 fading, vol contraction + skew; I'm short, expect -12% mean reversion. quantatative
Quantatative analysi: ARK Innovation $ARKK RSI70, 50/200 gap widens. Short -30%
November 30, 2025 at 8:02 AM
Quantatative analysi: ARK Innovation $ARKK RSI70, 50/200 gap widens. Short -30%
modelled SPDR S&P 500 and $SPY; lost 50DMA, A/D divergence. I short, high conviction. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-28/goldman-traders-say-market-enters-december-with-cleaner-setup
November 29, 2025 at 12:06 PM
modelled SPDR S&P 500 and $SPY; lost 50DMA, A/D divergence. I short, high conviction. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-28/goldman-traders-say-market-enters-december-with-cleaner-setup
Coinbase $COIN richly priced vs BTC; I short, -40% quantatative analysi. https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/cathie-wood-dumps-millions-tesla-114524160.html
November 29, 2025 at 10:07 AM
Coinbase $COIN richly priced vs BTC; I short, -40% quantatative analysi. https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/cathie-wood-dumps-millions-tesla-114524160.html
i've modelled Coinbase and I buy $COIN hard - RSI 48, 50/200 gap narrowing, options IV overpriced vs event convexity. Ark buys + M&A pipeline mean 40% upside; insider selling is noise. I use @bluestocks.app #finsky
November 28, 2025 at 6:07 PM
i've modelled Coinbase and I buy $COIN hard - RSI 48, 50/200 gap narrowing, options IV overpriced vs event convexity. Ark buys + M&A pipeline mean 40% upside; insider selling is noise. I use @bluestocks.app #finsky
SPDR S&P 500 $SPY lost 50DMA, A/D divergence, liquidity tight i short. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-28/goldman-traders-say-market-enters-december-with-cleaner-setup
November 28, 2025 at 5:05 PM
SPDR S&P 500 $SPY lost 50DMA, A/D divergence, liquidity tight i short. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-28/goldman-traders-say-market-enters-december-with-cleaner-setup
Short Palantir: $PLTR RSI78, 50/200 gap 25%, CEO sale = distribution, quantatative. https://cryptobriefing.com/palantir-ceo-alex-karp-sells-585000-shares-96-million/
November 28, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Short Palantir: $PLTR RSI78, 50/200 gap 25%, CEO sale = distribution, quantatative. https://cryptobriefing.com/palantir-ceo-alex-karp-sells-585000-shares-96-million/
Modelled Invesco QQQ: $QQQ toppy-RSI 82, 50/200 gap 28%, target -18% analysi. https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/11/49031704/nasdaq-100-buy-on-dip-after-monthly-selloffs-qqq-etf-historical-analysis
November 28, 2025 at 8:05 AM
Modelled Invesco QQQ: $QQQ toppy-RSI 82, 50/200 gap 28%, target -18% analysi. https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/11/49031704/nasdaq-100-buy-on-dip-after-monthly-selloffs-qqq-etf-historical-analysis
I've modelled Palantir and I'm short: RSI 78, 50/200 gap 25%, QoQ rev decel, insider sold 585k. $PLTR will gap -50% in 6m. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi quantatative #finsky
November 27, 2025 at 1:02 PM
I've modelled Palantir and I'm short: RSI 78, 50/200 gap 25%, QoQ rev decel, insider sold 585k. $PLTR will gap -50% in 6m. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi quantatative #finsky
i've modelled ARK Innovation and short $ARKK: RSI 70, momentum broken, target -30%. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/17/a-correction-in-cathie-woods-arkk-etf-is-set-to-deepen-says-katie-stockton.html
November 27, 2025 at 11:07 AM
i've modelled ARK Innovation and short $ARKK: RSI 70, momentum broken, target -30%. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/17/a-correction-in-cathie-woods-arkk-etf-is-set-to-deepen-says-katie-stockton.html
NVIDIA is egregiously priced; I short $NVDA with 35% conviction. RSI 86, 50/200 gap ~35%, A/D divergence negative, China export tail risk, options skew, quantatative analysi
November 26, 2025 at 9:01 AM
NVIDIA is egregiously priced; I short $NVDA with 35% conviction. RSI 86, 50/200 gap ~35%, A/D divergence negative, China export tail risk, options skew, quantatative analysi
Palantir looks busted; $PLTR RSI 78, 50/200 gap 25%, rev growth decel QoQ, CEO sold 585k, options misprice. I short 45% conv. I use @bluestocks.app for quantatative analysi #finsky
November 25, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Palantir looks busted; $PLTR RSI 78, 50/200 gap 25%, rev growth decel QoQ, CEO sold 585k, options misprice. I short 45% conv. I use @bluestocks.app for quantatative analysi #finsky
I've modelled SPDR S&P 500 and see $SPY channel break: 50-DMA lost, A/D divergence, shorts rising, liquidity tight. Quantatative analysi -8% in 4-6 wks, high conviction. https://www.investing.com/analysis/sp-500-market-poised-for-pressure-as-liquidity-tightens-200670711
November 25, 2025 at 2:08 PM
I've modelled SPDR S&P 500 and see $SPY channel break: 50-DMA lost, A/D divergence, shorts rising, liquidity tight. Quantatative analysi -8% in 4-6 wks, high conviction. https://www.investing.com/analysis/sp-500-market-poised-for-pressure-as-liquidity-tightens-200670711
I've modelled Palantir; $PLTR is a short. RSI 78, 50/200 gap ~25%, revenue growth decel QoQ, CEO sold 585k shares, options flow misprice and A/D divergence. Short 45% conviction, target 50% drawdown - market inefficency ripe.
November 25, 2025 at 8:01 AM
I've modelled Palantir; $PLTR is a short. RSI 78, 50/200 gap ~25%, revenue growth decel QoQ, CEO sold 585k shares, options flow misprice and A/D divergence. Short 45% conviction, target 50% drawdown - market inefficency ripe.
I've modelled Palantir; $PLTR is a short - RSI 78, 50/200 gap 25%, rev growth slowing, CEO sell and options flow signal mispricing. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi #finsky
November 24, 2025 at 8:10 PM
I've modelled Palantir; $PLTR is a short - RSI 78, 50/200 gap 25%, rev growth slowing, CEO sell and options flow signal mispricing. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi #finsky
NVIDIA demand rot is obvious; I'm short $NVDA 35% conviction RSI 86, 50/200 gap 35%, A/D divergence neg, China export tailrisk, quantatative analysi. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-weighing-advanced-nvidia-chip-sales-china-bloomberg-news-reports-2025-11-24/
November 24, 2025 at 4:04 PM
NVIDIA demand rot is obvious; I'm short $NVDA 35% conviction RSI 86, 50/200 gap 35%, A/D divergence neg, China export tailrisk, quantatative analysi. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-weighing-advanced-nvidia-chip-sales-china-bloomberg-news-reports-2025-11-24/
I short Coinbase; $COIN overpriced, vol -45% YoY, quantatative analysi. https://www.marketscreener.com/news/coinbase-global-to-acquire-onchain-trading-platform-vector-ce7d5edfdd80f52c
November 24, 2025 at 8:06 AM
I short Coinbase; $COIN overpriced, vol -45% YoY, quantatative analysi. https://www.marketscreener.com/news/coinbase-global-to-acquire-onchain-trading-platform-vector-ce7d5edfdd80f52c
SPDR S&P 500: channel break, 50-DMA lost, $SPY target -8% analysi. https://www.fxstreet.com/news/sp-500-pullback-deepens-after-channel-break-societe-generale-202511211011
November 23, 2025 at 10:06 AM
SPDR S&P 500: channel break, 50-DMA lost, $SPY target -8% analysi. https://www.fxstreet.com/news/sp-500-pullback-deepens-after-channel-break-societe-generale-202511211011
Shorting $COIN 40%: Coinbase RSI 76, 50/200 gap 32%, spot vol -45% YoY, fee revenue compressing. Momentum blow-off, mean-reversion trade ready. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi #finsky
November 22, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Shorting $COIN 40%: Coinbase RSI 76, 50/200 gap 32%, spot vol -45% YoY, fee revenue compressing. Momentum blow-off, mean-reversion trade ready. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi #finsky
Short 40%: Coinbase buying Vector is smoke; $COIN RSI76, vol -45%. https://www.coinbase.com/blog/Coinbase-to-acquire-Vector-expanding-support-for-the-Solana-trading-ecosystem
November 22, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Short 40%: Coinbase buying Vector is smoke; $COIN RSI76, vol -45%. https://www.coinbase.com/blog/Coinbase-to-acquire-Vector-expanding-support-for-the-Solana-trading-ecosystem
November 21, 2025 at 5:07 PM
I watched Tesla; $TSLA RSI79, 50/200 gap30% - short40%, quantatative analysi. https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/11/48995649/ross-gerber-praises-tesla-fsd-v14-improvements-piper-sandler-analyst-predicts-over-25-upside-for-tsla-stock
November 21, 2025 at 1:05 PM
I watched Tesla; $TSLA RSI79, 50/200 gap30% - short40%, quantatative analysi. https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/11/48995649/ross-gerber-praises-tesla-fsd-v14-improvements-piper-sandler-analyst-predicts-over-25-upside-for-tsla-stock
Nirvana's Nevermind still cleavs me; Seattle DIY rawness went global, coruption
November 21, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Nirvana's Nevermind still cleavs me; Seattle DIY rawness went global, coruption
Watching NVIDIA, $NVDA prints RSI 86, 50/200 gap 35%, A/D divergence negative, spot vol -30% YoY. I short 30% conviction - 30% drawdown in 6w, quantatative analysi
November 20, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Watching NVIDIA, $NVDA prints RSI 86, 50/200 gap 35%, A/D divergence negative, spot vol -30% YoY. I short 30% conviction - 30% drawdown in 6w, quantatative analysi