LightNews LightNews
peterkellner.bsky.social
@peterkellner.bsky.social
1.7K followers 12 following 62 posts
Posts Replies Media Videos
peterkellner.bsky.social
The right-wing media want a Reform-Tory pact. My latest Substack post analyses why they are unlikely to get their way.

kellnerp.substack.com/p/why-the-ri...
Why the right-wing media want a Reform-Conservative pact…
…and why they are likely to be disappointed
kellnerp.substack.com
January 19, 2026 at 7:20 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
In their hearts, MPs from all parties know that Britain needs a new, fair and affordable plan for pensions. My Substack (subscriptions are free) argues that It will take guts, but one might be on the way

kellnerp.substack.com/p/can-britai...
Can Britain succeed where France has failed?
Needed: a fair, affordable plan for pensions. It will take guts, but might be on the way
kellnerp.substack.com
January 12, 2026 at 7:05 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
In the early hours of May 7, 1945, Germany surrendered to the allies, including Russia, 1,415 days after Hitler's troops invaded the Soviet Union. Putin's troops invaded Ukraine 1,415 days ago this morning. The "special military operation" has now lasted longer than the "great patriotic war".
January 7, 2026 at 4:15 PM
peterkellner.bsky.social
My new year post argues that Labour’s leader must find the “wow” factor if he is not to resign, be removed or condemn Labour to certain defeat at the next election
kellnerp.substack.com/p/starmers-o...
Starmer's options in the last chance saloon
Resign, be removed, or find the "wow" factor
kellnerp.substack.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:58 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
For my final Substack post of 2025 I look at the wholesale transfer of support from the main legacy parties (Lab + Con) to the surging insurgents (Reform + Green) - and their similarity to the tactics of ice cream vans

kellnerp.substack.com/p/2025-the-y...
2025: the year when the rules of ice cream battles changed British politics
Today’s party leaders face the same basic challenge as Mr Whippy
kellnerp.substack.com
December 29, 2025 at 6:58 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
My latest Substack post analyses Britain’s continuing problems with productivity. Spoiler alert: they are not just the fault of the Tories. They go deeper than that.
PS: Subscription to my posts is free.
kellnerp.substack.com/p/rachel-ree...
Rachel Reeves’s biggest crisis isn’t over
Productivity remains a headache. Blame big tech, not just the Tories
kellnerp.substack.com
December 15, 2025 at 6:51 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Suddenly the talk at Westminster is of the government wanting a closer relationship with the European Union. What should we make of this? My latest Substack crunches the numbers.
kellnerp.substack.com/p/the-majori...
The majority opposed to Brexit has reached eight million
Ministers need courage to keep it that way
kellnerp.substack.com
December 8, 2025 at 7:03 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
If Labour changes its leader, how can it win the next election? My post considers how the new prime minister could maximise their chances of success. kellnerp.substack.com/p/how-labour...
How Labour could win without Starmer
It won’t be easy. The attempt might fail. How could the party maximise its chances of success?
kellnerp.substack.com
November 28, 2025 at 7:01 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Last month marked the centenary of Margaret Thatcher’s birth. In my latest Substack post, I argue that progressives, and not just her fans, have much to learn from her electoral victories

kellnerp.substack.com/p/thatchers-...
Thatcher’s victories have lessons for us all
Progressives, and not just her fans, have much to learn from her electoral victories
kellnerp.substack.com
November 5, 2025 at 6:48 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
A decision that passed unnoticed at last year’s Labour conference spells danger for the prime minister. My latest Substack post explains all.

kellnerp.substack.com/p/revealed-t...
Revealed: the rule change that puts Starmer at risk
A decision that passed unnoticed at last year’s Labour conference spells danger for the prime minister
kellnerp.substack.com
October 27, 2025 at 6:45 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
To become prime minister, Nigel Farage must defy history. My new post for Subnstack discusses his prospects

kellnerp.substack.com/p/a-time-to-...
A time to moan and a time to choose
To become prime minister, Farage must defy history.
kellnerp.substack.com
October 21, 2025 at 6:00 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
My latest Substack examines how flawed polling and flawed journalism are distorting the debate over assisted dying

kellnerp.substack.com/p/peers-beware
Peers beware
Flawed polling and flawed journalism are distorting the debate over assisted dying
kellnerp.substack.com
October 15, 2025 at 5:56 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
My new Substack reports fresh data that reveal the gap between what politicians say and what voters notice.
kellnerp.substack.com/p/voters-are...
Voters are not listening
New research uncovers the gap between what politicians say and what voters notice
kellnerp.substack.com
October 7, 2025 at 7:45 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Populists rely on voters overstating the scale of today's problems. Polls show that this is far too common in Britain - and around the world
kellnerp.substack.com/p/ignorance-...
“Ignorance is Strength”. Was Orwell’s Big Brother right?
Yes – for populists. Parties like Reform rely on voters overstating the scale of today’s problems
kellnerp.substack.com
September 23, 2025 at 6:11 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Keir Starmer are in worse troubl;e than they realise. My new "respect index" compares what is happening now with what happened after past change elctions. All my Substack posts are free. Read this one here. kellnerp.substack.com/p/historys-w...
History’s warning for Starmer and Badenoch
The "respect index" shows that their problems are even worse than they think
kellnerp.substack.com
September 16, 2025 at 6:15 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
We know the Tories are in terrible trouble. My latest post looks at its chances of survival, drawing on the lessons from history, and names two people who can help it see off Reform

kellnerp.substack.com/p/how-the-to...
How the Tories can avoid the abyss…
… and the two people who can help them see off Reform
kellnerp.substack.com
September 1, 2025 at 6:08 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Labour and the Tories are in even greater peril than they think. New research finds fundamental changes in the ways voters decide which party to support

kellnerp.substack.com/p/labour-and...
Labour and the Tories are in even greater peril than they think
New research finds fundamental changes in the ways voters decide which party to support
kellnerp.substack.com
July 28, 2025 at 7:23 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Corbyn and Sultana are looking for a name for their new party. Votey McVoteface?
July 24, 2025 at 4:51 PM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Until now, Britain’s voters have normally chosen not just their MPs but, in practice, their prime minister. Those days may be coming to an end. This is the second post about tackling the problems with our voting system
kellnerp.substack.com/p/what-kind-...
What kind of democracy do we want?
Until now, Britain’s voters have normally chosen not just their MPs but, in practice, their prime minister. Those days may be coming to an end
kellnerp.substack.com
July 8, 2025 at 6:10 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Revealed: the brutal arithmetic that will shape the next general election. Nigel Farage could become prime minister even if Reform falls short of 30% support

kellnerp.substack.com/p/reforms-wi...
Reform's winning post is closer than I thought
Revealed: the brutal arithmetic that will shape the next general election
kellnerp.substack.com
June 30, 2025 at 5:49 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Last year our voting system punished Nigel Farage. Last month it rewarded him. My latest Substack post argues that First Past The Post has served us well but now needs to go.
kellnerp.substack.com/p/to-stop-re...
To stop Reform, change the voting system
Without change, Farage could become prime minister even though most voters can't stand him
kellnerp.substack.com
June 23, 2025 at 6:55 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
Thr war against big tobacco is not over. One of Britain’s most successful campaigns still has work to do.
kellnerp.substack.com/p/fighting-b...
Fighting big tobacco: now for the endgame
One of Britain’s most successful campaigns still has work to do
kellnerp.substack.com
June 9, 2025 at 6:17 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
On June 5, 1967, Israel launched the Six Day war. One of the architects of its victory was a distant relative. I can now reveal his private warning before the war of the disaster facing his country if it ended up occupying Gaza and the West Bank.
kellnerp.substack.com/p/defeat-the...
'Defeat the Palestinians, then set them free'
Revealed: the private warning of the Israeli general who feared that occupying the West Bank and Gaza would lead to disaster
kellnerp.substack.com
June 5, 2025 at 6:05 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
From winter fuel allowance and child benefit to immigration and Europe, Labour’s ministers have been led astray by the data they rely on. My Substack post argues that it is time to change their ways
kellnerp.substack.com/p/a-pollster...
A pollster warns: beware of the polls
Labour’s ministers have been led astray by the data they rely on. Time to change their ways
kellnerp.substack.com
May 26, 2025 at 6:00 AM
peterkellner.bsky.social
New research by YouGov shows that, even with its support down to 23 per cent, Labour may not have reached rock bottom. Here is my analysis for Substack
kellnerp.substack.com/p/starmers-b...
Starmer's biggest mistake is taking progressive voters for granted.
New research by YouGov shows that, even with its support down to 23 per cent, Labour may not have reached rock bottom
kellnerp.substack.com
May 19, 2025 at 6:10 AM