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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 8h

Yes. In the past the median political elites and their staff was probably more cosmopolitan than their voters. That’s broken down now. With political elites and their staff becoming more reflective of their voters. Unfortunately, coalition shifts have made Reps really bad and dangerous.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 8h

After this chaos what can be offered is relative certainty. In return, there would be required concessions. The wildcard is inflation, that’s the binding constraint. Capital strikes, bond market vigilantes are the same fairy tales. Reality, stay within a market framework, and you can just do things.

Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 8h

They won’t strike because they can’t , “capital” is too vast to have a common interest, and cannot coordinate. There is no empirical evidence it has occurred, and examples provided misunderstandings. Trump is building the scaffolding, shoddily, for a corporatist framework.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 16h

I’m so glad someone else can relate.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 16h

When I dug into international examples, political science is annoyingly American centric at times, packing comes after sustained large victories and often after the court has been ignored. Disagree on capital strike though. Business will go along with a nudge.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 16h

Correct. Fukuyama, I think, a few years ago pointed out this exact scenario. While others have said Democratic fidelity to procedural norms has held but will not indefinitely. Also why I think stuff like court packing is a fantasy. Why pack it when it can just be ignored?

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 17h

They are also, possibly, teeing up a scenario where a future president openly bypasses the Congress too. At this point I think a president openly defying the Supreme Court is pretty much a done deal.

Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 17h

Correct. I’ve begun to think “what comes next” is possibly a plebiscitary presidency due to a combination of coalition demands, generational turnover, an activist court without legitimacy, and a dysfunctional Congress. At least for a period.

Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li @sjshancoxli.liberalcurrents.com · 2d

a couple of people have criticized this "but what if you do bad things with all that power" but like. look around you. the right has already grasped the power at hand and is using it. "republicans use the state to advance their goals; democrats unilaterally disarm" is not a sustainable equilibrium!

Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li @sjshancoxli.liberalcurrents.com · 3d

one thing that has been obvious for a while is this aspect of the authoritarian internationale: they recognize that their allies abroad are not *countries* but *political movements* within foreign countries.

time we liberals woke up and recognized this--because it's the truth.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 17h

In the meantime I’ll settle for less internal sniping, directing attacks at Republicans, understanding who the enemy is.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 17h

How much does Hungary also being a parliamentary system shake out?

In such a scenario for the US, our presidential system and divided government, could eventually give way to a plebiscitary presidency with the Congress and court increasingly diminished.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 18h

Yes. I don’t remember why tbh. I used them because I remember they were a pain in the ass to find. I found a de-boning video, watched it, and kept it close by. If I ever do it again, I’ll let the butcher handle that.

Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 18h

His defense is pre-2008 in how weirdly explicit it is. But I’ve the politics of regulating who gets credit get dicey, quickly.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 19h

Glad I saved my old stuff that covered dirigism, never know when a grad school elective will suddenly become relevant.

CNBC @cnbc.com · 1d

Trump administration will set price floors across range of industries to combat China, Bessent says

China has driven foreign competitors out of business over the past two decades by using its market dominance to slash prices, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said.

cnb.cx

Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 19h

What is it about history rhyming again? Economic historians point out the continuity of interventions, corporatist policy pre war, its institutional continuity under post war governments.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 19h

A prejudice from learned behavior, ignorance. It is not their animating core belief. Rather than a desire to build a new order with explicit racism at its core. One can hold racist beliefs without being a fascist.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 20h

I recently opened it up to find wailing that Nazi with David Koresh profile pic, Captive Dreamer, has been banned. A short beheading video. And lots of scammy ads. So your experience was better than mine!

Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 20h

This place has problems, lots, but my recent Twitter check in was wailing about a mass ban of Nazi accounts. Like Captive Dreamer. Snuff videos. Followed by a scammy ad. But no immediate OF spam. Truly incredible.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 20h

Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, or proscribe logical reasoning. Baby steps. Understanding who social media platforms exist for, ad buyers, and internalizing this rudimentary fact would potentially open doors for sanity. But Elon is many things. So, not optimistic.

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Reposted by Patrick

Micah @rincewind.run · 21h

I think two things are true:

1. young republicans were always terrible and racist

2. young republicans become openly hitler-loving groypers is in fact a new and alarming development that is worth paying attention to

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 21h

Import the Balkans, become the Balkans. That’s what their, ugh, thinkers tell me. Yet, we haven’t experienced a great replacement through Balkan immigration? Example, once again, of the human capital deficit.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 21h

She’s actually one who I had in mind when thinking of those who stayed versus those that left. Those who left and knew her/of her, universally revile her.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 22h

I’ve seen similar dynamic with many from college. To varying degrees of “you were right”, disgust, acquiescence to being a Dem. The ones who’ve remained have all enthusiastically joined the fascist cult. Proportions are different for me and younger brother though. Nearly all went along in his cohort

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 22h

I used to looked down on liberals in places such as Romania that scorned swaths of their population. Saw them as a problem to be managed. I can say I understand them and, unfortunately, view myself coming closer to them.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 22h

Obama era College Republicans pushing Ryanism with sprinklings of social liberalism have left or were assimilated by 2020. Now it’s much weirder, admiring European fascists. In some ways inverted boomer far left.

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Patrick @patrick4872.bsky.social · 22h

Generational combined with coalition reshuffling. Republican staffers who knew “rube bait”, socially to the left of the party base, embarrassed/disliked their own, etc are no longer the norm. You now have a staffer class generally closer to what the base believes.

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