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Opta Analyst
@optaanalyst.optajoe.com
Data-driven storytelling for sport. 📈
U.S. sports @optaanalystus.optajoe.com

https://www.theanalyst.com

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𝐍𝐨𝐭𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐡𝐚𝐦 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝟎-𝟎 𝐀𝐫𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐅𝐓

It might feel like a missed opportunity, but Arsenal have extended their lead at the top of the Premier League to seven points with this draw.

The Opta supercomputer rates their title chances at 85.9%. They are still huge favourites.
January 17, 2026 at 7:46 PM
Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal HT

Arsenal had eight shots in the first half - their most without managing a single effort on target in the opening half of a PL match since Mikel Arteta's first game in charge vs Bournemouth in December 2019 (9).
January 17, 2026 at 6:24 PM
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐡𝐚𝐦 𝟏-𝟐 𝐖𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐇𝐚𝐦 𝐅𝐓

It's yet another home loss for Spurs, and West Ham have their first Premier League win since 8 November.

How much more time does Thomas Frank have as Tottenham boss?
January 17, 2026 at 5:05 PM
𝐋𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐨𝐥 𝟏-𝟏 𝐁𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐥𝐞𝐲 𝐅𝐓

Disappointment for Liverpool as Arne Slot's side drop points at home to 19th-placed Burnley.

It's Burnley's fourth draw in their last six games, but they remain seven points adrift of safety.
January 17, 2026 at 4:58 PM
Following his successful spot-kick vs Brentford, Cole Palmer now has the exact same record from penalties as Julian Dicks.

They rank joint seventh in Premier League history for success rate from 12 yards.

theanalyst.com/articles/bes...
The Best Penalty Takers in the Premier League | Opta Analyst
Who are the best Premier League penalty takers? We give a run down of all the players to have the best records in the competition.
theanalyst.com
January 17, 2026 at 4:42 PM
Team news from the City Ground

Bukayo Saka is on the bench for Arsenal, with Noni Madueke starting.

Sean Dyche brings Ibrahim Sangaré back in in his only change from Forest's last Premier League game.
January 17, 2026 at 4:31 PM
Tottenham 0-1 West Ham HT

Spurs fans probably didn't think things could get any worse... then along came West Ham, winless in their last 10 (TEN) Premier League games.

The Hammers lead at the break here, and Spurs are probably fortunate it's only 1-0.
January 17, 2026 at 3:54 PM
Chelsea 1-0 Brentford HT

João Pedro's goal is the difference at Stamford Bridge, but Brentford have had plenty of good chances themselves.

Plenty to play for in this one.
January 17, 2026 at 3:50 PM
Liverpool 1-0 Burnley HT

Florian Wirtz put Liverpool ahead late in the first half after Dominik Szoboszlai had missed a penalty.

Burnley have provided little in the way of attacking threat so far.
January 17, 2026 at 3:49 PM
Florian Wirtz smashes Liverpool in front against Burnley.

He now has six goal involvements (four goals, two assists) in his last seven appearances in all competitions.
January 17, 2026 at 3:45 PM
The biggest winners from the Manchester derby?

That might just have been Arsenal.

🤖The result at Old Trafford means the Opta supercomputer now gives Arsenal an 89.3% chance of winning the title...

📈 Check out the latest numbers here 👇
theanalyst.com/competition/...
January 17, 2026 at 2:56 PM
Man Utd 2-0 Man City FT

The Michael Carrick era is here. And what a result to get it started.

United fully deserve their win, as City lose further ground in the title race.
January 17, 2026 at 2:48 PM
Manchester United love sweeping attacking moves, and Bryan Mbeumo has just finished off a very good one!

The hosts lead in the derby. Will City have any response?
January 17, 2026 at 1:55 PM
Man Utd 0-0 Man City HT

United had the ball in the City net TWICE in that first half but both times they were denied by the linesman's flag.

The hosts were the better side, but they have nothing to show for their work... for now.
January 17, 2026 at 1:20 PM
𝐌𝐢𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐞𝐥 𝐂𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐤: 𝐁𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐃𝐮𝐠𝐨𝐮𝐭

Ahead of Carrick's first game on Saturday, we look at several key questions, including:

🇨🇲🇨🇮 Space for Mbeumo and Amad?
🧠💪 Brains or muscle in midfield?
⏩ Is counterattacking key?

theanalyst.com/articles/mic...
Five Key Questions Facing Michael Carrick Ahead of Man Utd vs Man City | Opta Analyst
With Michael Carrick's reign as Manchester United interim head coach starting in Saturday's derby, we ask some key questions that'll be on the minds of supporters.
theanalyst.com
January 16, 2026 at 1:55 PM
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐞𝐫 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐠𝐮𝐞'𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐫

Harry Wilson only scores bangers. He is finishing chances better than anyone else right now.

But out of contract later this year, his form might not be entirely good news for Fulham.

✍️ @alitweedale.bsky.social

theanalyst.com/articles/har...
It’s Official: Harry Wilson Is the Premier League’s King of Long-Range Bangers | Opta Analyst
Harry Wilson is in the form of his life, and Fulham have surged into the top half of the Premier League as a result. How long can he keep his remarkable run up?
theanalyst.com
January 16, 2026 at 11:26 AM
Rayan Cherki leads all Premier League players for chances created per 90 (3.4)

With every chance created worth 1 extra point in #FPL Challenge GW22, does he earn your captain's armband?

Opta's team reveal here: theanalyst.com/articles/fpl...
January 16, 2026 at 9:46 AM
Arsenal - Full-back?
Bournemouth - Winger?
Liverpool - Centre-back?

We pinpoint one position that every Premier League club needs to address this January transfer window:

theanalyst.com/articles/jan...
One Problem Position Every Premier League Side Needs to Address This January | Opta Analyst
We identify the one position each Premier League side should be prioritising in the January transfer window.
theanalyst.com
January 16, 2026 at 9:20 AM
Back in September, we revealed the Opta data that showed Premier League games this season had fewer passes, more long balls, more long throws, and more goals from set-pieces.

Four months on, we've reviewed those numbers again to see how much they've changed. 🤔

theanalyst.com/articles/pre...
Premier League Tactical Trends: How Passing, Set-Pieces, Long Throws Have Changed in 2025-26 | Opta Analyst
Are Premier League teams still playing a more direct style than before? We analyse the latest numbers to check the latest trends.
theanalyst.com
January 15, 2026 at 6:08 PM
If your club could only sign one player in January, where should it be?

We pinpoint which position each individual Premier League team should address 👀

theanalyst.com/articles/jan...
One Problem Position Every Premier League Side Needs to Address This January | Opta Analyst
We identify the one position each Premier League side should be prioritising in the January transfer window.
theanalyst.com
January 15, 2026 at 12:32 PM
Reposted by Opta Analyst
Why did Real Madrid sack Xabi Alonso? ⚪

📉Thoroughly outplayed vs Europe's biggest sides
❌Lacked dressing room authority
🔒Too much tactical rigidity

We look at the data behind Alonso's brief, bruising spell:

theanalyst.com/articles/xab...
Xabi Alonso's Brief, Bruising Stint Is Over: Where Did It All Go Wrong at Real Madrid? | Opta Analyst
Xabi Alonso was sacked as manager of Real Madrid after defeat to Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup, but where did it go wrong?
theanalyst.com
January 14, 2026 at 1:27 PM
𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐫 𝐆𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐠𝐡𝐞𝐫 🤝 𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐡𝐚𝐦

Gallagher won't fix Spurs because he isn't the playmaker many fans crave.

But he will improve the average standard of their midfield and offer plenty in his own right.

theanalyst.com/articles/con...
Conor Gallagher Will Improve Tottenham’s Midfield, Even if He Doesn’t Fix It | Opta Analyst
Although Conor Gallagher probably doesn't address Tottenham's most obvious needs, the England international could plenty to Thomas Frank's team.
theanalyst.com
January 14, 2026 at 4:23 PM
Why did Real Madrid sack Xabi Alonso? ⚪

📉Thoroughly outplayed vs Europe's biggest sides
❌Lacked dressing room authority
🔒Too much tactical rigidity

We look at the data behind Alonso's brief, bruising spell:

theanalyst.com/articles/xab...
Xabi Alonso's Brief, Bruising Stint Is Over: Where Did It All Go Wrong at Real Madrid? | Opta Analyst
Xabi Alonso was sacked as manager of Real Madrid after defeat to Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup, but where did it go wrong?
theanalyst.com
January 14, 2026 at 1:27 PM
😀 United and West Ham looking good
🥵 Palace set to struggle
📈 Arsenal have another edge over City

Introducing our (not-so-scientific) 𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫 𝐟𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐠𝐮𝐞 rankings.

Who has managed their squad the best, and who might suffer as the weeks go by?

theanalyst.com/articles/pre...
Player Fatigue Rankings: Which Premier League Teams Have Managed Their Squad the Best? | Opta Analyst
We look at running metrics, squad rotation, injuries and more to try to work out how fatigue might affect each Premier League team in the final four months of the season.
theanalyst.com
January 14, 2026 at 1:23 PM
4⃣ at the back
😃 A confidence boost
⚽️ Plenty of possession
💨 Quick, direct attacks
🪵 Tactical rigidity

What will #MUFC be getting from Michael Carrick if they do go ahead and appoint him as interim manager?

theanalyst.com/articles/mic...
Possession, Confidence and Four at the Back: What Will Michael Carrick Bring to Man Utd? | Opta Analyst
Reports suggest former player Michael Carrick is the favourite to be appointed interim manager at Manchester United, but what can we expect of his team?
theanalyst.com
January 12, 2026 at 3:46 PM