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niesrorg.bsky.social
National Institute of Economic and Social Research
@niesrorg.bsky.social
2.6K followers 24 following 830 posts
Founded in 1938, NIESR is Britain’s longest established independent research institute focusing on macroeconomics and social policy.
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 2d
Our analysis of today's Autumn #Budget is published!

We believe it locks in a high-tax, high-debt steady state in a world of low productivity growth and higher interest rates with a modest fiscal tightening over the forecast.

Our full take here: 👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/2025-au...
2025 Autumn Budget Reaction - NIESR
Today’s Autumn Budget locks in a high-tax, high-debt steady state in a world of low productivity growth and higher interest rates.
niesr.ac.uk
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading: for many #Brexit was the elephant in the room - missing from the debate around the #Budget

Our latest paper investigates the macroeconomic impacts of increased non-tariff trade costs resulting from Brexit on UK business investment and productivity
Brexit and Non-Tariff Barriers: Effects on UK Business Investment and Productivity - NIESR
This paper investigates the macroeconomic impacts of increased non-tariff trade costs resulting from Brexit on UK business investment and productivity growth.
niesr.ac.uk
November 29, 2025 at 1:15 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading 🔖 Our analysis of the Autumn #Budget 💼

We believe it locks in a high-tax, high-debt steady state in a world of low productivity growth and higher interest rates with a modest fiscal tightening over the forecast.

Read it here in full👇
What is the Stance of Fiscal Policy after Wednesday’s Budget? - NIESR
What does the package announced in the 2025 Autumn Budget mean for the stance of fiscal policy?  Is policy providing a tailwind or acting as a headwind?
niesr.ac.uk
November 29, 2025 at 9:04 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
The #DirectorView is out now📈

In today's 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo our Director David Aikman outlines how fiscal policy has shaped demand over the past decade and what Wednesday’s #AutumnBudget implies for the next five years 👇

#Budget2025 #MonetaryPolicy #UKeconomy

niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-st...
What is the Stance of Fiscal Policy after Wednesday’s Budget? - NIESR
What does the package announced in the 2025 Autumn Budget mean for the stance of fiscal policy?  Is policy providing a tailwind or acting as a headwind?
niesr.ac.uk
November 28, 2025 at 11:55 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
In case you missed it you can now catch up and watch it back here 👇With thanks again to the panellists and a great chair for making it such an interesting one!

#Budget2025

niesr.ac.uk/event/discus...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=RPrx...
November 27, 2025 at 4:25 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
Don't forget to sign up to our online event at 1pm to hear our #Budget analysis and the take from the markets with @pgimglobal.bsky.social's Katharine Neiss and from businesses with CBI's Mohammad Jamei, chaired by @teraallas.bsky.social

👇A not-to-be-missed webinar!🖱️📝👇

niesr.ac.uk/event/discus...
November 27, 2025 at 10:16 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
Our analysis of today's Autumn #Budget is published!

We believe it locks in a high-tax, high-debt steady state in a world of low productivity growth and higher interest rates with a modest fiscal tightening over the forecast.

Our full take here: 👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/2025-au...
2025 Autumn Budget Reaction - NIESR
Today’s Autumn Budget locks in a high-tax, high-debt steady state in a world of low productivity growth and higher interest rates.
niesr.ac.uk
November 27, 2025 at 10:00 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
'Chancellor let's stop paying a credibility #tax'!

Our Director David Aikman setting the scene ahead of the #Budget2025

Follow our live reactions here ⚡️

#Budget #UKeconomy
November 26, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
productivity.bsky.social
Will today's #Budget boost productivity?
Get a head start on how the budget will impact productivity: podfollow.com/productivity...

@bartvanark.bsky.social is joined by @teraallas.bsky.social (@alliancembs.bsky.social), Louise Hellem (CBI) & @econstevem.bsky.social (@niesrorg.bsky.social).
Productivity Puzzles: Will We Get a Productive Budget?
The Chancellor’s Budget is on the horizon. Will it bring higher taxes, deeper cuts, or more borrowing? Does the Budget really matter for productivity? And how does productivity shape the Budget? ...
podfollow.com
November 26, 2025 at 10:22 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
#Budget week is (finally) here! But what should we be really looking out for on Wednesday? 💼

Our Peter Dixon answers four key questions in the latest #MondayInterview, just published 👇

#Budget2025 #Chancellor #UKeconomy
@resmedia.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/blog/four-ke...
November 24, 2025 at 10:49 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
Tomorrow is #Budget Day - And the day after tomorrow is our event presenting our analysis on it and discussing all the various announcements with PGIM and CBI, chaired by @teraallas.bsky.social

💻Online ⏰ 1-2pm

Signed up here👇

#Budget2025 #UKeconomy #Chancellor

niesr.ac.uk/event/discus...
November 25, 2025 at 5:05 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#Budget week is (finally) here! But what should we be really looking out for on Wednesday? 💼

Our Peter Dixon answers four key questions in the latest #MondayInterview, just published 👇

#Budget2025 #Chancellor #UKeconomy
@resmedia.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/blog/four-ke...
November 24, 2025 at 10:49 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#Chancellor, fix the roof!🏚️

"We need to call time on fiscal wishful thinking.

The sun may not be shining, but it’s still the moment to fix the roof – before the next storm hits" 🌦️🌩️

Ahead of the #Budget our Director's piece for Comment Central is a must read 👇
The sun might not be shining, but it’s time to fix the roof
Within the space of a week, the Chancellor has delivered a pre-Budget signal, rowed back from it, and left the impression of a government unsure of its fiscal bearings. One could be forgiven for…
commentcentral.co.uk
November 24, 2025 at 8:53 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
*NEW* pre-#Budget video with our Deputy Director @econstevem.bsky.social

What is trend growth? Why it matters? What can the #Government do about it?

Worth a watch ahead of next week ⬇️🎥

#Budget2025 #AutumnBudget #UKeconomy #Chancellor
November 23, 2025 at 6:12 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading 🔖 Our latest #CPI Tracker suggesting that, despite the expected fall in the latest numbers earlier in the week, #inflation will remain above 3% over the next 6 months 📈

Here is why 👇

#UKeconomy #interestrates #Budget2025

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
November 23, 2025 at 1:44 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading🔖 The latest #DirectorView

The 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from explores explores the channels through which the #Budget can impact borrowing costs and shows how a credible fiscal plan could potentially lower gilt yields and earn a ‘credibility dividend’

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-mig...
November 23, 2025 at 9:28 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendWatching🔖 Our pre-#Budget video with Director David Aikman outlining where the actual issues lie, how to address the fiscal gap in the public finances, and the role of #fiscalrules ⬇️🎥

#Budget #AutumnBudget #UKeconomy #Chancellor
November 22, 2025 at 4:12 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading🔖 Forget MAGA... what matters in the UK is MOBA!

*Make the OBR Boring Again*

Our Director David Aikman explains why in his latest piece for @cityam.bsky.social
👇👇👇
Make the OBR boring again
The OBR should be independent, trusted and uncontroversial - so it needs a rules-based framework in which to operate, otherwise it will continue to come under attack
www.cityam.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:30 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading🔖 What is fiscal sustainability? How to define it?

And what can the #Chancellor do in the upcoming #Budget to achieve it?

Our latest #MondayInterview by @econstevem.bsky.social tries to provide some answers👇

#FiscalPolicy #Budget2025

niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-ar...
November 22, 2025 at 9:07 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
"We need to call time on fiscal wishful thinking.

What’s needed in the #AutumnBudget is a credible plan to reduce #debt – not just over this Parliament but over the decade ahead."

Our Director David Aikman's latest piece for Comment Central is out now!

commentcentral.co.uk/the-sun-migh...
The sun might not be shining, but it’s time to fix the roof
Within the space of a week, the Chancellor has delivered a pre-Budget signal, rowed back from it, and left the impression of a government unsure of its fiscal bearings. One could be forgiven for feel...
commentcentral.co.uk
November 21, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
productivity.bsky.social
For an in-depth Budget discussion, listen to the latest ep. of Productivity Puzzles, w/ @teraallas.bsky.social (@alliancembs.bsky.social), @econstevem.bsky.social (@niesrorg.bsky.social) & Louise Hellem (CBI): www.productivity.ac.uk/podcast/will...

#Budget #Budget2025 #Productivity #Policy #Podcast
Will We Get a Productive Budget? - The Productivity Institute
Does the Budget really matter for productivity? And how does productivity shape the Budget?
www.productivity.ac.uk
November 21, 2025 at 11:13 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
The UK bond market is highly sensitive as it approaches next week’s #Budget. This blog explores the channels through which the #Budget can impact borrowing costs and shows how a credible fiscal plan could potentially lower gilt yields and earn a ‘credibility dividend’.

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-mig...
November 21, 2025 at 10:37 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
*NEW* pre-#Budget video with our Deputy Director @econstevem.bsky.social

What is trend growth? Why it matters? What can the #Government do about it?

Worth a watch ahead of next week ⬇️🎥

#Budget2025 #AutumnBudget #UKeconomy #Chancellor
@resmedia.bsky.social
November 20, 2025 at 4:35 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
What to make of today's #inflation figures? They suggest a mixed picture...

Our Huw Dixon digs deep into the numbers and provide some insights in his #blog, just published
👇👇

@cu-cardiffbusiness.bsky.social
niesr.ac.uk/blog/inflati...
November 19, 2025 at 5:17 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
🚨OUT NOW🚨 Our latest #CPI Tracker suggests that, despite the expected fall today, #inflation will remain above 3% over the next 6 months 📈

Here is why 👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
November 19, 2025 at 10:46 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
econstevem.bsky.social
With the budget happening next week, I was able to discuss the links between the budget and productivity on this podcast hosted by @bartvanark.bsky.social together with the excellent @teraallas.bsky.social and Louise Hellem. Well worth a listen! @niesrorg.bsky.social @jagjitchadha.bsky.social
November 18, 2025 at 11:34 AM