Nick Korte
nickkorte.bsky.social
Nick Korte
@nickkorte.bsky.social
Content is focused on:
•NFL contract analysis, especially toward the Denver Broncos
•Over The Cap contributor
•Being the Compensatory Picks Guy™

https://thinair.football
On that opening Cowboys drive, Javonte Williams just crossed 1,250 total yards on the season, thus earning him another $250,000 incentive.

He earned the same amount for crossing 12 TDs last week.
December 21, 2025 at 6:13 PM
As this game heads to overtime, it's worth noting this: if there still isn't a winner after ten minutes of OT, the Lions get served a do or die game against the Steelers tomorrow.
December 21, 2025 at 4:16 AM
Jake Elliott is firmly in the upper right hand corner of this graphic right now:
December 20, 2025 at 11:26 PM
It's always frustrating that this is really the Coach That Beats Low Expectations Award.
December 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Since I'm the Comp Pick Guy, I guess I should repeat a mention that if the Dolphins are open to benching players as part of paving a path for the future, doing so with Ifeatu Melifonwu and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine can help secure 4th and 7th round 2026 compensatory picks.
December 17, 2025 at 5:18 PM
I completely forgot to add that Bradley Chubb also has $14.6M in max restructure potential, and Jordyn Brooks has $5.32M

I'd really appreciate input from Dolphins experts on if those 2, Minkah Fitzpatrick, Austin Jackson, Aaron Brewer, or Jason Sanders are worth keeping or not.
December 17, 2025 at 4:23 PM
In my opinion, I'd be very hesitant to move on from Tua, as it'd be a big gamble that risks the QB position getting worse.

I'm very happy that the gamble paid off for the Broncos when they took it on cutting Russell Wilson, but no guarantee the Dolphins will get that lucky.
December 17, 2025 at 4:14 PM
In addition to cutting Tyreek Hill, they'd need to make room for another $10M or so immediately, then another $11M after June 1 as a consequence of Tua's contract coming off the books.

A pre-June 1 departure ups it immediately from $11M to $42.8M, making a trade very daunting.
December 17, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Max restructure potential, which means adding void years:
•Minkah Fitzpatrick: $11.44M
•Austin Jackson: $7.75M
•Aaron Brewer: $4.22M
•Jason Sanders: $2.36M
December 17, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Unfortunately, the Dolphins have already prorated out all of their guaranteed money via option bonuses, and there's only two players where cap gain via cutting is about $5M (Chubb and Fitzpatrick).

So they may have to guarantee new money to players via restructure.
December 17, 2025 at 4:13 PM
For those seeing the Dolphins $30M over the 2026 cap and wondering how moving on from Tua would work, they can get about $21.5M by cutting Tyreek Hill (that accounts for potential Article 45 injury protection).

Then it's a matter of who else to cut, or to restructure.
December 17, 2025 at 4:13 PM
This is correct, even though Nantz/Romo got KC/DEN last season.

If the AFC West is still not decided, then I think LAC/DEN would be a big contender for Saturday or Sunday Night in Week 18. Otherwise, it stays in the late slot on Sunday afternoon.
December 15, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Transitioning from primitive brain (Broncos win) to galaxy brain:
December 15, 2025 at 1:38 AM
The TD incentive bag has been secured.
December 15, 2025 at 1:33 AM
For tonight, what I'm rooting for is for Javonte Williams to get 100 total yards, and an anytime TD.

If he achieves these, he will earn a pair of $250,000 incentives.
December 15, 2025 at 1:20 AM
It's disappointing that Packers/Broncos is on at the same time and I won't be able to give my undivided attention to the Philip Rivers Comeback Tour, because I too am deeply curious as to what happens. But I'll keep the corner of my eye on it.
December 13, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Raheem Morris passed the down 8 test.
December 12, 2025 at 3:57 AM
You can see the full text of how Article 30 lays out termination pay here: https://overthecap.com/collective-bargaining-agreement/article/30

And be sure to read Parker's article here: https://www.denverpost.com/2025/12/10/broncos-sam-ehlinger-colts/
Broncos practice squad QB Sam Ehlinger turns down offer to return to Colts
Broncos practice squad QB Sam Ehlinger spent the early part of the week weighing an offer to re-join the Colts and 44-year-old quarterback Philip Rivers after starter Daniel Jones tore his Achilles…
www.denverpost.com
December 11, 2025 at 2:02 AM
This is a great detail by @ParkerJGabriel on why Sam Ehlinger stayed with the Broncos despite the Colts calling.

Using his termination pay claim under Article 30 of the CBA reduces the incentive to seek opportunities elsewhere.
December 11, 2025 at 2:01 AM
And the answer, as many have told me, is Shedeur Sanders starting his college career at Jackson State. Feels like a long time ago, but makes great sense.
December 10, 2025 at 11:34 PM
Can anyone explain why on earth Jackson, MS is showing Browns games for back to back weeks?

I can't think of any prominent Ole Miss or MSU players they'd be cowtowning for.

Even weirder this week is that it's chosen over WAS/NYG, with an obvious cowtowning subject in Dart.
December 10, 2025 at 11:15 PM
Anyone who endured the Great Scab Officials Debacle Of 2012 will hope that a fair CBA for the officials will be secured well before games get played.
December 10, 2025 at 8:34 PM
My take on shortening the time for making 1st round picks:

Good news: it can end quicker
Potential bad news: if the pageantry isn't shortened as well, the clock could be even more picks ahead of what the viewers know.
December 10, 2025 at 8:29 PM
The Ifeatu Melifonwu and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine snap count watch continues for the Dolphins' chances at a 2026 4th round comp pick.

Both are stubbornly near the qualification bubble. As a reminder, only one can qualify as a compensatory free agent to get the pick.
December 9, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Despite being on injured reserve, the Broncos getting to 11 wins means that JK Dobbins will secure $400,000 in per game roster bonuses, plus a $255,000 incentive.
December 8, 2025 at 5:04 PM