-wsj @ennovance
-wsj @ennovance
Regulators are calling it “pump → dump → disappear.”
Since 2023, Nasdaq has listed 230+ IPOs under $15M.
👇 @barronsonline
x.com/mohossain/st...
Regulators are calling it “pump → dump → disappear.”
Since 2023, Nasdaq has listed 230+ IPOs under $15M.
👇 @barronsonline
x.com/mohossain/st...
• China is now a net drag on global growth
• EV + manufacturing overcapacity exporting deflation worldwide
Winners: U.S./MX reshoring, commodity exporters to China
Losers: EU & East Asian
x.com/mohossain/st...
www.wsj.com/economy/trad...
• China is now a net drag on global growth
• EV + manufacturing overcapacity exporting deflation worldwide
Winners: U.S./MX reshoring, commodity exporters to China
Losers: EU & East Asian
x.com/mohossain/st...
www.wsj.com/economy/trad...
Top firms are unlocking new capital through creative structures ..bonds, MSOs, Arizona’s alt models.
Law partners now earn $9M/year, …turning partnership equity into liquid wealth to fund AI ..$2,500/hr
www.ft.com/content/612d...
x.com/mohossain/st...
Top firms are unlocking new capital through creative structures ..bonds, MSOs, Arizona’s alt models.
Law partners now earn $9M/year, …turning partnership equity into liquid wealth to fund AI ..$2,500/hr
www.ft.com/content/612d...
x.com/mohossain/st...
📉 Defaults down.
📈 Earnings up.
🚀 GDP tracking 3.8% vs 2% trend.
High‑profile defaults ≠ systemic stress.
Growth + earnings momentum = US economy remains incredibly resilient.
@ennovance
📉 Defaults down.
📈 Earnings up.
🚀 GDP tracking 3.8% vs 2% trend.
High‑profile defaults ≠ systemic stress.
Growth + earnings momentum = US economy remains incredibly resilient.
@ennovance
Valuations high but not 1999-high. Excess CAPE yield: 1.7%
10Y yields down → equities more attractive.
Earnings outlook solid, holiday spending strong.
Not just meg7: R2K + SPX equal-weight near ATHs.
Breakevens ⚓️ → inflation fears fading
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
Valuations high but not 1999-high. Excess CAPE yield: 1.7%
10Y yields down → equities more attractive.
Earnings outlook solid, holiday spending strong.
Not just meg7: R2K + SPX equal-weight near ATHs.
Breakevens ⚓️ → inflation fears fading
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
📊 Dallas Fed shows its supply‑driven: tighter #immigration, higher H‑1B fees.
🟢 Evidence: low jobless claims + rising job openings.
📰Bottom line → labor supply, not demand, is the constraint.
www.dallasfed.org/research/eco...
#labor
x.com/mohossain/st...
📊 Dallas Fed shows its supply‑driven: tighter #immigration, higher H‑1B fees.
🟢 Evidence: low jobless claims + rising job openings.
📰Bottom line → labor supply, not demand, is the constraint.
www.dallasfed.org/research/eco...
#labor
x.com/mohossain/st...
📉 Defaults down.
📈 Earnings up.
🚀 GDP tracking 3.8% vs 2% trend.
High‑profile defaults ≠ systemic stress.
Growth + earnings momentum = US economy remains incredibly resilient.
@ennovance
📉 Defaults down.
📈 Earnings up.
🚀 GDP tracking 3.8% vs 2% trend.
High‑profile defaults ≠ systemic stress.
Growth + earnings momentum = US economy remains incredibly resilient.
@ennovance
Top firms are unlocking new capital through creative structures ..bonds, MSOs, Arizona’s alt models.
Law partners now earn $9M/year, …turning partnership equity into liquid wealth to fund AI ..$2,500/hr
www.ft.com/content/612d...
x.com/mohossain/st...
Top firms are unlocking new capital through creative structures ..bonds, MSOs, Arizona’s alt models.
Law partners now earn $9M/year, …turning partnership equity into liquid wealth to fund AI ..$2,500/hr
www.ft.com/content/612d...
x.com/mohossain/st...
Court win ✓ In-house chips ✓ Gemini 3 ✓ 90% search dominance ✓ = $3.8T market cap
Up 16% while rivals tank. The secret? Vertical integration + spending smarter
Alphabet looks less like an AI bubble, more like the AI backbone.
x.com/mohossain/st...
Court win ✓ In-house chips ✓ Gemini 3 ✓ 90% search dominance ✓ = $3.8T market cap
Up 16% while rivals tank. The secret? Vertical integration + spending smarter
Alphabet looks less like an AI bubble, more like the AI backbone.
x.com/mohossain/st...
SF Fed decomposition shows price growth fueled by strong activity, not supply shocks. As long as demand‑pull keeps inflation >2%, the Fed must lean on restrictive policy
The source of inflation dictates the path of rates
#m2
x.com/mohossain/st...
SF Fed decomposition shows price growth fueled by strong activity, not supply shocks. As long as demand‑pull keeps inflation >2%, the Fed must lean on restrictive policy
The source of inflation dictates the path of rates
#m2
x.com/mohossain/st...
Dividend recap loans have hit $28.7B YTD—on pace to surpass 2021. With IPOs and M&A stalled, sponsors are layering leverage to appease cash‑flow negative LPs. .... credit risks.
⬇️
x.com/mohossain/st...
Dividend recap loans have hit $28.7B YTD—on pace to surpass 2021. With IPOs and M&A stalled, sponsors are layering leverage to appease cash‑flow negative LPs. .... credit risks.
⬇️
x.com/mohossain/st...
For the first time since 1970, new single-family homes are cheaper than existing ones.
Builders are downsizing and offering incentives.
Sellers are sitting tight with low-rate mortgages.
Affordability is reshaping the housing market. 🏠📉
x.com/mohossain/st...
For the first time since 1970, new single-family homes are cheaper than existing ones.
Builders are downsizing and offering incentives.
Sellers are sitting tight with low-rate mortgages.
Affordability is reshaping the housing market. 🏠📉
x.com/mohossain/st...
AI capex: $3T through 2028. Big tech will cash-flow only ~50%. The rest = debt, private credit, securitizations
⬇️
Wall Street Blows Past Bubble Worries to Supercharge AI Spending Frenzy - WSJ
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
#ennovance
x.com/mohossain/st...
AI capex: $3T through 2028. Big tech will cash-flow only ~50%. The rest = debt, private credit, securitizations
⬇️
Wall Street Blows Past Bubble Worries to Supercharge AI Spending Frenzy - WSJ
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
#ennovance
x.com/mohossain/st...
From Peak Pain to Quiet Progress
In 2010, 14% of Americans had third-party collections. Today? Just 5%.
The average balance is ~$1,600—still real, but fewer are stuck. 🇺🇸Resilience isn’t loud. It’s steady.
x.com/mohossain/st...
From Peak Pain to Quiet Progress
In 2010, 14% of Americans had third-party collections. Today? Just 5%.
The average balance is ~$1,600—still real, but fewer are stuck. 🇺🇸Resilience isn’t loud. It’s steady.
x.com/mohossain/st...
Prices go up, consumers scream “inflation!”
Inflation cools, prices stay high—still the government’s fault.
It’s not Econ 101, it’s Blame 101.
Culprits: vibes, supply chains, and whoever’s in office.
🇺🇸https://x.com/mohossain/status/1545482174807384069?s=46
Prices go up, consumers scream “inflation!”
Inflation cools, prices stay high—still the government’s fault.
It’s not Econ 101, it’s Blame 101.
Culprits: vibes, supply chains, and whoever’s in office.
🇺🇸https://x.com/mohossain/status/1545482174807384069?s=46
Unlike 1969, when Buffett shut down his hedge fund amid frothy valuations…
𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑏𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑚𝑜𝑑𝑒𝑙—“𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑛𝑒𝑟 𝑡𝑎𝑘𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑙𝑙, 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡 𝑑𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑟”?
x.com/mohossain/st...
Unlike 1969, when Buffett shut down his hedge fund amid frothy valuations…
𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑏𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑚𝑜𝑑𝑒𝑙—“𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑛𝑒𝑟 𝑡𝑎𝑘𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑙𝑙, 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡 𝑑𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑟”?
x.com/mohossain/st...
—LPs retreat as capital returned fails to materialize, and PE faces a growing backlog of aging assets.
Real assets, with tangible income and “political sizzle,” are the only strategy outperforming their long-term IRRs?
x.com/mohossain/st...
—LPs retreat as capital returned fails to materialize, and PE faces a growing backlog of aging assets.
Real assets, with tangible income and “political sizzle,” are the only strategy outperforming their long-term IRRs?
x.com/mohossain/st...
• 6.65% of subprime borrowers are 60+ days late — highest since 1994
• Subprime share of consumers up to 14.4%
• 28% of trade‑ins carry negative equity, avg new car price >$50K.
x.com/mohossain/st...
• 6.65% of subprime borrowers are 60+ days late — highest since 1994
• Subprime share of consumers up to 14.4%
• 28% of trade‑ins carry negative equity, avg new car price >$50K.
x.com/mohossain/st...
🚂📞🛢️🤖 … 𝑀𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑎 𝑖𝑠 𝑎 𝑓𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒, 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑎 𝑏𝑢𝑔.
Every tech boom rides in with productivity gains and capital euphoria—then leaves investors holding the bubble bag.
From railways to AI: +600% up, then reality.
So what’s your edge ..?
x.com/mohossain/st...
🚂📞🛢️🤖 … 𝑀𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑎 𝑖𝑠 𝑎 𝑓𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒, 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑎 𝑏𝑢𝑔.
Every tech boom rides in with productivity gains and capital euphoria—then leaves investors holding the bubble bag.
From railways to AI: +600% up, then reality.
So what’s your edge ..?
x.com/mohossain/st...
90‑day correlation between US IG spreads & S&P is rising — rare territory.
Only 5 times in the past decade we’ve seen less‑negative readings
Now? Mini‑decoupling driven by:
• AI issuance wave
• Hidden risk jitters
Credit isn’t just following equities anymore…
90‑day correlation between US IG spreads & S&P is rising — rare territory.
Only 5 times in the past decade we’ve seen less‑negative readings
Now? Mini‑decoupling driven by:
• AI issuance wave
• Hidden risk jitters
Credit isn’t just following equities anymore…
🐸 Renovo’s 💯‑to‑zero overnight
From Zips Car Wash to Tricolor Auto, everyone fears the boiling frog — but in this market, you don’t simmer. You splat.
x.com/mohossain/st...
🐸 Renovo’s 💯‑to‑zero overnight
From Zips Car Wash to Tricolor Auto, everyone fears the boiling frog — but in this market, you don’t simmer. You splat.
x.com/mohossain/st...
Deals: $30B @ 6.58% | $38B @ 6.40% | $12–20B @ 10.50%
Capital costs rise, structures get complex. Yield for credit investors, risk for equity holders?
x.com/mohossain/st... #privatedebt
x.com/mohossain/st...
Deals: $30B @ 6.58% | $38B @ 6.40% | $12–20B @ 10.50%
Capital costs rise, structures get complex. Yield for credit investors, risk for equity holders?
x.com/mohossain/st... #privatedebt
x.com/mohossain/st...