Mo Hossain
mohossain.bsky.social
Mo Hossain
@mohossain.bsky.social
Investor. I take advice. Sharing things I'm learning. re(Post) ≠ E
Big-ticket mergers and acquisitions, or those valued at $10 billion or more, hit a record dollar amount this year.
-wsj @ennovance
December 10, 2025 at 5:26 AM
Wall Street runs on AI hype. Main Street stands on healthcare.

-WSJ
x.com/mohossain/st...
December 10, 2025 at 4:50 AM
Tiny IPOs are pumping 300%+… then crashing…And get this—many of the deals come from China/HK/Singapore with tiny floats and mysterious trading patterns.
Regulators are calling it “pump → dump → disappear.”

Since 2023, Nasdaq has listed 230+ IPOs under $15M.

👇 @barronsonline
x.com/mohossain/st...
December 8, 2025 at 2:25 AM
Is geopolitics becoming the newest asset class?

• China is now a net drag on global growth

• EV + manufacturing overcapacity exporting deflation worldwide

Winners: U.S./MX reshoring, commodity exporters to China

Losers: EU & East Asian

x.com/mohossain/st...

www.wsj.com/economy/trad...
December 7, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
Big Law is innovating with private equity.

Top firms are unlocking new capital through creative structures ..bonds, MSOs, Arizona’s alt models.

Law partners now earn $9M/year, …turning partnership equity into liquid wealth to fund AI ..$2,500/hr

www.ft.com/content/612d...
x.com/mohossain/st...
November 25, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
🇺🇸 The US economy = resilience in action.

📉 Defaults down.
📈 Earnings up.
🚀 GDP tracking 3.8% vs 2% trend.

High‑profile defaults ≠ systemic stress.
Growth + earnings momentum = US economy remains incredibly resilient.
@ennovance
December 5, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Wall St. anxiety → optimism

Valuations high but not 1999-high. Excess CAPE yield: 1.7%

10Y yields down → equities more attractive.
Earnings outlook solid, holiday spending strong.

Not just meg7: R2K + SPX equal-weight near ATHs.

Breakevens ⚓️ → inflation fears fading
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
December 7, 2025 at 9:50 PM
📉 Slower job growth ≠ weak demand.

📊 Dallas Fed shows its supply‑driven: tighter #immigration, higher H‑1B fees.

🟢 Evidence: low jobless claims + rising job openings.

📰Bottom line → labor supply, not demand, is the constraint.

www.dallasfed.org/research/eco...
#labor

x.com/mohossain/st...
December 5, 2025 at 6:16 PM
🇺🇸 The US economy = resilience in action.

📉 Defaults down.
📈 Earnings up.
🚀 GDP tracking 3.8% vs 2% trend.

High‑profile defaults ≠ systemic stress.
Growth + earnings momentum = US economy remains incredibly resilient.
@ennovance
December 5, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Big Law is innovating with private equity.

Top firms are unlocking new capital through creative structures ..bonds, MSOs, Arizona’s alt models.

Law partners now earn $9M/year, …turning partnership equity into liquid wealth to fund AI ..$2,500/hr

www.ft.com/content/612d...
x.com/mohossain/st...
November 25, 2025 at 4:31 PM
𝐀𝐥𝐩𝐡𝐚𝐛𝐞𝐭’𝐬 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐲 𝐌𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐬𝐬

Court win ✓ In-house chips ✓ Gemini 3 ✓ 90% search dominance ✓ = $3.8T market cap
Up 16% while rivals tank. The secret? Vertical integration + spending smarter

Alphabet looks less like an AI bubble, more like the AI backbone.
x.com/mohossain/st...
November 25, 2025 at 4:09 PM
𝐃𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐝‑𝐝𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐧 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 = 𝐡𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐞𝐫‑𝐟𝐨𝐫‑𝐥𝐨𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐫 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬.

SF Fed decomposition shows price growth fueled by strong activity, not supply shocks. As long as demand‑pull keeps inflation >2%, the Fed must lean on restrictive policy

The source of inflation dictates the path of rates
#m2
x.com/mohossain/st...
November 24, 2025 at 2:42 PM
𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲’𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐜𝐫𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐡 𝐢𝐬 𝐟𝐮𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭‑𝐝𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐧 𝐩𝐚𝐲𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐬

Dividend recap loans have hit $28.7B YTD—on pace to surpass 2021. With IPOs and M&A stalled, sponsors are layering leverage to appease cash‑flow negative LPs. .... credit risks.

⬇️

x.com/mohossain/st...
November 22, 2025 at 9:00 PM
🏠New > Old, Pricewise.

For the first time since 1970, new single-family homes are cheaper than existing ones.

Builders are downsizing and offering incentives.

Sellers are sitting tight with low-rate mortgages.

Affordability is reshaping the housing market. 🏠📉

x.com/mohossain/st...
November 22, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Wall Street is now AI’s balance sheet.

AI capex: $3T through 2028. Big tech will cash-flow only ~50%. The rest = debt, private credit, securitizations

⬇️
Wall Street Blows Past Bubble Worries to Supercharge AI Spending Frenzy - WSJ
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
#ennovance

x.com/mohossain/st...
November 18, 2025 at 2:55 AM
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐫𝐝-𝐏𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐲 𝐂𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐅𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝟐𝟓-𝐘𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐋𝐨𝐰

From Peak Pain to Quiet Progress
In 2010, 14% of Americans had third-party collections. Today? Just 5%.

The average balance is ~$1,600—still real, but fewer are stuck. 🇺🇸Resilience isn’t loud. It’s steady.
x.com/mohossain/st...
November 15, 2025 at 5:28 PM
𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐬 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐮𝐧𝐩𝐨𝐩𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐫

Prices go up, consumers scream “inflation!”
Inflation cools, prices stay high—still the government’s fault.

It’s not Econ 101, it’s Blame 101.
Culprits: vibes, supply chains, and whoever’s in office.

🇺🇸https://x.com/mohossain/status/1545482174807384069?s=46
November 15, 2025 at 4:50 PM
𝐒&𝐏 𝟓𝟎𝟎 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐡𝐢𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝐭𝐡 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐥𝐞—𝐛𝐞𝐲𝐨𝐧𝐝 𝐍𝐢𝐟𝐭𝐲‑𝐅𝐢𝐟𝐭𝐲 𝐡𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐬.

Unlike 1969, when Buffett shut down his hedge fund amid frothy valuations…

𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑏𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑚𝑜𝑑𝑒𝑙—“𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑛𝑒𝑟 𝑡𝑎𝑘𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑙𝑙, 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡 𝑑𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑟”?
x.com/mohossain/st...
November 15, 2025 at 4:04 AM
𝐕𝐂 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐛𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐚𝐭 𝐜𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐬-𝐞𝐫𝐚 𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬
—LPs retreat as capital returned fails to materialize, and PE faces a growing backlog of aging assets.

Real assets, with tangible income and “political sizzle,” are the only strategy outperforming their long-term IRRs?

x.com/mohossain/st...
November 13, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Reposted by Mo Hossain
You know how ChatGPT 5 is meant to fix stupid mistakes in maths? Not so much. Even when asked about stupid mistakes in maths.
November 5, 2025 at 5:49 PM
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐦𝐮𝐜𝐡 𝐥𝐨𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐫 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐞𝐡𝐨𝐥𝐝𝐬 𝐚𝐛𝐬𝐨𝐫𝐛 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐭 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐚 𝐛𝐫𝐨𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐭?

• 6.65% of subprime borrowers are 60+ days late — highest since 1994
• Subprime share of consumers up to 14.4%
• 28% of trade‑ins carry negative equity, avg new car price >$50K.

x.com/mohossain/st...
November 12, 2025 at 11:46 PM
𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐞: 𝟏𝟖𝟎 𝐘𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐁𝐮𝐲𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐓𝐨𝐩.

🚂📞🛢️🤖 … 𝑀𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑎 𝑖𝑠 𝑎 𝑓𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒, 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑎 𝑏𝑢𝑔.

Every tech boom rides in with productivity gains and capital euphoria—then leaves investors holding the bubble bag.
From railways to AI: +600% up, then reality.

So what’s your edge ..?

x.com/mohossain/st...
November 12, 2025 at 7:06 PM
𝐀𝐈 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭 𝐰𝐚𝐯𝐞 = 𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐟𝐥𝐢𝐩.

90‑day correlation between US IG spreads & S&P is rising — rare territory.

Only 5 times in the past decade we’ve seen less‑negative readings
Now? Mini‑decoupling driven by:

• AI issuance wave
• Hidden risk jitters

Credit isn’t just following equities anymore…
November 12, 2025 at 3:02 PM
𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐭: 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐡𝐞 𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐨 $𝟑𝐓 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐝𝐨𝐰 𝐛𝐚𝐧𝐤 𝐛𝐲 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟖 — 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐛𝐚𝐧𝐤𝐬 & 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐩𝐩𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐚𝐩𝐩𝐞𝐚𝐫.

🐸 Renovo’s 💯‑to‑zero overnight
From Zips Car Wash to Tricolor Auto, everyone fears the boiling frog — but in this market, you don’t simmer. You splat.
x.com/mohossain/st...
November 12, 2025 at 5:12 AM
𝐀𝐈: 𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐆𝐏𝐔𝐬, 𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐘𝐎𝐋𝐎 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭. AI debt structures with equity‑like returns

Deals: $30B @ 6.58% | $38B @ 6.40% | $12–20B @ 10.50%
Capital costs rise, structures get complex. Yield for credit investors, risk for equity holders?

x.com/mohossain/st... #privatedebt

x.com/mohossain/st...
November 12, 2025 at 2:06 AM