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miguelmoravec.bsky.social
@miguelmoravec.bsky.social
100 followers 210 following 210 posts
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Reposted
RMI will be at #ClimateWeekNYC to highlight the market-based solutions and strategies that drive the world’s transition to more efficient, cost-effective, and secure clean energy options, both locally and globally.

We hope to see you there! https://bit.ly/4mkGwmT
In both cases, the trend is clear:

"Economic outcomes improve as a transportation system becomes more multimodal and efficient"

Full report here:
www.vtpi.org/ITED_paradox...
www.vtpi.org
I'll definitely be citing this work going forward.

Also interesting but with a slightly lower R2 (explanatory usefulness) value is this plot of VMT per capita vs GDP per capita.
State economic productivity DECLINES when you choke metro areas with highways!

Check out this plot of 1) urban lane miles per capita vs. 2) state GDP per capita

From @toddlitman.bsky.social and his team at VTPI
This is what great public service looks like! Thank you @nharris.bsky.social for promptly addressing this concern
COG continued: A fix should be in place shortly (today). The survey team will ensure that there is no bias in the findings for this question once the surveys are complete.
Carbrain survey alert: the MWCOG survey won’t let me enter that my household has 0 vehicles - potentially stuffing the ballot box for more car infrastructure when I really moved to DC for the mass transit 🚆 🚎 🚴‍♂️
@cmcharlesallen.bsky.social
@nharris.bsky.social yall should toss this data point
Reposted
A good one to listen to!
Join me and John Simmerman TODAY at 2pm ET for a great clean transport dialogue!
PREMIERE ALERT: Pls tune in on Wed, Dec 18th, at 2 pm EST for my conversation with @miguelmoravec.bsky.social, a Senior Associate w/ the @rockymtninst.bsky.social about policy opportunities to provide more sustainable mobility mode choices, such as walking, biking, and transit.
youtu.be/3aMNC8Bm4fA
Join me and John Simmerman TODAY at 2pm ET for a great clean transport dialogue!
PREMIERE ALERT: Pls tune in on Wed, Dec 18th, at 2 pm EST for my conversation with @miguelmoravec.bsky.social, a Senior Associate w/ the @rockymtninst.bsky.social about policy opportunities to provide more sustainable mobility mode choices, such as walking, biking, and transit.
youtu.be/3aMNC8Bm4fA
EP 274: Discussing Induced Demand and much more w/ RMI's Miguel Moravec
YouTube video by Active Towns
youtu.be
Reposted
PREMIERE REMINDER: Pls tune in tmw, Wed, Dec 18th, at 2 pm EST for my chat w/ @miguelmoravec.bsky.social, a Senior Associate w/ the @rockymtninst.bsky.social (RMI), about strategies to create more sustainable mobility mode choices, such as walking, biking, and transit.
youtu.be/3aMNC8Bm4fA
EP 274: Discussing Induced Demand and much more w/ RMI's Miguel Moravec
YouTube video by Active Towns
youtu.be
@hthonet @drewveysey does this consider the new proposed guidance from IRS that charger credits will be awarded by the ~port~ rather than by the ~station~?

I suspect that new discount could be a significant tie breaker
Extra extra: Check out our new fleet TCO analysis -
EV vs ICE!
Common fleet applications!
Charger costs included!
By the venerable @hthonet @drewveysey
https://rmi.org/businesses-and-local-governments-its-never-been-a-better-time-to-electrify-your-vehicle-fleet/
Disclaimer: today's live tweets were sent while traveling for an urbanism conference in Italy, so I blame any omissions on the complimentary event spritz
And no, sadly EV's still aren't prevalent enough to put a dent in this (~2% veh stock in 2024).

End rant, do better, have a nice day!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electric_car_use_by_country
Electric car use by country - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
...meaning that pollution in 2024 is way higher than what's forecast here and likely increasing.

@MnDOT should correct this trendline to bake in the emissions from post pandemic driving.

Gee - please don't let them set targets around that forecast TAC!
Anyone in the biz could tell you @MnDOT is lowballing the BAU forecast with that 2020 trend line

Why? Per @USCBO, national VMT (and thus pollution) rebounded almost immediately to pre-demic levels in 2021

Folks who've driven in the 3 yrs since know that traffic has only grown..
BONUS RANT: This GRAPH that MnDOT presented

Spot the bizarr-o assumption!
Ok that's a wrap! Coming up next time:
1) 18 pages of glorious guidance on how to assess highway VMT/GHG!
2) brand spanking new regional target allocations (Duluth MnDOT's coming for ya!)
3) a hybrid forecast system that weighs SHIFT(!) and TDFM outputs! @CaltransHQ u listening?
This conversation was informed by some awesome sensitivity analysis from @ICF comparing TDFM's and SHIFT in real world settings, leading them to the conclusion to recommend SHIFT adherence in all urban settings.
TAC members - if you're listening - please consider requiring forecast validation with SHIFT as a firm part of the analysis process!

Its right and its free! It doesn't get any better than that.
As an @RockyMtnInst analyst, I can tell you that the SHIFT very robustly captures new tailpipe pollution from expansion based on real observed outcomes.

Requiring forecasts to be even somewhat near SHIFT entirely blows up the junk idea that expansions can decrease GHG
Fortunately, @ICF had this flow chart of how MnDOT would like to handle modeling to better address junk input.

Most welcomely, the slides suggested comparing TFDM results to @RockyMtnInst's peer-reviewed SHIFT Calculator to see if forecasts are "reasonable"

This is HUGE!!!!