Michael Horowitz
michaelhorowitz.bsky.social
Michael Horowitz
@michaelhorowitz.bsky.social
Geopolitical and security analyst, Views are my own.
Israel warns Trump: We may act alone if Iran crosses ballistic missile red line

www.jpost.com/israel-news/...
Israel may strike Iran alone, defense officials warn US | The Jerusalem Post
“We told the Americans we will strike alone if Iran crosses the red line we set on ballistic missiles,” the source said, adding that Israel is not yet at that threshold.
www.jpost.com
February 8, 2026 at 4:16 PM
I thought Canadians were nice.

How Mark Carney stole my book idea, named the geopolitical rupture of our time, and told America to buzz off—all in one Davos speech.

Read more: open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...
February 6, 2026 at 12:27 PM
Iranian Foreign Minister on negotiating with the US: "We need to see preconditions and an agenda first"

"We are ready for negotiations, but we are also ready for war"
January 30, 2026 at 11:55 AM
Trump vs Iran: What now?

My analysis

open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...
January 30, 2026 at 11:55 AM
Israel says Hamas may soon cede Gaza to technocrats, but will keep grip on Strip

www.timesofisrael.com/israel-says-...
Israel says Hamas may soon cede Gaza to technocrats, but will keep grip on Strip
Disarmament seen as unlikely without years-long military campaign, security official says, adding that terror group's civil servants and police force could take year to replace
www.timesofisrael.com
January 29, 2026 at 6:29 AM
Iran 'Practically Naked' If US Attacks, But Can Retaliate With Force

With some of my thoughts on hashtag#Iran's remaining military capabilities.

www.rferl.org/a/iran-us-is...
Iran 'Practically Naked' If US Attacks, But Can Retaliate With Force
Iran would be unable to repel a possible US air attack but has the capability to retaliate against US military and commercial interests in the region, experts said.
www.rferl.org
January 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM
President Trump says "It's time to look for new leadership in #Iran", in a Politico interview
January 17, 2026 at 4:41 PM
Iran vs US: Is Trump bluffing to buy time, or really climbing down the escalation ladder?

I explore the question in my latest newsletter
open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...
January 16, 2026 at 8:11 AM
Trump when asked if military action on Iran is off the table: We will watch and see what the process is and go from there
January 14, 2026 at 8:38 PM
German authorities have issued a new NOTAM cautioning German airlines from entering Iranian airspace - Flightradar24
January 14, 2026 at 7:56 PM
Undated video of security forces moving to crack down on protests in #Iran
January 14, 2026 at 6:19 PM
#New: US tells personnel in Saudi Arabia to exercise caution
January 14, 2026 at 3:25 PM
Trump on US allies in Iran: I think they should get out.
January 13, 2026 at 6:37 PM
Israel sharpens its focus amid growing unrest in Iran

My latest analysis on Israel's view of the protests in Iran

en.majalla.com/node/329148/...
Israel sharpens its focus amid growing unrest in Iran
Last year's 12-day war with Iran was ostensibly aimed at its nuclear programme. This time, the regime is significantly weakened, presenting an opportunity Israel may feel it can't miss.
en.majalla.com
January 12, 2026 at 6:46 AM
Protest tonight in Heravi, Tehran
January 10, 2026 at 5:03 PM
#Iran's President Pezeshkian is due to make a speech tomorrow, amidst the escalating wave of unrest in the country
January 10, 2026 at 5:02 PM
Wrapping up 2025 - In Books
open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...
January 10, 2026 at 10:08 AM
A quick update on the situation in #Iran

open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...
January 9, 2026 at 9:32 AM
The Iranian regime says two police officers were killed and 30 injured in Lordegan during protests
January 7, 2026 at 7:09 PM
Latvia Prime Minister says damage to an optical cable belonging to a private company has been detected in the Baltic Sea.
January 4, 2026 at 6:25 PM
15 members of the Presidential Security Battalion who were protecting #Maduro were killed during the US raid in Venezuela, according to independent Venezuelan media outlets. In total 25 people were killed, including at least one civilian.
January 4, 2026 at 2:15 PM
#Breaking: Trump says US is not afraid of boots on the ground
January 3, 2026 at 5:18 PM
CIA had a source in the Venezuelan government who helped them track and locate Maduro - two sources familiar with the operation tell Reuters.
January 3, 2026 at 2:42 PM
The U.S. Army's Delta Force carried out the operation to capture Maduro, officials told CBS News.
January 3, 2026 at 11:28 AM
#Breaking: Venezuela's Vice President says does not know the whereabouts of President Maduro
January 3, 2026 at 10:05 AM