Kevin Cunningham
@kevcunningham.bsky.social
Lecturer in Politics | Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society | Fmr Targeting & Analysis @uklabour | @OULightweights | Chair MA Journalism @wearetudublin |
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
Interesting the role of young men on Twitter and TikTok here. Much more research required into precise pathways. Appears to be a similar group to those who are anti immigrant and believe conspiracies in previous research
I've completed an analysis of the spoiled voter in the link below. This is a voter who will invariably come into play in the future.
kevcunningham.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
kevcunningham.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
Who are the people who spoiled their ballot and why?
An initial analysis
kevcunningham.substack.com
October 29, 2025 at 8:33 AM
Interesting the role of young men on Twitter and TikTok here. Much more research required into precise pathways. Appears to be a similar group to those who are anti immigrant and believe conspiracies in previous research
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
Really important and insightful analysis of the voters who spoiled their ballots in the presidential election.
@kevcunningham.bsky.social also classifies open-ended survey responses to better understand the underlying reasons and motivations.
➡️ open.substack.com/pub/kevcunni...
@kevcunningham.bsky.social also classifies open-ended survey responses to better understand the underlying reasons and motivations.
➡️ open.substack.com/pub/kevcunni...
October 29, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Really important and insightful analysis of the voters who spoiled their ballots in the presidential election.
@kevcunningham.bsky.social also classifies open-ended survey responses to better understand the underlying reasons and motivations.
➡️ open.substack.com/pub/kevcunni...
@kevcunningham.bsky.social also classifies open-ended survey responses to better understand the underlying reasons and motivations.
➡️ open.substack.com/pub/kevcunni...
I've completed an analysis of the spoiled voter in the link below. This is a voter who will invariably come into play in the future.
kevcunningham.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
kevcunningham.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
Who are the people who spoiled their ballot and why?
An initial analysis
kevcunningham.substack.com
October 28, 2025 at 5:53 PM
I've completed an analysis of the spoiled voter in the link below. This is a voter who will invariably come into play in the future.
kevcunningham.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
kevcunningham.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
Reasons for vote choice according to the Ireland Thinks polling day poll ⤵️
#Aras25
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/polling-day-...
@kevcunningham.bsky.social
#Aras25
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/polling-day-...
@kevcunningham.bsky.social
October 25, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Reasons for vote choice according to the Ireland Thinks polling day poll ⤵️
#Aras25
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/polling-day-...
@kevcunningham.bsky.social
#Aras25
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/polling-day-...
@kevcunningham.bsky.social
Kevin Cunningham: Catherine Connolly likeliest to be seen as ‘Continuity Michael D’ in presidential race
www.independent.ie/opinion/anal...
www.independent.ie/opinion/anal...
Kevin Cunningham: Catherine Connolly likeliest to be seen as ‘Continuity Michael D’ in presidential race
What began as a fragmented field is rapidly resolving into a clearer contest and a potential fault line in Irish politics.
www.independent.ie
August 4, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Kevin Cunningham: Catherine Connolly likeliest to be seen as ‘Continuity Michael D’ in presidential race
www.independent.ie/opinion/anal...
www.independent.ie/opinion/anal...
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
It is with profound sadness that RTÉ announces the death of radio presenter and actor Seán Rocks. Seán died last night following a brief illness at the age of 63.
Seán is survived by his beloved Catherine and sons Christian and Morgan.
May he rest in peace.
Seán is survived by his beloved Catherine and sons Christian and Morgan.
May he rest in peace.
July 31, 2025 at 7:30 AM
It is with profound sadness that RTÉ announces the death of radio presenter and actor Seán Rocks. Seán died last night following a brief illness at the age of 63.
Seán is survived by his beloved Catherine and sons Christian and Morgan.
May he rest in peace.
Seán is survived by his beloved Catherine and sons Christian and Morgan.
May he rest in peace.
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
Not all analysis!
Will extending the vote to 16-year-olds benefit Labour at the next general election?
Labour have said they will extend the right to vote to 16-year-olds in time for the next general election. Sky's Data and Forensics unit assesses whether it will help them at the ballot box, and how m...
news.sky.com
July 18, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Not all analysis!
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
New piece for @dublininquirer.com about Dublin City Council's well-regarded Neighbour Transport Scheme, that quietly went away.
Councillors wonder what’s become of those transport schemes to make neighbourhoods safer
They recite schemes that were promised, or piloted, but seem to have gone nowhere. A council spokesperson said similar initiatives still exist.
www.dublininquirer.com
June 6, 2025 at 3:46 PM
New piece for @dublininquirer.com about Dublin City Council's well-regarded Neighbour Transport Scheme, that quietly went away.
Given that it is topical, from April's Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent
'Should Ireland withdraw from the Eurovision Song Contest in protest against the inclusion of Israel in the contest?'
Yes 55
No 37
Don't know 8
'Should Ireland withdraw from the Eurovision Song Contest in protest against the inclusion of Israel in the contest?'
Yes 55
No 37
Don't know 8
May 17, 2025 at 10:16 PM
Given that it is topical, from April's Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent
'Should Ireland withdraw from the Eurovision Song Contest in protest against the inclusion of Israel in the contest?'
Yes 55
No 37
Don't know 8
'Should Ireland withdraw from the Eurovision Song Contest in protest against the inclusion of Israel in the contest?'
Yes 55
No 37
Don't know 8
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
Nearly 800 wards/divisions in now. Reform are still doing better in areas with fewer university graduates, higher levels of employment in manufacturing and primary industries, and where UKIP did well in 2017.
The evidence for a big age gradient in the Reform vote looks weak now.
@news.sky.com
The evidence for a big age gradient in the Reform vote looks weak now.
@news.sky.com
May 2, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Nearly 800 wards/divisions in now. Reform are still doing better in areas with fewer university graduates, higher levels of employment in manufacturing and primary industries, and where UKIP did well in 2017.
The evidence for a big age gradient in the Reform vote looks weak now.
@news.sky.com
The evidence for a big age gradient in the Reform vote looks weak now.
@news.sky.com
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
The key chart right now:
Usually US economic pain is cushioned by falling bond yields and a strengthening dollar, which mean lower interest rates and more spending power for consumers.
This time we’re seeing the opposite, meaning the pain will be amplified.
Usually US economic pain is cushioned by falling bond yields and a strengthening dollar, which mean lower interest rates and more spending power for consumers.
This time we’re seeing the opposite, meaning the pain will be amplified.
April 22, 2025 at 1:41 PM
The key chart right now:
Usually US economic pain is cushioned by falling bond yields and a strengthening dollar, which mean lower interest rates and more spending power for consumers.
This time we’re seeing the opposite, meaning the pain will be amplified.
Usually US economic pain is cushioned by falling bond yields and a strengthening dollar, which mean lower interest rates and more spending power for consumers.
This time we’re seeing the opposite, meaning the pain will be amplified.
Yup.
splitting my time evenly between being mildly annoyed at people who think a survey being conducted online automatically makes it suspect (it doesn't) and people who think "the survey was conducted online" is an adequate methodology statement (it isn't)
April 17, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Yup.
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
What a sad sight
This feels like the defining image from this year’s Midwest Political Science Association annual meeting.
The National Science Foundatipn paid for a booth in the exhibit hall. But the booth sits empty, because NSF has been DOGE’d, and there is no one left to send.
The National Science Foundatipn paid for a booth in the exhibit hall. But the booth sits empty, because NSF has been DOGE’d, and there is no one left to send.
April 4, 2025 at 5:19 PM
What a sad sight
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
Turns out a lot of people who claimed to care about freedom of speech actually don’t.
March 26, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Turns out a lot of people who claimed to care about freedom of speech actually don’t.
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
One of the many problems with having plain clothes secret police kidnapping people off the street in broad daylight is that nobody can tell the difference from criminals doing exactly the same thing. It makes everyone in society less safe.
March 26, 2025 at 7:59 PM
One of the many problems with having plain clothes secret police kidnapping people off the street in broad daylight is that nobody can tell the difference from criminals doing exactly the same thing. It makes everyone in society less safe.
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
always a NO to gen AI
March 14, 2025 at 11:22 PM
always a NO to gen AI
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
Hi there @repjournal.bsky.social I've been wading through some of the earliest issues of your Journal and thought you might like this pic of your very first issue from 1908
March 7, 2025 at 11:06 AM
Hi there @repjournal.bsky.social I've been wading through some of the earliest issues of your Journal and thought you might like this pic of your very first issue from 1908
My latest analysis in the Sunday Independent on where the median Irish voter stands on defence and housing issues.
Covering the Triple Lock, NATO, Defence spending, Neutrality, EU Army, Log cabins & one-off-housing planning, tax cuts, derelict buildings...
www.independent.ie/irish-news/p...
Covering the Triple Lock, NATO, Defence spending, Neutrality, EU Army, Log cabins & one-off-housing planning, tax cuts, derelict buildings...
www.independent.ie/irish-news/p...
Kevin Cunningham: Poll shows transactional voters like the idea of back-garden cabins – and more defence spending
A prerequisite of a viable new policy is popularity — if it’s woefully unpopular with the public, it will struggle to be implemented. That’s why governments tend to “fly a kite” on some policy ideas: ...
www.independent.ie
March 3, 2025 at 9:17 PM
My latest analysis in the Sunday Independent on where the median Irish voter stands on defence and housing issues.
Covering the Triple Lock, NATO, Defence spending, Neutrality, EU Army, Log cabins & one-off-housing planning, tax cuts, derelict buildings...
www.independent.ie/irish-news/p...
Covering the Triple Lock, NATO, Defence spending, Neutrality, EU Army, Log cabins & one-off-housing planning, tax cuts, derelict buildings...
www.independent.ie/irish-news/p...
Hard to say it but, notwithstanding one's position Zelenskyy really f**ked up today and in a way in which I'm not sure we'll recover.
February 28, 2025 at 10:37 PM
Hard to say it but, notwithstanding one's position Zelenskyy really f**ked up today and in a way in which I'm not sure we'll recover.
I may be wrong here (and I have been!) but I will guess that this will be among the more popular initiatives.
'NIMBYism' by contrast is very much a minority sport rather than a reflection of popular opinion even in a given locality. A miniscule number of people are blocking developments these.
'NIMBYism' by contrast is very much a minority sport rather than a reflection of popular opinion even in a given locality. A miniscule number of people are blocking developments these.
February 19, 2025 at 8:54 PM
I may be wrong here (and I have been!) but I will guess that this will be among the more popular initiatives.
'NIMBYism' by contrast is very much a minority sport rather than a reflection of popular opinion even in a given locality. A miniscule number of people are blocking developments these.
'NIMBYism' by contrast is very much a minority sport rather than a reflection of popular opinion even in a given locality. A miniscule number of people are blocking developments these.
Exploring the decline of immigration as an issue in Irish politics:
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/drop-in-asyl...
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/drop-in-asyl...
Immigration: the dog that didn't bark?
Immigration was the emerging issue throughout 2023 and much of 2024, yet it was perceived to be "the dog that didn't bark" in the general election. Candidates during the election reported that they di...
analysis.irelandthinks.ie
January 28, 2025 at 1:26 PM
Exploring the decline of immigration as an issue in Irish politics:
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/drop-in-asyl...
analysis.irelandthinks.ie/drop-in-asyl...
Reposted by Kevin Cunningham
In case you were wondering how things are going in Germany & on X, after Elon Musk announced his support for the far-right "Alternative für Deutschland" (AfD) in the upcoming Federal election:
The chart below shows sums of tweets x impressions by members of parliament over the past 7 days...🧵⤵️
The chart below shows sums of tweets x impressions by members of parliament over the past 7 days...🧵⤵️
January 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM
In case you were wondering how things are going in Germany & on X, after Elon Musk announced his support for the far-right "Alternative für Deutschland" (AfD) in the upcoming Federal election:
The chart below shows sums of tweets x impressions by members of parliament over the past 7 days...🧵⤵️
The chart below shows sums of tweets x impressions by members of parliament over the past 7 days...🧵⤵️