Steve Craven
@kekepana.bsky.social
Former trade negotiator, economist and U.S. diplomat in Europe and Asia. GATT and Tokyo Round. NSL4A. Currently paddling outrigger canoes in Hawai’i.
A deep dive by the San Francisco Fed into the macro impacts of U.S. tariff policy since 1870. Mildly surprising finding that increased tariffs actually decrease inflation, presumably by slowing the economy. No surprise that higher tariffs depress employment through the same mechanism.
www.frbsf.org
December 1, 2025 at 9:13 PM
A deep dive by the San Francisco Fed into the macro impacts of U.S. tariff policy since 1870. Mildly surprising finding that increased tariffs actually decrease inflation, presumably by slowing the economy. No surprise that higher tariffs depress employment through the same mechanism.
Many, many years ago I had to learn a lot about the Law of the Sea. I was helping to negotiate a NATO agreement on Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS) and a treaty to require double bottoms for oil tankers. It is clear to me that the Trump tyranny is committing murder on the high seas.
War Crime...or Murder?
Killing shipwreck survivors is patently illegal and morally abhorrent
open.substack.com
December 1, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Many, many years ago I had to learn a lot about the Law of the Sea. I was helping to negotiate a NATO agreement on Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS) and a treaty to require double bottoms for oil tankers. It is clear to me that the Trump tyranny is committing murder on the high seas.
Even MAGA is beginning to figure out that Trumpian tariffs aren’t doing what the aging tyrant says they would do.
Poll: The MAGA voter split that could spell trouble for 2028 Republicans
A significant portion of 2024 Trump voters — more than a third — do not consider themselves to be MAGA Republicans, according to The POLITICO Poll.
www.politico.com
December 1, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Even MAGA is beginning to figure out that Trumpian tariffs aren’t doing what the aging tyrant says they would do.
The United States would be committing war crimes - if there were a war. But no, it’s just murder.
National Security Leaders for America: Reports of “No Quarter” Order Require Urgent Congressional Oversight — National Security Leaders for America
NSL4A condemns reporting that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth ordered the killing of defenseless survivors during a September 2nd operation, calling the actions potential violations of U.S. and inte...
www.nsl4a.org
December 1, 2025 at 4:32 PM
The United States would be committing war crimes - if there were a war. But no, it’s just murder.
The orange tyrant has alienated our former allies. He often treats America’s friends as opponents. A self-fulfilling prophecy?
Denmark sets up ‘night watch’ to monitor Trump after Greenland row
US president’s threat to seize territory prompts intelligence briefings reminiscent of Game of Thrones patrol
www.theguardian.com
November 27, 2025 at 10:24 PM
The orange tyrant has alienated our former allies. He often treats America’s friends as opponents. A self-fulfilling prophecy?
We told him so, but I don’t think the tariff tyrant reads BlueSky. And probably not the FT.
My Trade Secrets today. Funny* thing about Trump's tariffs: they're really unpopular and he's retreating from them even before most of the bad effects have come through. God knows what will happen when they do.
*By funny I mean both unexpected but also very amusing.
on.ft.com/4p5NUVy
*By funny I mean both unexpected but also very amusing.
on.ft.com/4p5NUVy
The hot air of Trump’s tariffs is approaching a ceiling of cold reality
[FREE TO READ] Even before their full effect has hit, the duties are doing real damage
on.ft.com
November 27, 2025 at 5:44 PM
We told him so, but I don’t think the tariff tyrant reads BlueSky. And probably not the FT.
Reposted by Steve Craven
"Vague assurances are not security; they are illusions, and illusions in great power politics are fatal." lnk.thebulwark.com/4pzTkrK
A Letter from Clausewitz to Secretary Rubio
Channeling the author of ‘On War’ on the U.S. pursuit of peace in Ukraine.
lnk.thebulwark.com
November 25, 2025 at 10:30 PM
"Vague assurances are not security; they are illusions, and illusions in great power politics are fatal." lnk.thebulwark.com/4pzTkrK
We can hope. Somebody’s got to be thinking about this stuff.
Ex-feds join forces to reimagine government post-Trump
The nonprofit Democracy Forward has tapped more than a dozen former government workers as fellows to generate proposals to improve their former agencies’ effectiveness.
www.govexec.com
November 25, 2025 at 5:00 PM
We can hope. Somebody’s got to be thinking about this stuff.
Reposted by Steve Craven
Aaron Brown stopped ordering guitars from his Quebec supplier when tariffs became a looming threat in the United States.
‘We really hope for it to stop’
American small-business coalition We Pay the Tariffs rings alarm, Manitoba peers echo response
www.winnipegfreepress.com
November 25, 2025 at 12:05 AM
Aaron Brown stopped ordering guitars from his Quebec supplier when tariffs became a looming threat in the United States.
I’ve opposed crypto from the first. It has no practical uses. Let’s see, you can use it to launder money, or to gamble and speculate (not invest), or use it to bribe people (famously, people named Trump). That’s about it. Oh, it also makes you a target for crypto thieves. Stay away, stay far away.
The Trump Trade is Unraveling
Tells from the crypto crash
open.substack.com
November 24, 2025 at 5:09 PM
I’ve opposed crypto from the first. It has no practical uses. Let’s see, you can use it to launder money, or to gamble and speculate (not invest), or use it to bribe people (famously, people named Trump). That’s about it. Oh, it also makes you a target for crypto thieves. Stay away, stay far away.
I should be so embarrassed for my country, but I am laughing so hard at the orange buffoon who is trying his best to be Putin’s bitch.
US senators say Rubio told them Trump’s Ukraine peace plan is Russia's 'wish list'
U.S. senators critical of President Donald Trump’s approach to ending the Russia-Ukraine war say they spoke with U.S.
apnews.com
November 23, 2025 at 2:31 AM
I should be so embarrassed for my country, but I am laughing so hard at the orange buffoon who is trying his best to be Putin’s bitch.
One country in particular is ignoring the rules-based system of international trade. The world should ignore the orange tyrant and keep on trading without him.
Trump and his ilk imagine a world without international law – but they will not achieve it | Philippe Sands
History shows us that the creation of international rules and institutions is followed by their partial destruction, and a reconstruction that builds on what came before, says professor of law Philipp...
www.theguardian.com
November 19, 2025 at 10:48 PM
One country in particular is ignoring the rules-based system of international trade. The world should ignore the orange tyrant and keep on trading without him.
🌮🌮 are very popular this season.
Trump’s plan to impose semiconductor tariffs may be delayed, sources say
Officials are reportedly taking their time on US president’s long-promised chips plan to avoid a rupture with China
www.theguardian.com
November 19, 2025 at 10:33 PM
🌮🌮 are very popular this season.
She tells him again and again. And the orange Führer doesn’t appear to care that unilateral action would be an act of war. The dunce also refuses to recognize that one of the best ways to damage the cartels would be to cut off illicit weapons shipments from the United States to Mexico.
Sheinbaum again dismisses Trump’s threat of sending troops to Mexico: ‘We do not want intervention’
Mexico’s president responds to Trump’s latest warning that he could authorize strikes against drug cartels in country
www.theguardian.com
November 18, 2025 at 6:08 PM
She tells him again and again. And the orange Führer doesn’t appear to care that unilateral action would be an act of war. The dunce also refuses to recognize that one of the best ways to damage the cartels would be to cut off illicit weapons shipments from the United States to Mexico.
I’m not a financial or banking expert, but this seems nefarious on the part of the Chinese - and hypocritical on the part of the United States.
US has warned others to avoid loans from Chinese state banks. But it's the biggest recipient of all
A new report says China funneled billions in hidden loans to U.S. companies over the past quarter century, some targeting industries key to national security.
apnews.com
November 18, 2025 at 5:30 PM
I’m not a financial or banking expert, but this seems nefarious on the part of the Chinese - and hypocritical on the part of the United States.
The orange tyrant’s tariffs are killing small rural manufacturers.
North Carolina man who voted for Trump forced to shut family lumber mill, cut 50 jobs due to tariffs. What's next for rural America?
'In a way it's as unnerving as watching a loved one take their final breath.'
moneywise.com
November 18, 2025 at 8:22 AM
The orange tyrant’s tariffs are killing small rural manufacturers.
I found the emergency! Trump was incensed when told the Swiss were shipping us cheese with holes in it.
The 'emergency' that demanded huge tariffs on Swiss imports is now over. So what was the emergency?
Trump ordered a whopping 39 percent tariff on all imports from Switzerland earlier this year by claiming there was a national emergency.
reason.com
November 18, 2025 at 7:52 AM
I found the emergency! Trump was incensed when told the Swiss were shipping us cheese with holes in it.
Murder, second only to tariffs, has become an indispensable tool for the orange tyrant’s imperialism. Are you morally OK with that?
The US is now a rogue state - look at its extrajudicial killings off Venezuela’s coast | Simon Tisdall
These widely condemned strikes are just the latest sign of Trump’s imperialist revival – and the collapsing before our eyes of the rules-based world order, says Guardian foreign affairs commentator Si...
www.theguardian.com
November 16, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Murder, second only to tariffs, has become an indispensable tool for the orange tyrant’s imperialism. Are you morally OK with that?
Shibai is a wonderful word still commonly used in Hawaii. Like the author, I increasingly apply it to our present orange tyranny. It would be an appropriate word for nationwide use.
Lee Cataluna: Donald Trump's Big Shibai
The president insists he's brought down the price of groceries. The cash register receipt shows that's far from true.
www.civilbeat.org
November 16, 2025 at 7:47 PM
Shibai is a wonderful word still commonly used in Hawaii. Like the author, I increasingly apply it to our present orange tyranny. It would be an appropriate word for nationwide use.
Why do we assume that Democrats aren’t allowed to multitask? Go after the orange tyrant on all fronts.
The usual suspects are telling Dems that Epstein won’t win elections, get back to “affordability” and I think my head might explode. www.offmessage.net/p/force-a-re...
Force A Referendum On The Epstein Coverup
It divides Republicans much more than "affordability" or any other economic issue.
www.offmessage.net
November 15, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Why do we assume that Democrats aren’t allowed to multitask? Go after the orange tyrant on all fronts.
I’m not sure why this is newsworthy. It happens all the time out here. Yes, it’s a Russian intelligence vessel, but they have the same right of free passage as we insist upon elsewhere for our ships. It’s the high seas.
Russian military spy ship tracked by U.S. Coast Guard just 15 miles off Hawaii coast
An HC-130 Hercules helicopter and a Coast Guard cutter were dispatched to monitor the ship, officials said.
www.cbsnews.com
November 15, 2025 at 2:37 AM
I’m not sure why this is newsworthy. It happens all the time out here. Yes, it’s a Russian intelligence vessel, but they have the same right of free passage as we insist upon elsewhere for our ships. It’s the high seas.
Typical. Trumpians will always gravitate to glitz - despite having torn the heart out of real marketing. When did you last see somebody comfortably riding a longhorn?
People don't want to visit the U.S. Can this new ad convince them otherwise?
A new ad campaign aims to sell an idealized America to increasingly skeptical travelers.
www.fastcompany.com
November 14, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Typical. Trumpians will always gravitate to glitz - despite having torn the heart out of real marketing. When did you last see somebody comfortably riding a longhorn?
I might quibble with some of this, but I lived and worked in Europe for eight years. There is much here that Europeans would do well to ponder.
Eurocope
Pointing out America's problems will not help Europe solve its own.
open.substack.com
November 14, 2025 at 2:21 AM
I might quibble with some of this, but I lived and worked in Europe for eight years. There is much here that Europeans would do well to ponder.
I swore an oath to protect and defend the Constitution — and that oath doesn’t expire. Proud to stand with my fellow members of National Security Leaders for America in this new video:
@nslforamerica.bsky.social
#MissionFirst #NSL4A #DefendDemocracy #DutyHonorCountry
@nslforamerica.bsky.social
#MissionFirst #NSL4A #DefendDemocracy #DutyHonorCountry
Mission First | National Security Leaders for America
YouTube video by National Security Leaders For America
youtu.be
November 14, 2025 at 1:26 AM
I swore an oath to protect and defend the Constitution — and that oath doesn’t expire. Proud to stand with my fellow members of National Security Leaders for America in this new video:
@nslforamerica.bsky.social
#MissionFirst #NSL4A #DefendDemocracy #DutyHonorCountry
@nslforamerica.bsky.social
#MissionFirst #NSL4A #DefendDemocracy #DutyHonorCountry