Josh Larky
@joshlarky.bsky.social
2.8K followers 140 following 1.3K posts
Fantasy football and betting 50,000 followers on the *other* site https://bnfantasy.onelink.me/WgnT/Larky New political project coming soon
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joshlarky.bsky.social
📊WR Matchups for Week 6 Fantasy Football

Outside receivers (left chart) and slot receivers (right chart)

How to Interpret:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been playing outside this year, & he has an excellent matchup against JAX (+8.9)

WRs score 8.9 MORE fantasy points than expected against JAX
joshlarky.bsky.social
🚨 MVP BET: Sam Darnold at 55:1

116 passer rating (3rd)
1,541 pass yards (3rd)
11 pass TDs (5th)
SEA is 4-2

Down to 40:1 on FanDuel already

If this was *anyone else* he would be 3:1 with these stats
joshlarky.bsky.social
Ertz my preference with McLaurin out as well
Reposted by Josh Larky
joshlarky.bsky.social
With Dalton Kincaid OUT, here’s another pick you can pair with the Rome Odunze FREE square

Shakir OVER 4.5 receptions is -141 in betting markets (!!) but we avoid that juice on @bnfantasy.bsky.social

ATL generates pressure, Shakir should get extra short area looks with no Kincaid
Reposted by Josh Larky
joshlarky.bsky.social
🚨 ALL @bnfantasy.bsky.social users get a FREE pick tonight

We just hit a 6x (last night) where I spoon fed 2 picks to pair with the FREE square

We’re up 20 units on these plays and it’s still Week 6 🤯

Time to do it again🤞🏻 ⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
With Dalton Kincaid OUT, here’s another pick you can pair with the Rome Odunze FREE square

Shakir OVER 4.5 receptions is -141 in betting markets (!!) but we avoid that juice on @bnfantasy.bsky.social

ATL generates pressure, Shakir should get extra short area looks with no Kincaid
joshlarky.bsky.social
Use my link when you sign up to keep me employed and get a 50% deposit match 🤝 bnfantasy.onelink.me/WgnT/Larky (or promo code LARKY)
joshlarky.bsky.social
▪️Michael Penix MORE than 0.5 INTs
- This is -130 on sportsbooks (!!)
- ATL are 4.5-point underdogs, they’ll need to throw

▪️Deebo Samuel MORE than 5.5 Receptions
- At least 6 receptions in 4 of 5 games
- No Terry McLaurin
- Up to -136 (!) odds on sportsbooks

Promo link with a deposit match ⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
🚨 ALL @bnfantasy.bsky.social users get a FREE pick tonight

We just hit a 6x (last night) where I spoon fed 2 picks to pair with the FREE square

We’re up 20 units on these plays and it’s still Week 6 🤯

Time to do it again🤞🏻 ⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
Fun little parlay for tonight’s game

Let’s have a shootout with a Jamo bomb 💣

$10 ➡️ $584 ??!!
joshlarky.bsky.social
New users to @bnfantasy.bsky.social were just spoon fed a 6x entry 💰 ⤵️

Will have another play tomorrow night for the MNF games
joshlarky.bsky.social
🚨 @bnfantasy.bsky.social has a FREE square for NEW users

Pair Jahmyr Gibbs MORE than 0.5 Rushing Yards with:

◾️Matthew Golden MORE than 20.5 Yards Longest Reception
- Up to 22.5 yards already on sportsbooks
- Great matchup vs CIN (see charts below)
- 34 and 46 yard catch his past 2 games

cont. ⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
$25 ➡️ $938 💰🤞🏻

SEA down their top 2 CBs, this is the Brian Thomas breakout game

Ashton Jeanty has the perfect matchup vs TEN

Matthew Golden had a 30+ yard reception in each of his past 2 games before the Week 5 bye, I’m expecting the rookie to be even more involved in Week 6
joshlarky.bsky.social
Use my link when you sign up to keep me employed and get a 50% deposit match 🤝 bnfantasy.onelink.me/WgnT/Larky (or promo code LARKY)
joshlarky.bsky.social
- The rookie should be more involved after the team's Week 5 bye

◾️Christian McCaffrey LOWER than 55.5 Rushing Yards
- CMC averaging 3.1 YPC this year
- Only 1 RB has been above this number vs TB
-- Bijan, Breece, Saquon all LOWER vs TB this year
- SF are 3.5 point underdogs, too

Promo link ⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
🚨 @bnfantasy.bsky.social has a FREE square for NEW users

Pair Jahmyr Gibbs MORE than 0.5 Rushing Yards with:

◾️Matthew Golden MORE than 20.5 Yards Longest Reception
- Up to 22.5 yards already on sportsbooks
- Great matchup vs CIN (see charts below)
- 34 and 46 yard catch his past 2 games

cont. ⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
📊TE Matchups for Week 6 Fantasy Football

Tucker Kraft's matchup vs CIN is +4.7 when adjusting for opponents faced

Kraft is a top-5 fantasy option this week against a Bengals defense ceding 4.7 MORE fantasy points to TEs than expected
joshlarky.bsky.social
📊RB Matchups for Week 6 Fantasy Football

Derrick Henry's matchup vs LAR is -6

RBs score 6 fantasy points BELOW expectation vs LAR, with
3.45 YPC to RBs and ZERO rush TDs allowed

With Cooper Rush at QB, considering SITTING Henry due to game script, overall offensive quality, & the Rams run defense
joshlarky.bsky.social
📊QB Matchups for Week 6 Fantasy Football

Justin Herbert's matchup against MIA is +3.7

After adjusting for opponents faced, QBs score 3.7 MORE fantasy points than expected vs MIA

Especially with Omarion Hamption to IR, expect LAC to lean on Herbert and the passing game
joshlarky.bsky.social
Use my link when you sign up to keep me employed and get a 50% deposit match 🤝 bnfantasy.onelink.me/WgnT/Larky (or promo code LARKY)
joshlarky.bsky.social
◾️Cam Skattebo MORE than 16.5 Receiving Yards
- No Malik Nabers OR Darius Slayton
- 7 point underdogs, NYG needs to throw
- At least 45 receiving yards in 2 of his past 3
- Half the work can go to Tyrone Tracy, and Skattebo should *still* hit this number
- Already at 18.5 yards on sportsbooks

cont.
joshlarky.bsky.social
◾️Saquon Barkley MORE than 86.5 Rushing Yards
- REVENGE game vs NYG
- Just 6 carries last week, so his legs are fresh tonight
- NYG allowing 5.6 (!!) YPC to RBs this year
- PHI are 7-point favorites, good game script
- Up to 89.5 yards already on sportsbooks

The other pick is...
joshlarky.bsky.social
Before moving onto QB, RB, and TE matchups...

@bnfantasy.bsky.social has a fantasy picks FREE square for NEW users

Jaxson Dart MORE than 0.5 rushing yards✅
- At least 7 carries and 54 rush yards in both starts

Pair it with these 2 picks for a 6x (!!)⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
📊WR Matchups for Week 6 Fantasy Football

Outside receivers (left chart) and slot receivers (right chart)

How to Interpret:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been playing outside this year, & he has an excellent matchup against JAX (+8.9)

WRs score 8.9 MORE fantasy points than expected against JAX
Reposted by Josh Larky
joshlarky.bsky.social
🚨 Not a Trevor Lawrence guy (when his pass yards line is 904.5 yards lmao)

Just need 1 pick for a 3x 🤯

◾️Xavier Worthy MORE than 59.5 Rec Yards
- 62.5 yards on sportsbooks
- Great matchup (see charts below)
- 83 yards on 8 targets in his Week 4 return

Code for a deposit match in 1st comment ⤵️
joshlarky.bsky.social
Download @bnfantasy.bsky.social and follow along each week with all my picks (up nearly 20 units this season)

Use my link when you sign up to keep me employed and get that 50% deposit match 🤝 bnfantasy.onelink.me/WgnT/Larky