Author | Lightnews

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Jun 6

My model's probabilities for 2025's #FloridaPanthers vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupFinals series favours the Panthers in 53.3% of simulations

Prediction: Panthers in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Florida wins in 53.3% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most likely series outcome but 4-3 being almost as close.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 28

Interesting visualization, but I have a couple issues with it.
1. Labels below each graph where they're right next to the data they represent would make it easier to tell which state was which.
2. This makes it seem like DC has higher rates than New Mexico, but NM is what is called out at the top.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 22

My model's probabilities for 2025's #DallasStars vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Stars in 63.1% of simulations

Prediction: Stars in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Dallas wins in 63.1% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most likely series outcome.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 20

My model's probabilities for 2025's #CarolinaHurricanes vs #FloridaPanthers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Lightning in 51.2% of simulations

Prediction: A close series!

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Carolina Hurricanes vs Florida Panthers Stanley Cup playoff series. Carolina wins in only 51.2% of the simulations, with 4-2, 4-3, 3-3-4, and 2-4 all being almost as likely.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 20

Updated probabilities for this year's #StanleyCupPlayoffs after the second round. #EdmontonOilers the only hope for #Canada after losing both the Jets and Leafs over the weekend.

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

Table showing all teams in the 2025 NHL playoffs and their predicted outcomes based on one million simulations of a data model based on regular season and first round playoff stats. Dallas Stars now have the highest likelihood of winning the cup with 37.51% odds, while at the other end the Edmonton Oilers now have a 16.98% chance.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 19

Very cool! Is this your own design?

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 16

I would expect to see this kind of visualization accompanied with a table with the actual values. This is probably more to give a general sense of relative values, or identify trends or relationships due to proximity that might only be obvious when seen in a geographic context.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 7

My model's probabilities for 2025's #WinnipegJets vs #DallasStars #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Jets in 67.3% of simulations

Prediction: Jets in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Stanley Cup playoff series. Winnipeg wins in 67.3% of the simulations, with 4-2 and 4-1 being the most common series outcomes.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 6

My model's probabilities for 2025's #VegasGoldenKnights vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Knights in 64.7% of simulations

Prediction: Knights in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Vegas wins in 64.7% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 6

My model's probabilities for 2025's #WashingtonCapitals vs #CarolinaHurricanes #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Capitals in 59.3% of simulations

Prediction: Caps in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes Stanley Cup playoff series. Washington wins in 59.3% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 5

My model's probabilities for 2025's #TorontoMapleLeafs vs #FloridaPanthers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Leafs in 53.0% of simulations

Prediction: Leafs in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Stanley Cup playoff series. Toronto wins in 53.0% of the simulations, with 4-2 and 4-3 being the most common series outcomes.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · May 5

Updated probabilities for this year's #StanleyCupPlayoffs after the first round. #WinnipegJets still the best bet for #Canada after last night's Game 7 Double OT win!

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 22

My model's probabilities for 2025's #TampaBayLightning vs #FloridaPanthers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Lightning in 68.5% of simulations

Prediction: Lightning in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Stanley Cup playoff series. Tampa Bay wins in 68.5% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 21

My model's probabilities for 2025's #LAKings vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Kings in 61.2% of simulations

Prediction: Kings in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Washington wins in 61.2% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 21

My model's probabilities for 2025's #WashingtonCapitals vs #MontrealCanadiens #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Caps in 79.4% of simulations

Prediction: Caps in 5

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Washington Capitals vs Montréal Canadiens Stanley Cup playoff series. Washington wins in 79.4% of the simulations, with 4-1 being the most common series outcome.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 20

My model's probabilities for 2025's #VegasGoldenKnights vs #MinnesotaWild #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Knights in 77.9% of simulations

Prediction: Knights in 5

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild Stanley Cup playoff series. Vegas wins in 77.9% of the simulations, with 4-1 being the most common series outcome.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 20

My model's probabilities for 2025's #TorontoMapleLeafs vs #OttawaSenators #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Leafs in 62.2% of simulations

Prediction: Leafs in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Stanley Cup playoff series. Toronto wins in 62.2% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 20

My model's probabilities for the 2025 #CarolinaHurricanes vs #NJDevils #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Hurricanes in 55.1% of simulations

Prediction: 'Canes in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Carolina Hurricanes vs New Jersey Devils Stanley Cup playoff series. Carolina wins in 55.1% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 19

My model's probabilities for this year's #DallasStars vs #ColoradoAvalanche #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Stars in 54.8% of simulations

Prediction: Stars in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Stanley Cup playoff series. Dallas wins in 54.8% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.

Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 19

My model's probabilities for this year's #WinnipegJets vs #StLouisBlues #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Jets in 78.7% of simulations

Prediction: Jets in 5

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada

Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues Stanley Cup playoff series. Winnipeg wins in 78.7% of the simulations, with 4-1 being the most common series outcome.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 19

I don't have a name for it, but it's maddening.

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Playing Dice With The Universe @jefleppard.bsky.social · Apr 19

My model's probabilities for this year's #StanleyCupPlayoffs. @winnipegjets.com in a great position to bring the cup back to #Canada for the first time since '93!

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics

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