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Jeff Singer

@jeffsinger.bsky.social

2.9K followers 380 following 130 posts

Managing Editor at The Downballot. Email jeffsinger -at- the-downballot -dot- com

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · Apr 24

This took a ton of work, but as Robert Caro says, "It’s not about how long it takes to make. It’s about whether it will endure."

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · Apr 24

It's here! The Downballot is so stoked to share our calculations of the results of the 2024 presidential election for all 435 congressional districts!

Bookmark this must-have data set, generously sponsored by Grassroots Analytics, right here: the-db.co/presbycd

And much more in this 🧵 below!

The Downballot's calculations of presidential election results by congressional district, sponsored by Grassroots Analytics

Our one-of-a-kind collection spans from 2008 to the present

the-db.co

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 2d

Proud of my favorite "Central Jersey Truther" @mattbooker.bsky.social

David Nir @davidnir.com · 2d

I am BEAMING right now, @mattbooker.bsky.social! www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

The message in the memo from national Democrats to the state is clear: It is time to move.

“These results suggest that the Democratic base will respond extremely positively to action from the state legislature on redistricting — and that, if public opinion in Maryland follows California’s trajectory, voters outside the Democratic base are likely to follow,” Change Research’s Ben Greenfield and Matt Booker write in the memo.

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 2d

Georgia Republican Tim Echols explains his decision to label Democrat Alicia Johnson, who is Black, as a "DEI specialist" by saying: "This is not a dog whistle. This is a whistle. I’m not being shy about it." Echols and Fitz Johnson are up next month for seats on state Public Service Commission.

Why the PSC election next month is an early test for Democratic momentum

Early voting numbers in Democratic strongholds are far outpacing those in GOP-friendly counties, and some Republicans worry about closing the gap by Election Day on Nov. 4.

www.ajc.com

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 3d

Yes, Eric Adams said Andrew Cuomo was "a snake and a liar." But he didn't say Cuomo was a BAD snake and a liar!

Eric Adams Will Endorse Andrew Cuomo for Mayor

www.nytimes.com

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · Sep 3

With John Sununu reemerging, so does this ... memorable musical video Democrats made in 2008 linking him to George W. Bush.

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 6d

The Utah GOP has hit on a new way to repeal anti-gerrymandering rules that they hate: a so-called "indirect" initiative that would tee up a vote by the legislature.

But as @yeargain.bsky.social points out, the laws they're relying on smell pretty unconstitutional.

More in today's Morning Digest →

Morning Digest, sponsored by FiftyPlusOne: Why the Utah GOP's new ploy to stop fair maps may be unconstitutional

Time is running out before a judge decides which districts to use in 2026

www.the-downballot.com

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 17d

Very excited to see this!

FiftyPlusOne.news @fiftyplusone.news · 17d

new polls website just dropped fiftyplusone.news

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 18d

Cuncle

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 18d

(Reposted to clarify his group has only spent $7 million on ads, not only raised $7 million)

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 18d

Kevin McCarthy told Republicans this summer he wanted to raise $100 million to stop California redistricting. So far he's absolutely *nowhere* near that goal. punchbowl.news/archive/1082...

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 19d

@malcolmkenyatta.bsky.social The Downballot wrote about the PA Supreme Court twice last month!

Morning Digest: Democrats have a wide spending edge in the battle for Pennsylvania's Supreme Court

But the richest man in the state could tip the balance with a single check

www.the-downballot.com

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 19d

Thank you! Credit to @davidnir.com for finding this one!

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 23d

A must read resource for why some states can redraw their maps with ease, and why it's not happening elsewhere.

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 23d

There's been a lot of confusion about which states could redraw their House maps before the midterms, so we've put together a definitive guide to every state that could actually do so—16 in all.

We explain the likelihood of new maps, probable targeted districts, and any obstacles to passage.

Here's every state that could draw a new congressional map by 2026

Most states can't pass new maps quickly—but those that can favor Republicans

www.the-downballot.com

Reposted by Jeff Singer

David Nir @davidnir.com · 25d

My annual PSA: What do you wish people observing Yom Kippur?

It's not a joyous day—it's a day of atonement and fasting. So "Have a happy holiday" is out.

*But* you can wish someone a happy new year (or "shana tova"), since this time of year is closely tied to Rosh Hashanah (the new year).

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 26d

Update: GOP Rep. David Schweikert, who just a month ago dismissed fears about the Medicaid cuts he voted for as "whining and bedwetting," is running for governor of Arizona.

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · Aug 28

Good thing this guy isn't in a competitive seat and isn't thinking about running statewide ... oh wait, oh wait.

Arizona congressman defends Medicaid cuts after dismissing concerns as 'bedwetting'

Schweikert made the case that the reforms are the fiscally responsible thing to do and will help fix rising health care costs.

www.azcentral.com

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 27d

A bottom-feeding trash site called @bluedelaware.bsky.social was stealing our work all year. We noticed it today and called them on it. They hastily deleted lots of posts, but @archive.org saved some.

Sample stolen post: web.archive.org/web/20250627...

Ours: www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-di...

The Political Report – June 26, 2025

Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, a 33-year-old self-identified democratic socialist, overcame massive opposition by New York City’s political establishment to thwart former Gov. Andrew Cuomo&#8217…

web.archive.org

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 27d

Tired: Donors wasting massive amounts on Kevin McCarthy's "Revenge Tour."

Wired: Donors not bothering to contribute to Kevin McCarthy's quest to stop California redistricting.

www.politico.com/newsletters/...

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

Quinn Yeargain @yeargain.bsky.social · 28d

pro tip for any candidate considering running:

if this happens, just make the plunge!

announce!

don't dither!

don't wait!

just fucking announce!

meet the moment!

look at Andy Kim's quick decision to announce his challenge of Bob Menendez as an example!

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 28d

At this point, any Democrat who votes to keep this government open without extracting very serious concessions — RFK’s resignation, ICE rollback, Epstein Files release, etc — will absolutely face a primary challenger who will set fundraising records.

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 28d

Republicans run the White House, Congress and Supreme Court on the principle that the only role Dems can play is bailing the GOP out from facing the consequences of their own actions.

They expect Dems to clean up after them and save them from voters’ blame, and sadly some Dems want to do just that.

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · Sep 25

I asked ChatGPT a political news question, and it cited my own writing back to me.

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · Sep 25

I'm planning to go out of my way to visit his grave when I go to Albany next month. Not a joke.

Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · Sep 24

My Trump Isn't Threatening To Cut Off Federal Funding If We Don't Pass a New Gerrymander shirt has people asking a lot of questions already answered by my shirt.

Braun says Trump administration has not threatened state's federal funding over redistricting - Indianapolis Business Journal

Still, Trump administration officials have been pushing Indiana Republicans to call a special session focused on redistricting. Most notably, Vice President J.D. Vance traveled to Indianapolis to spea...

www.ibj.com

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Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · Sep 23

"That’s politics 101. You never look good wearing something on your head." --- Barack Obama, 2013.

NOTUS @notus.com · Sep 23

“We will not let Minnesota’s madness and Illinois’ insanity take over here in Wisconsin,” Rep. Tom Tiffany said in an announcement video.
www.notus.org/campaigns/re...

Rep. Tom Tiffany Jumps Into a Packed Wisconsin Governor’s Race

“We will not let Minnesota’s madness and Illinois’ insanity take over here in Wisconsin,” Tiffany said in an announcement video.

www.notus.org

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · Sep 23

Georgia Democrats have their first notable candidate for secretary of state, which has become one of the most important offices in this swing state. Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, who Trump told to "find 11,780 votes" to overturn Biden's victory, is leaving to run for governor.

Morning Digest: Democrats land first candidate in race to be Georgia's top elections official

A victory would break a GOP winning streak that goes back to 2006

www.the-downballot.com

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · Sep 16

Hot off the presses: Former Democratic Rep. Wiley Nickel has launched his campaign to become district attorney in Wake County, NC, a powerful post that has jurisdiction over political corruption cases involving lawmakers and state officials. www.the-downballot.com/i/173709722/...

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · Sep 15

This is not right.

The Downballot makes tons of data available for free.

But when big-name pundits rip off our work without proper attribution or a link—to build up their followings and make money off us? That's bullshit.

This case is especially egregious, but this happens *all* the time.

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias.bsky.social · Sep 10

Another huge special election overperformance for Democrats last night, who are running 15.7% ahead of Harris this year in specials.

I'm resolving to be more constructive and less trolly in my engagement with the Bluesky audience. This is a topic where folks should consider the implications.

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Reposted by Jeff Singer

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · Sep 12

National Republicans are trying to unseat a trio of Democratic justices to set off "a seismic momentum shift in Pennsylvania that would create an opening for more conservative policy victories in the state." The incumbents' allies are fighting back by focusing on abortion rights.

Morning Digest: GOP launches campaign to end Democratic control of Pennsylvania's top court

Three justices are up for retention this fall

www.the-downballot.com

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