Javier Carbonell
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javiercarbonell.bsky.social
Javier Carbonell
@javiercarbonell.bsky.social
3.5K followers 830 following 270 posts
Deputy Director, Future Policy Lab | Policy Analyst, European Policy Centre | Teaching Assistant, Sciences Po | PhD Candidate, University of Edinburgh | Inequality, nationalism, far-right and youth https://sites.google.com/view/javiercarbonell/home
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At the EPC I write more for a more centrist audience, that is why I was addressing them more. I feel that in the "democracy and affordability front" there is space for collaboration between centrism and the far-left. It is my little hope that it works and I try to help to see that.
Yes, many respond to that surge by copying their ideas but not all of them and that strategy can change if proven uneffective.

Also, centrist parties are worried about the affordability issue simply because it is a massive phenomenon that voters care about.
In my opinion one of the (many) next steps of the far-left is to convince other parties (centrist are the only ones available) to engane in broader coalitions. We just can't avoid it.
I see that many centrist parties are worried about the far-right and the increasing authoritarism it entails.
PSOE is now considered "leftist" because of years of that coalition, that was not their original position. And I agree that I won't convince them just by saying it. In politics you need power and votes, but again, the far-left (or greens) are starting to get that again in some countries.
Again, I agree. I must say that I was using "centrist" to refer not only to liberal parties but also to centre-left and centre-right parties, so Spain would fit. I can tell you that it took a lot fo effort for PSOE to agree to forn a government with Podemos/Sumar.
I agree but I don't think that is completely true. I agree that we have MANY such examples but we also have some in the other direction (e.g. Spain's government). I don't have much hope but my aim was to be a little push in the direction of starting to make this option more acceptable to their ears.
Fair point, but like or not centrist are not going to disappear either. We need broad coalitions, even with people we dislike or betrayed us.
The centre cannot hold, and it is better to collaborate with a pro-democratic, affordability-focused, growing far-left than with an increasingly authoritarian far-right.

You can read more about it on my latest piece for the @epc-official.bsky.social
But the far-right is: anti-EU, pro-Russia and increasingly authoritarian.

It is time to consider partnerships with pro-redistribution, democratic and internationalist forces on the far left, many of which are clearly pro-European and focus greatly on affordability.
Given current electoral results, centrist parties have to collaborate to some extent with radical parties. The question is no longer whether to work with parties on the extremes, but which ones.

This is why the EPP is clearly flirting with the far right, especially in national governments.
2.- The second thing is that Centrist parties should look to their far-left, not their far-right.

The rise of democratic socialists in the US, Die Linke in Germany, La France Insoumise in France and the recent surge of the UK Green Party indicate that Europe’s far left is also growing.
We have exactly the same concerns in Europe. Cost of living is by far the most important topic in the EU, that is what we should be talking about.
Mamdani won an impressive 84% of women under 29 and 68% of young New York men, proving that the far-right trend of the young is not inevitable. Y

outh can be mobilised behind democratic platforms when affordability concerns are addressed directly.
🗳️ Mamdani's victory means two things for Europe.

1.- It's all about affordability. I am often asked why so many young men are moving to the far right and what can be done about it. It's simple: address their economic precarity.
¡Estaré hoy a las 19h hablando con @edugaresp.bsky.social sobre desigualdad, genética y herencias!
Hoy a las 19:00 (hora española peninsular) entrevistamos a @javiercarbonell.bsky.social con motivo de la publicación del libro “La desigualdad en España”. Podéis hacer preguntar si queréis!
Feliz Día de la Hipanidad, necesitamos un contrarrelato que sea 1) anti-imperialista y 2) nos haga sentir orgullosos.

La izquierda solo tiene el primero pero necesitamos ambos. Hay toda una tradición ESPAÑOLA crítica con el colonialismo, eso es lo que deberíamos estar celebrando.
Would you like a quick and comprehensive recap of the upcoming Czech elections? Then join us on Monday at 2 pm!
🇨🇿 #Czechia’s 3–4 Oct elections could reshape its role in #Europe.

A #Babiš comeback may weaken #EU unity, democratic resilience & revive the #Visegrád Group.

Join our #ElectionsMonitor to unpack the outcome 👇
www.epc.eu/events/czech...
Reposted by Javier Carbonell
El INE ha vuelto a revisar sus cálculos del nivel del PIB al alza. Es decir, nuestra economía ha crecido un poco más de lo que se pensaba, y además ahorra sabemos que el aumento de la inversión ha sido importante. Como decía este finde Vidal-Folch, "pasan cosas. Sin ruido, pero pasan"
JOB ADVERT: If you are a recent graduate with a strong interest in EU institutions, enlargement, and/or democratic backsliding, come work with us at the @epc-official.bsky.social as a Programme Assistant!

Link: epc.eu/vacancies/pr...

Deadline: 15th September, but apply as soon as possible!
Reposted by Javier Carbonell
¿Por qué más chicos varones jóvenes votan a la extrema derecha? La mejor explicación es la de Javier Carbonell, este hilo es excelente, la pena es que está en inglés
bsky.app/profile/javi...
🚨THE GENDER GAP AMONG THE YOUNG HAS REVERSED in several European countries. Now under-25 women earn more than young men per hour.

Why is this happening and how does this impact the vote for the far-right?
Thread with 📈
Obviamente la defensa es necesaria y protege nuestro bienestar pero es que los mismos que nos piden reforzar las murallas de la ciudad luego dejan pasar al Caballo de Troya.

Nadie que pacte con la extrema derecha puede hablar con legitimidad de seguridad europea.
Más bienestar = más seguridad, porque los recortes se asocian con más voto a la extrema derecha, que son los aliados de Putin y Trump.

Tener al aliado del enemigo dentro de casa es mucho más peligroso que no tener el último tanque.