Ilari Ilmakunnas
@ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
950 followers 720 following 140 posts
Senior researcher @ Finnish Centre for Pensions. PhD. Poverty, Social Policy, Policy Evaluation, Life Course, Retirement. Member of Evaluation Working Group of Finnish social security reform. Orienteering. https://sites.google.com/view/ilariilmakunnas
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Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
ophastings.bsky.social
The GSS asked the same people about their childhood income rank three different times. 56% changed their answer, even though what was trying to be measured couldn’t change! We dig into this in a new article at @socialindicators.bsky.social. 



doi.org/10.1007/s112...

🧵👇 (1/5)
Growing up Different(ly than Last Time We Asked): Social Status and Changing Reports of Childhood Income Rank - Social Indicators Research
How we remember our past can be shaped by the realities of our present. This study examines how changes to present circumstances influence retrospective reports of family income rank at age 16. While retrospective survey data can be used to assess the long-term effects of childhood conditions, present-day circumstances may “anchor” memories, causing shifts in how individuals recall and report past experiences. Using panel data from the 2006–2014 General Social Surveys (8,602 observations from 2,883 individuals in the United States), we analyze how changes in objective and subjective indicators of current social status—income, financial satisfaction, and perceived income relative to others—are associated with changes in reports of childhood income rank, and how this varies by sex and race/ethnicity. Fixed-effects models reveal no significant association between changes in income and in childhood income rank. However, changes in subjective measures of social status show contrasting effects, as increases in current financial satisfaction are associated with decreases in childhood income rank, but increases in current perceived relative income are associated with increases in childhood income rank. We argue these opposing effects follow from theories of anchoring in recall bias. We further find these effects are stronger among males but are consistent across racial/ethnic groups. This demographic heterogeneity suggests that recall bias is not evenly distributed across the population and has important implications for how different groups perceive their own pasts. Our findings further highlight the malleability of retrospective perceptions and their sensitivity to current social conditions, offering methodological insights into survey reliability and recall bias.
doi.org
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
conradhackett.bsky.social
Here more than 5,000 people answered the question below (more than 4,200 via quote replies & >800 comments). Lots of interesting stories!

On X, 15 people replied to the same query.
conradhackett.bsky.social
Has anything great happened in your life because of social media?
ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
Average age of Nobel recipients in economics is around 67. I assume that regardless of fhe field groundbreaking research is typically (almost always?) conducted at younger ages.
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
pengzell.bsky.social
The funding-to-frustration pipeline: 1. Funding call on insane niche topic appears 2. PI writes proposal in a weekend 3. PhD spends four years sorting out the mess
ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
How it is possible to get the link for the online talk?
ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
No en sikäli, että onhan tuossa tuo nuo eläkemaksut aika ytimessä. Mutta toki rahastoinnilla jotain vaikutusta tilanteeseen olisi, vaikka olisikin vaikea määrittää "juurisyyksi". Ei rahastointia TyEL:n puolellakaan olla purkamassa.
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
actasociologica.bsky.social
👉 New comment out 👀

Garritzmann, Häusermann and Palier argue that the key problem of the ongoing debate is that scholars and politicians refer to social investment as if it was one single type of policy, whereas there are quite different variants of this paradigm.

doi.org/10.1177/0001...
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doi.org
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
raabm.bsky.social
This webinar introduced me to the new Python package sequenzo! Like many in the SA community, I currently only use R for my analyses. I tried to harness sequenzo's power from within R and put together a small tutorial that might be interesting for R users: sa-book.github.io/bonus_sequen...
Sequence Analysis - Companion Site: SA with Python and sequenzo
Running sequenzo from R using reticulate
sa-book.github.io
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
pnasnexus.org
A Dutch study explores a key barrier to social integration: strong in-group preferences. One hopeful exception: young people don’t have strong preferences for people of their own ethnicity when it comes to sports activities. In PNAS Nexus: academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ar...
Street soccer championship in The Hague, Netherlands, 2010.
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
stat.fi
15–74-vuotiaiden työttömyysasteen trendiluku nousi elokuussa 10,0 %:iin. ”Yhtä korkeaa työttömyysastetta ei löydy työvoimatutkimuksen nykyisestä, vuodesta 2009 alkavasta trendisarjasta”, kertoo Tilastokeskuksen yliaktuaari Joanna Viinikka uutisessa.
📰 stat.fi/fi/uutinen/T...
#työttömyys
Valokuvassa TE-palveluiden kyltti, taustalla harmaa toimistorakennus.
ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
"Social investments, in contrast, are usually still treated as one big box and as one supposedly coherent policy approach, which defies the complexity of reality and renders discussions unproductive"
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
atrupar.com
There is no world in which it is normal for the president to publicly call upon his attorney general to hurry up and prosecute his political foes. It’s like the Watergate tapes but posted on social media. Let’s get a grip on what’s happening here.
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
yoshikoherrera.bsky.social
Respectfully disagree: 1) in fact it is unusual for a democracy w/ this level of GDP to turn authoritarian & so quickly; 2) the weakness of both institutions (congress & courts) and individuals (Schumer etc) is shocking. Would take less than 10 people in congress or 2 SC justices to stop all this.
donmoyn.bsky.social
What America is going through is not unusual in historical terms. Plenty of examples like it today elsewhere in the world.
What makes it unusual is the rapid collapse from a set of widely espoused norms and values that centered on liberty. It is the sacking of the shining city on hill that shocks.
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
pengzell.bsky.social
Agree on the value of peer review but it has rarely changed a finding for me. I've also observed that most work finds publication somewhere no matter how wrong, but the degree of wrongness usually dictates the outlet.
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
thomaspiketty.bsky.social
📆 Save the date: the 3rd edition of the World Inequality Conference will take place on 4–5 June 2026 at Paris School of Economics @pse.bsky.social

The call for papers is open until December 1.

🔗 More details & submission: inequalitylab.world/en/event/wor...
ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
You would not consider LLMs to have any value in writing (e.g., translating or editing) if you should start writing your papers in non-native language?
ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
Tämä tapa, jossa saa nuolen ylöspäin tai alaspäin, jo 0,1 prosenttiyksikön muutoksella on surkea. Melkeinpä datan väärinkäyttöä.
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
carlbergstrom.com
1. Kevin Gross and I just posted a new science-of-science preprint.

This one explores the looming peer review crisis. As many of you know, it's becoming significantly more difficult for journal editors to find scholars willing to serve as peer reviewers for submitted manuscripts.
Will anyone review this paper? Screening, sorting, and the feedback cycles that imperil peer review
Scholarly publishing relies on peer review to identify the best science. Yet finding willing and qualified reviewers to evaluate manuscripts has become an increasingly challenging task, possibly even ...
arxiv.org
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
profsamperry.bsky.social
Religiosity & gender attitudes go hand-in-hand. But which influences which?

New study by McElroy et al. shows earlier gender views tend to predict religious trajectories more than the reverse (except for young women).

Once again:

Cultural/political conflicts --> Religion
doi.org/10.1177/2378...
Reposted by Ilari Ilmakunnas
stefanschubert.bsky.social
"French pensioners now have higher incomes than working-age adults" - extraordinary

By @jburnmurdoch.ft.com

www.ft.com/content/d419...
ilmakunnasilari.bsky.social
Jaa-a, mutta varsin meritoituneita taloustietelijöitä noissa tutkimuksissa ainakin on mukana. Mutta ehkä psykologian tutkimuksen kaltaiset ongelmat vaivaavat taloustiedettäkin. En ole erityisellä tarkkuudella kuitenkaan kyseisiä tutkimuksia selannut.