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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

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Read our Chaillot Paper: www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

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Strategic moves
3️⃣𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧: plan for crises as the new normal
4️⃣𝐏𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫: build Europe’s will and capacity to act on its own
5️⃣𝐏𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐩: strengthen alliances across the world with concrete offers

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

8/ Tactical moves
1️⃣𝐏𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐦: cooperate where interests still align
2️⃣ 𝐏𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞: continue engaging with Washington at the highest level

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

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⚖️ In the conclusion, @sbeverts.bsky.social & I argue that navigating this era of 𝗹𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗿𝘂𝘀𝘁 requires both tactical adaptation to keep the relationship functioning, and strategic moves to strengthen Europe's ability to defend its interests

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

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👉 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗻 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝘀 in dealing with Trump 2.0: the Americas (@gspataf95.bsky.social), North-East Asia (Lizza Bomassi), the Western Balkans (Bojana Zorić), the Gulf (@katarzyna-sidlo.bsky.social) &Sub-Saharan Africa (Rossella Marangio)

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

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👉 𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗘𝗨-𝗨𝗦 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝗱𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗴𝗲: disinformation (@leodeago.bsky.social), the “tech industrial complex” (@clotildebomont.bsky.social), climate & energy (@casparhobhouse.bsky.social).

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

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📖 In this Chaillot Paper, we examine:
👉 𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗿𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: European defence (@lscazzieri.bsky.social), support to Ukraine (@ditrych.bsky.social), China policy (@ruehlig.bsky.social)

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

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🔹 Hostile elements to Europe have influence within the administration
🔹 A president defined by unpredictability and volatility
🔹 A policy process where loyalty is privileged above all
➡️ These shifts erode 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗮𝘁𝗹𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝘁𝗿𝘂𝘀𝘁, making traditional engagement harder than ever.

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

2/ Almost one year into President Trump’s re-election, 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗮𝘁𝗹𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝗿𝗲𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗹𝘆 𝗱𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁.There has been no complete rupture – European leaders are still managing ties with Washington. But the way the US behaves and interacts with Europe – and the world – has 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗱 𝗳𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆:

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 5h

𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲 𝗮𝗱𝗮𝗽𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗮 “𝗹𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗿𝘂𝘀𝘁” 𝗿𝗲𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗽? Today we publish our latest @euiss.bsky.social Chaillot Paper on transatlantic relations - a collective work edited by me, @sbeverts.bsky.social & Alice Ekman. 1/🧵

EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 5h

The transatlantic partnership was built on trust.
Today, that trust is rapidly eroding.

🧭 Europe must adapt — and learn to navigate this age of low trust.

New Chaillot Paper 👉 ow.ly/7W7550XbpcO

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Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora

EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 6d

🛡️ From securing supply chains and defence ties to fighting transnational organised crime, the EU, Latin America & the Caribbean face common security challenges.

🤝 Ahead of the 2025 #EUCELAC Summit, we held an event to level up the security dimension in cross-regional relations.

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Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora

Mick Ryan @warinthefuture.bsky.social · 9d

My regular update on #Ukraine and global conflict is now available. This week: U.S. deep strike target data for Ukraine, more drones over Europe, the Pacific and my Big Five recommended war reads. mickryan.substack.com/p/deep-strik...

Deep Strikes are Hurting Putin & Russia: The Big Five 5 October edition

My regular update on global conflict. This week: U.S. deep strike target data for Ukraine, more drones over Europe, the Pacific and my Big Five recommended war reads.

mickryan.substack.com

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Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora

EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 13d

Fighter jets are too costly against cheap #drones and Europe can’t rely on the US, which is also new to this game. @gspataf95.bsky.social in the Washington Post on the EU's planned "drone wall". www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 14d

“The other side can just keep throwing things at you,”... “There’s only a certain number of fighter jets, each of them carries a certain amount of munitions, which tends to be quite high-tech and expensive. You cannot expend them easily.”

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 14d

👉“Although NATO has the top-level defense capabilities,” Spatafora added, “they are not enough to deal with cheap drones that can be sent in droves and make a lot of damage.”

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 14d

👉“The U.S. is sort of new to this game as well,” Spatafora said. “So the Europeans, basically they cannot just rely on U.S. capabilities. It’s new for everyone.”

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 14d

A little present this morning: being quoted on the @washingtonpost.com article on Europe's drone wall plan: www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...

As Russia menaces NATO skies, E.U. plans to build a shield against drones

E.U. leaders say they want to build a “drone wall” along the borders with Russia and Ukraine after incursions into NATO airspace have raised alarm.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 19d

Glad for the conversation I had with @benhallnews.bsky.social @financialtimes.com in preparation for their article on European airspace vulnerabilities and Russia's growing boldness.
Quote and full text here: www.ft.com/content/f945...

Denmark drone incidents expose European airspace vulnerabilities

Job of protecting critical national infrastructure grows more complex as Russia tests Nato members

www.ft.com

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 19d

EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 20d

#Moldova votes this weekend, amid accusations of Russian interference. A snapshot of how elections were targeted in 2024 ⤵️ From @gspataf95.bsky.social & Nad’a Kovalčíková's Brief: ow.ly/wHyH50X239c.

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Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora

POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · Sep 5

European countries bordering Russia should prepare for the possibility that Washington could draw down its troop numbers in the area by building up their own military capacity, the president of Estonia told us.

Prepare for possible US troop drawdown in Europe, Estonia says

President Alar Karis warns that all European countries should be prepared for Russian provocations.

ow.ly

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · Sep 5

Previewing the latest @euiss.bsky.social research at #EUISS2025 Annual Conference

EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · Sep 3

📢 How can the EU navigate a transatlantic relationship marked by low trust?

@gspataf95.bsky.social takes the stage to present our upcoming new Chaillot Paper at #EUISS2025.

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · Sep 3

Follow the discussion: www.youtube.com/live/6AKxO0z...

EUISS 2025 annual conference: Kaja Kallas keynote speech

YouTube video by EU Institute for Security Studies

www.youtube.com

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Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · Sep 3

#EUISS2025 Annual Conference under way, with HRVP @kajakallas.bsky.social & @sbeverts.bsky.social

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Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora

Steven Everts @sbeverts.bsky.social · Aug 20

This week has seen a whirlwind of diplomatic summits, full of drama and controversy but not much clarity.

If you wonder what it all means, here are four short takes by @euiss.bsky.social analysts:

#EUdiplomacy #Ukraine #Trump

Where do we stand after the Alaska and Washington Summits?

After the high-stakes Alaska and Washington summits, Europe has managed to hold the line, buying time and keeping Ukraine at the centre of transatlantic diplomacy. Yet, Trump’s commitment remains a do...

www.iss.europa.eu

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Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora

EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · Aug 18

“In general, the Europeans talk much more often to Trump than during the first 100 days, which is good. They have influence. But it’s limited,” says @gspataf95.bsky.social. www.politico.com/news/2025/08...

Europe is sending heavy hitters to Washington alongside Ukraine’s president to bolster Kyiv

European leaders are on an all-out push to forestall Oval Office conflict at a crucial stage in diplomacy to end Russia’s war on Ukraine.

www.politico.com

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