Dmitry Grozoubinski
banner
explaintrade.com
Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
Author of Why Politicians Lie About Trade | Trade and Negotiations Explainer. Forever D&D DM.

🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.

Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
Pinned
The audiobook version of Why Politicians Lie About Trade seems to be out in the wild!

Read by the excellent Christopher Tester (www.christophertester.co.uk), it is delivered with more gravitas than I could have ever managed.

www.amazon.com/Why-Politici...
Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It
Amazon.com: Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It (Audible Audio Edition): Dmitry Grozoubinski, Christopher Tester, Canbury Press Ltd: Books
www.amazon.com
lol
White House: strike conducted on boat was conducted in self defence
December 1, 2025 at 6:53 PM
Every Secretary of Defense Senate confirmation hearing from now on should include the disqualifying question, "Have you ever masturbated to a cutscene from Call of Duty?"
Starting //// going
December 1, 2025 at 4:40 PM
The OBR also accidentally leaked who the Traitors are, the UK'S Trident Nuclear Launch Codes, and the exact date and time when you personally will die.
Breaking news: The errors that led the UK fiscal watchdog to accidentally publish the Budget ahead of time also allowed early access to the Spring Statement in March, the Office for Budget Responsibility admitted on Monday. on.ft.com/43Z5UIA
December 1, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Can't believe there weren't budget lines called "woke nonsense" and "free stuff for scary immigrants" they could cut to fully fund the rest of government.
Reform UK went into Durham Council promising to find huge savings. They have managed to GROW the authority's deficit by over £11m *in the last two months*.

Grimes recommends “serious consideration” to increasing council tax “by the maximum 5%.” ~AA

northeastbylines.co.uk/news/politic...
Reform cabinet backs £10mn cuts to start filling Durham’s growing black hole
Reform is now learning that running a big council is not as easy as it probably thought
northeastbylines.co.uk
December 1, 2025 at 10:20 AM
1/ So many thoughts on this, but the tl;dr is that these gatekeeping dweebs can go screw themselves with a +5 Vorpal Longsword.

Dungeons and Dragons and tabletop roleplaying games more generally are wonderful, and it's brilliant that more people are getting to experience them.
A game where you can do anything and they’re mad that people are doing anything.
November 30, 2025 at 2:03 PM
"Attention passengers, we regret to inform you that the 08:47 service to..."
November 28, 2025 at 12:49 PM
Setting aside the merits of migration, getting it down isn't some massive achievement when the officials who issue visas work for you.

You can just order them to issue fewer visas.

It's a tap you control, why are you bragging about turning it?

I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.
November 28, 2025 at 10:20 AM
It also risks the health of the Tooth Fairy, may provoke the Loch Ness Monster to violence, is an affront to our elven allies in Lothlórien, threatens a critical unicorn habitat and could undo the many benefits of Brexit.
BELGIUM WARNS THAT USING FROZEN RUSSIAN ASSETS TO FUND UKRAINE WOULD ENDANGER A PEACE DEAL — FT
November 27, 2025 at 11:35 PM
My carefully considered, nuanced and balanced policy view is that we should tax gambling profits, including sports betting, at like 98% and one executive's kidney per quarter.

I'm not sure having every UK mainstreet be three quarters Ladbrokes is good, actually.
November 27, 2025 at 8:57 AM
My best guess regarding the Ukraine/Russia negotiations is that both sides fully realize there is simply no overlap in the Venn Diagram of what each could accept in terms of conditions and assurances.

None.

However neither can afford to alienate the US by not engaging in the pantomime of looking.
November 26, 2025 at 10:53 PM
Sorry I haven't been active on social media today, I've been flat out making sure everything goes smoothly on my first day as website manager for the OBR.
November 26, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Small price to pay to fully empower the UK Parliament, Britain's most trusted institution filled with its most beloved and inspiring leaders.
Still reeling from the Stanford report on Brexit. Reduced GDP by up to 8% and investment by as much as 18%. The UK Treasury would have £40 billion more each year if Britain had remained in the EU. Devastating self-immolation.
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Other
siepr.stanford.edu
November 25, 2025 at 6:25 PM
This is so funny.

"I'm afraid the economy now runs primarily on me and my idiot threads throwing more and more money at the Create the Torment Nexus project. We can't afford to go backwards. Blood for the Blood God. Skulls for the Skull Throne."
One explanation for economic populism in the US is the recurring cycle of bubbles and bailouts that happens without any democratic input
November 25, 2025 at 9:21 AM
There is more that unites us than divides us.
November 24, 2025 at 12:17 PM
"Russia is an undefeatable juggernaut against which Ukraine could never hope to score victories. That's why it's imperative we limit Ukraine's military size so as to give Russia confidence Ukraine won't attack it."

Do these people fucking hear themselves?
November 24, 2025 at 9:58 AM
It's also vastly easier and cheaper for media outlets to produce culture war content than policy stuff.

With policy, you have to find actual experts that are available and willing, then pray they're good entertaining communicators.

On culture shit, you start with a talking head and work backwards.
This chart (which applies even more to social media than it did to TV) lives in my head rent free.

Social media enveloping traditional media means everything and everyone is now competing in the entertainment market. Boring stuff like policy that affects millions of lives doesn’t stand a chance.
November 23, 2025 at 8:37 PM
You throw around the term 'conservative' despite the brutal murder Colonel Mustard committed with the candlestick in the conservatory?
There are some truly unhinged bits in the piece about Glasman, as to be expected when dealing with Glasman, but seriously what the actual? That's...one hell of a conflation of terminology.
November 23, 2025 at 4:30 PM
I guess the challenge here is that while this might be personally lucrative for MAGASuperFan1488 from Uganda (which fine I guess, go get that bread Grifter King), the West descending into technofascism is not going to be good for ANYONE.

Those deaths because of USAID cuts weren't in Kansas.
November 23, 2025 at 1:33 PM
I'm less confident I understand what's happening with this Peace Proposal Saga than I was three episodes into Severence season 1.

Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
What the actual fuck is going on.

America put forward a nearly carbon copy version of the Russian plan for Ukrainian conquest, admitted it and backtracked, then doubles down.
November 23, 2025 at 10:45 AM
It makes a loot of sense.

The right wing grifter "voice" is easy to replicate and requires no credentials or skills beyond time, shamelessness, and cruelty.

Twitter payouts for a modestly successful account aren't enough to live off in California, but will feed a family of four in Rajasthan.
I see a lot of Paidchecks on X didn’t realize that a whole lot of people on social media lie about their location to grift off the naïveté of the rage-addled American right.

Turns out this problem is real and it’s a thing those of us who worked on “disinformation” pointed out.
November 23, 2025 at 10:04 AM
There are undiscovered hunter gatherer tribes deep in the Amazon rainforest with a clearer and more consistent foreign policy position on the Ukraine war than the current US administration.
November 23, 2025 at 1:13 AM
🫡
November 22, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Elon Musk spending billions of dollars to buy a social network to replicate what it's like to have friends who like you, and an AI to replicate what it's like to have a supportive father who praises you, only to have both consistently turn on him is Promethean torture if Prometheus had deserved it.
November 22, 2025 at 9:52 AM
Liga.net has the Russian text of Zelenskyy's address to the nation on Trump/Witkoff's Proposal.

ChatGPT translation below, which is pretty accurate except in small places that don't really matter.

news.liga.net/politics/new...
November 21, 2025 at 9:57 PM
1/ What a Russian breaking of the ceasefire will look like, step by step.

There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.

So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
November 21, 2025 at 2:23 PM